$69.4M
NOV 7, 2028Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 16, 2026, 1:58 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
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| 42% | |
| 16% | |
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Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
JD Vance is drawing the most attention as an early 2028 Republican nominee front-runner after prominent appearances at GOP events. Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz are also being discussed as possible contenders, but neither has committed to running yet. Pete Hegseth has denied interest in a bid. The news appears to strengthen Vance’s position as the early favorite, while keeping the field open. Rubio and Cruz remain possible alternatives, so uncertainty is still high.
Party leaders don’t want complacency after what’s likely to be a midterm victory.
The events could offer clues about which political messages resonate.
'Election of any – or all – of them could create problems in 2028.'
As buzz around potential 2028 presidential candidates has grown, a new poll shows clear frontrunners.
The contributions make Musk the largest known political donor of the 2026 election cycle, providing Republicans with a financial boost as they seek to maintain their House and Senate majorities.
ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie is apparently considering another run for president in 2028.
"Squad" Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez privately gushed that if Michigan Senate hopeful Dr. Abdul El-Sayed wins his race, the floodgates will be open for lefties in contests across the country.
Reports have surfaced that he is eyeing a 2028 presidential bid.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
