$54.6M
NOV 7, 2028Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
A recent opinion article says Marco Rubio is positioning himself for a 2028 Republican presidential run through the Trump administration’s campaign against the International Criminal Court. Most other recent news is about 2026 races, not the 2028 GOP nomination. The latest items do not show a clear shift in the nomination race. The Rubio story could modestly boost his visibility with Republican voters, but it is only an opinion-based signal. Overall, the market impact looks limited and uncertain.
By Eric Bradner, CNN (CNN) — Former Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes dropped his bid for governor on Thursday, scrambling the race to replace Gov. Tony Evers less than two weeks from the Democratic primary. In a video posted to social media, Barnes said that it’s “very clear who our nominee is going to be.”
Maryland Gov. Wes Moore has become the target of a political tug-of-war inside today's Democratic Party, with progressive activists pressing him from the left w
Prediction markets now show a tightening race in the battle to succeed Donald Trump.
Abdul El-Sayed is seeking to deliver the Democratic Party’s progressive insurgency its biggest win yet in the Michigan Senate primary. But he is running into resistance among Black voters, many of whom say the establishment he eschews has delivered for them in important ways.
He can copy Obama's biography, but the vice president will never have the charisma
By Ronald Brownstein, CNN (CNN) — Fiercely fought primaries on August 4 in Michigan and Missouri will provide the next crucial tests in the debate over American policy toward Israel that has convulsed the Democratic Party this year. Arguments about Israel have marked a sharp dividing line in both the Michigan Senate primary between centrist
Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio currently sit as frontrunners for the 2028 Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire.
Democratic leaders are circling the wagons around Rep. Haley Stevens (D-MI) against her left-wing opponent, Abdul el Sayed.
A new State Navigate poll looking at the Georgia governor race saw a more likely winner than other polls. Is it Keisha Lance Bottoms or Rick Jackson?
Erika Kirk
Erika Kirk endorsed J.D. Vance for president in 2028 and said Turning Point USA would support his bid.
Donald Trump
Donald Trump publicly backed Marco Rubio as a possible 2028 Republican presidential nominee.
Ken Griffin
Ken Griffin reportedly backed Marco Rubio over JD Vance in a possible 2028 Republican presidential race.
White House chief of staff
The White House chief of staff publicly endorsed Marco Rubio on 'Pod Force One'.
Christian Newswire
Christian Newswire endorsed Tucker Carlson for president and Joe Kent for vice president in the 2028 election.
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Marjorie Taylor Greene supported Thomas Massie for a future Senate run in Kentucky.
Elon Musk
Elon Musk backed Spencer Pratt after Pratt raised concerns about the voting system.
Donald Trump
Donald Trump endorsed Sarah Huckabee Sanders for reelection as Arkansas governor.
Donald Trump
Donald Trump endorsed Sarah Huckabee Sanders for reelection as Arkansas governor.
Kim Hammer
Kim Hammer endorsed Sarah Huckabee Sanders in the Arkansas secretary of state race.
Business, financial, and economic groups
Business, financial, and economic groups endorsed Greg Abbott.
Texas agricultural and industry leaders
Texas agricultural and industry leaders endorsed Greg Abbott.
President Donald J. Trump
President Donald J. Trump endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for Ohio governor.
Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America
Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for Ohio governor.
Ohio Fraternal Order of Police
The Ohio Fraternal Order of Police endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for governor along with other Republican statewide candidates.
Ohio Manufacturers' Association PAC
The Ohio Manufacturers' Association PAC endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for governor.
Ohio Chamber of Commerce PAC
The Ohio Chamber of Commerce PAC endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for governor in the 2026 general election.
Ohio Chamber of Commerce PAC
The Ohio Chamber of Commerce PAC endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for Ohio governor.
National pro-life group
A national pro-life group endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for Ohio governor.
Teamsters (Ohio Conference of the International Brotherhood of Teamsters)
The Ohio Conference of Teamsters endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for Ohio governor.
Ohio Conference of Teamsters
The Ohio Conference of Teamsters endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for governor.
A Democratic sheriff in Daviess County
A Democratic sheriff in Daviess County endorsed Rand Paul, according to a local candidate endorsement list.
Barry Smith
Barry Smith endorsed Rand Paul, according to a local candidate endorsement list.
Ken Frizzell
Ken Frizzell endorsed Rand Paul, according to a local candidate endorsement list.
Ben Albritton
Ben Albritton backed Byron Donalds for the Republican gubernatorial nomination.
Florida Chamber of Commerce
The Florida Chamber of Commerce formally endorsed Byron Donalds for governor.
Nine Florida state senators
Nine Florida state senators endorsed Byron Donalds for governor.
Florida House members
Sixty-three Florida House members endorsed Byron Donalds for governor.
Congressman Lawler, Senator Bill Weber, Rockland County Executive Ed Day, and others
Elise Stefanik's campaign announced endorsements from Congressman Mike Lawler, Senator Bill Weber, Rockland County Executive Ed Day, and other local GOP officials.
Republican county executives
A group of Republican county executives endorsed Elise Stefanik in her campaign for governor of New York.
12 state legislators
Twelve state legislators endorsed Elise Stefanik in her campaign for governor of New York.
New York City Council Republican Conference
The New York City Council Republican Conference endorsed Elise Stefanik in her campaign for governor of New York.
Donald Trump
Donald Trump endorsed Nicki Minaj in comments about her support for his administration.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
