$51.8M
NOV 7, 2028Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$51.8M
24h volume
$166.0K
source: Kalshi
JD Vance is the clear early favorite in a new Republican nominee poll, with Marco Rubio far behind. Separate coverage says Vance is expected to launch a bid after the 2026 midterms, while Trump has privately favored a Vance-Rubio ticket. The polling gives Vance an early edge and may strengthen his position in the market. But the race is still very early, so uncertainty remains high.
Even if the Platner campaign’s implosion saves Susan Collins, Democrats have enough opportunities elsewhere to flip the Senate.
Gov. Ron DeSantis has been counted out before, but with less than six months left in office, his reach may be constricted.
Polls from Fox News and Wick show how tight the Georgia governor election is. Who are the candidates? What are their policies? When is the election?
Fetterman's approval among Democrats reached a new low in the latest Quinnipiac University poll.
Vice President JD Vance has grown more critical of Israel, possibly in an effort to capitalize on changing views among voters with an eye on the 2028 presidential election.
The congresswoman’s rise was powered mostly by domestic issues. But she is slowly expanding to foreign affairs.
Gov. Gavin Newsom reiterated past remarks that Democrats nationwide need to be more pugnacious as the party casts about for a replacement to Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner, who dropped out Wednesday after an ex-girlfriend accused him of sexual assault.
Almost one in five people who voted for Donald Trump now have buyer’s remorse.
State Assemblymember Micah Lasher made the bet that experience still matters in this political climate.
Erika Kirk
Erika Kirk endorsed J.D. Vance for president in 2028 and said Turning Point USA would support his bid.
Donald Trump
Donald Trump publicly backed Marco Rubio as a possible 2028 Republican presidential nominee.
Ken Griffin
Ken Griffin reportedly backed Marco Rubio over JD Vance in a possible 2028 Republican presidential race.
White House chief of staff
The White House chief of staff publicly endorsed Marco Rubio on 'Pod Force One'.
Donald Trump
Donald Trump endorsed Anthony Constantino in New York's 21st Congressional District primary.
A Democratic sheriff in Daviess County
A Democratic sheriff in Daviess County endorsed Rand Paul, according to a local candidate endorsement list.
Jim DeMint
Jim DeMint endorsed Nikki Haley for Ralph Norman's South Carolina governor campaign.
Donald Trump
Donald Trump endorsed Sarah Huckabee Sanders for reelection as Arkansas governor.
Donald Trump
Donald Trump endorsed Sarah Huckabee Sanders for reelection as Arkansas governor.
Donald Trump
Donald Trump endorsed Sarah Huckabee Sanders for reelection as Arkansas governor.
Ohio Chamber of Commerce PAC
The Ohio Chamber of Commerce PAC endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for Ohio governor.
National pro-life group
A national pro-life group endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for Ohio governor.
Teamsters (Ohio Conference of the International Brotherhood of Teamsters)
The Ohio Conference of Teamsters endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for Ohio governor.
Ben Albritton
Ben Albritton backed Byron Donalds for the Republican gubernatorial nomination.
Florida Chamber of Commerce
The Florida Chamber of Commerce formally endorsed Byron Donalds for governor.
Nine Florida state senators
Nine Florida state senators endorsed Byron Donalds for governor.
Florida House members
Sixty-three Florida House members endorsed Byron Donalds for governor.
Business, financial, and economic groups
Business, financial, and economic groups endorsed Greg Abbott.
Texas agricultural and industry leaders
Texas agricultural and industry leaders endorsed Greg Abbott.
Congressman Lawler, Senator Bill Weber, Rockland County Executive Ed Day, and others
Elise Stefanik's campaign announced endorsements from Congressman Mike Lawler, Senator Bill Weber, Rockland County Executive Ed Day, and other local GOP officials.
Republican county executives
A group of Republican county executives endorsed Elise Stefanik in her campaign for governor of New York.
12 state legislators
Twelve state legislators endorsed Elise Stefanik in her campaign for governor of New York.
New York City Council Republican Conference
The New York City Council Republican Conference endorsed Elise Stefanik in her campaign for governor of New York.
Donald Trump
Donald Trump endorsed Elon Musk for New York City mayoral politics in remarks reported by CNBC
Standing Rock Sioux Tribe
Standing Rock Sioux Tribe was reported to have endorsed Kristi Noem.
Donald Trump
Donald Trump endorsed Nicki Minaj in comments about her support for his administration.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
