Prediction Edge
Democrat
Blake Gendebien

Blake Gendebien

Overview

Current roleDairy farmer

PartyDemocratic

LocationNew York

BackgroundDairy farmer

Notable personal detailsBlake Gendebien is a dairy farmer and small business owner from Lisbon, New York, and a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in New York’s 21st Congressional District. He and his family operate Twin Mill Farms in northern New York, where they run a large dairy and crop operation. He has served as vice chairman of Agri-Mark, a dairy cooperative in the Northeast, and has testified before the U.S. Senate Agriculture Committee on dairy and farm policy.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports protecting Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid and backing tax credits that subsidize ACA marketplace plans; opposes tax cuts for the ultra-wealthy and emphasizes lowering costs for working families while supporting targeted help for small businesses and rural communities.

Healthcare

Supports strengthening and expanding access to healthcare (including protecting Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid), lowering prescription drug costs, expanding telehealth and rural access, and protecting abortion rights; states the Affordable Care Act improved his family’s healthcare.

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Immigration & Border

Supports strengthening border enforcement and removing criminals in the country while also creating legal pathways for workforce needs (particularly for farmers); favors hiring additional immigration judges and providing more resources to ICE and Border Patrol, and allowing state and local police to communicate with federal immigration authorities.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports protecting a woman’s right to choose and opposes laws that impose total abortion bans, including bans that would prohibit abortion in cases of rape or when the life of the woman is at stake.

Climate & Energy

Supports agricultural sustainability measures and on-farm clean-energy technologies (e.g., anaerobic/biogas digesters) while emphasizing affordability and predictability for farmers; advocates participation in sustainability programs but expresses concern that costs can outweigh benefits. Positions prioritize pragmatic clean-energy solutions for rural/agricultural communities rather than opposing clean-energy transition.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports the Second Amendment and describes himself as a gun owner while endorsing universal background checks and safe-storage laws. Does not advocate confiscation of firearms and frames policy as balancing gun ownership with safety measures.

Latest Insights

NY-21 Democratic nominee?

24h

Blake Gendebien's odds reached 93%, a fresh high for "NY-21 Democratic nominee?" over the past 23 days.

93%93%

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$4.7M
$3.5M
$2.3M
$1.2M
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$266.7K
$252.3K
$14.3K
$597.90

Cycle 2026

$4.7M
$2.5M
$2.4M
$162.7K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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