$64.4M
NOV 7, 2028Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 15, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 46% | |
| 21% | |
| 5% | |
| 3% | |
| 2% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
JD Vance is drawing the most attention as an early 2028 Republican nominee front-runner after prominent appearances at GOP events. Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz are also being discussed as possible contenders, but neither has committed to running yet. Pete Hegseth has denied interest in a bid. The news appears to strengthen Vance’s position as the early favorite, while keeping the field open. Rubio and Cruz remain possible alternatives, so uncertainty is still high.
While fly fishing in Montana, CNN’s Jake Tapper asks Governor Gavin Newsom what it would take for him to run for president in 2028. This is part of on an o
Behind closed doors on Thursday, Vice President JD Vance urged a room full of Republicans to sell voters on the administration’s more popular achievements that he worried weren’t always breaking through.
DALLAS — Republicans descended on Dallas this week with the ostensible aim of helping their candidates win midterm elections in a difficult political environment. But for Vice President JD Vance, the moment offered a plum personal opportunity for an ambitious second-in-command. As he took the stage on Thursday night to deliver his keynote address, Vance […]
A national campaign by the Congressional Black Caucus targeting areas for increased Black and rural voter turnout includes South Carolina District 1.
Republicans gathered in Dallas this week to rally behind President Donald Trump ahead of November's US midterms -- even as an unavoidable conundrum loomed
KINSHASA, Congo — The Ebola outbreak in Congo, the world’s fastest-growing outbreak of the disease on record, has now spread to seven provinces in the Afri
President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance used the GOP midterm convention in Dallas to paint contrasts with Democrats and energize supporters ahead of the midterm elections.
US Republicans returned to the stage Thursday to close their midterm convention, still betting that Donald Trump's political magnetism can overcome grim
Reports have surfaced that he is eyeing a 2028 presidential bid.
Vice President JD Vance’s midterm convention speech is one of the the expected 2028 candidate's last best opportunities to prove he can lead the GOP.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
