Prediction Edge
Republican
Ben Shapiro

Ben Shapiro

Republican candidate for Presidential

Live Odds — 2028 Republican presidential nominee

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$70.6MNOV 7, 2028

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePolitical commentator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age42 years old (Jan 15, 1984)

GenderMale

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BackgroundPolitical commentator

Notable personal detailsBenjamin Aaron Shapiro is an American conservative political commentator, writer, and media host. He is the founding editor-in-chief and editor emeritus of The Daily Wire, a conservative media company he co-founded in 2015, and he hosts The Ben Shapiro Show. He has also worked as a syndicated columnist and author.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate opposes wealth taxes and higher taxes on the wealthy, criticizes tariffs as tax increases on consumers, and has expressed support for tax reforms such as a flat tax or national sales-tax–style plans while favoring lower taxes and limited government intervention in the economy.

Healthcare

Opposes the Affordable Care Act and supports market-based reforms such as allowing insurers to compete across state lines and increasing consumer choice; criticizes government mandates and regulatory approaches to health care and frames ACA-style policies as government overreach that should be repealed or rolled back.

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Immigration & Border

Favors stronger border enforcement and stricter immigration controls while opposing open-border or broadly permissive asylum policies. Emphasizes policing the southern border, reducing catch-and-release practices, and prioritizing removal or restriction of unauthorized entrants while supporting assimilation requirements (e.g., citizenship testing).

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Ben Shapiro is firmly pro‑life and opposes legal abortion, advocating broad legal restrictions on abortion with very limited exceptions (notably to protect the life of the mother). He has described abortion as immoral and has supported criminal penalties for providers in some statements.

Climate & Energy

Acknowledges climate change but questions the extent of human contribution and the severity of projected impacts, criticizes alarmist framing and proposals like the Green New Deal, and emphasizes energy independence and market-driven approaches over aggressive regulatory interventions.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports broad Second Amendment rights and opposes bans on commonly owned semi‑automatic rifles while acknowledging some limited interventions (e.g., properly structured red‑flag laws). Emphasizes individual gun ownership for self‑defense and resistance to tyranny and is skeptical that many proposed restrictions would be effective. Endorses due‑process protections for any targeted restrictions and expresses opposition to sweeping gun bans.

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