$72.5M
NOV 7, 2028Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 31, 2026, 2:58 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 36% | |
| 21% | |
| 5% | |
| 3% | |
| 3% | |
| 2% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
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| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
JD Vance is drawing the most attention as an early 2028 Republican nominee front-runner after prominent appearances at GOP events. Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz are also being discussed as possible contenders, but neither has committed to running yet. Pete Hegseth has denied interest in a bid. The news appears to strengthen Vance’s position as the early favorite, while keeping the field open. Rubio and Cruz remain possible alternatives, so uncertainty is still high.
Whether either party wins or loses Tuesday, the end of the 2026 midterms marks the beginning of a high-stakes fight over the post-Trump era.
The nation’s major political parties are at a crossroads. Win or lose Tuesday, the end of the 2026 midterms marks the beginning of a high-stakes fight over the direction of the Republican and Democratic parties as the Trump era nears its end.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
