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2026 New York House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 New York House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

NY-21 House winner?

$38.3K

NOV 3, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated Aug 14, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Funds raised
Anthony Constantino	72%	$9.46M
Blake Gendebien	30%	$5.46M

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 14, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$38.3K

24h volume

$5.7K

A. Constantino72%

B. Gendebien30%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

New York 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

NY-21 House winner?

Anthony Constantino’s Republican win probability fell from 86% to 70% in the last hour while Blake Gendebien climbed to 27%, a meaningful repricing in this open-seat race that traders will want to monitor.

70%16%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Anthony Constantino has won the Republican nomination in NY-21, ending the primary contest with Robert Smullen. He enters the general election as the Trump-endorsed GOP nominee in the seat expected to open when Elise Stefanik leaves. Constantino’s primary win removes nomination uncertainty and likely strengthens the Republican side. The general-election outlook still appears to favor Republicans, but the nominee change is now settled.

Articles

MPMechanicsburg Patriot News 2 days ago

Stelson unveils housing plan after Perry's no vote on bipartisan bill

Rep. Scott Perry said he voted against the "21st Century Road to Housing Act" because it contained language about creating a central bank digital currency.

FFortune2 months ago

Mamdani's insurgents oust two Democratic congressmen in a sweep that rattles the party

The mayor's candidates ousted two sitting congressmen Tuesday, handing Hakeem Jeffries a stinging rebuke.

PNPBS News2 months ago

Mamdani slate sweeps Democratic primaries in New York, ousts 2 incumbents from Congress

Top allies of New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani have defeated establishment-backed Democrats in New York's congressional primary elections.

BBoston.com2 months ago

Mamdani slate sweeps Democratic primaries in New York

New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s slate swept establishment-backed Democrats in the state's congressional primaries on Tuesday.

Ssyracuse.com2 months ago

Trump-backed Constantino wins Republican primary in NY21 race to replace Stefanik

The race to replace Stefanik in Congress attracted national attention and an endorsement from Trump.

FFortune2 months ago

Upstate New York sticker mogul has a bronze Trump statue, MAGA hip-hop album and a presidential endorsement. The local machine wants the Marine

The fight for Elise Stefanik's old district is getting revealing in a very Trumpy corner of upstate New York.

VCVentura County Star2 months ago

A look at the top 3 candidates leading the California governor race

A quick guide to the candidates currently leading California’s governor race and how the final outcome could shift as counties continue to count votes.

BDBoulder Daily Camera3 months ago

Nebraska Democrats in tight primary race for state’s ‘blue dot’ US House seat

By MARGERY A. BECK and STEVE PEOPLES OMAHA, Neb. (AP) — The fate of Nebraska’s “blue dot” — a small, but significant factor in presidential politics — will take center stage Tuesday as Democratic voters select a congressional nominee in the state’s high-profile 2nd District. The Omaha-area district, where Republican U.S. Rep. Don Bacon is […]

NNewsmax4 months ago

N.Y. GOP Won't Back Trump Pick to Replace Stefanik

In the Republican primary to replace Rep. Elise Stefanik, President Donald Trump has endorsed one candidate, while New York Republicans are backing another in the deep-red 21st Congressional District.

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jun 30, 2026

$10M

$7.5M

$5M

$2.5M

A. Constantino

B. Gendebien

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

A. ConstantinoAnthony Constantino

$9.46MContrib: $7.0K

$3.04MSpent: $8.73M

$485.0KLast period: $7.0K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

B. GendebienBlake Gendebien

$5.46MContrib: $5.39M

$2.62MSpent: $3.09M

$171.7KLast period: $436.8K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls

2026 New York House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

NY-21 House winner?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

NY-21 House winner?

Latest Election News

Stelson unveils housing plan after Perry's no vote on bipartisan bill

Mamdani's insurgents oust two Democratic congressmen in a sweep that rattles the party

Mamdani slate sweeps Democratic primaries in New York, ousts 2 incumbents from Congress

Mamdani slate sweeps Democratic primaries in New York

Trump-backed Constantino wins Republican primary in NY21 race to replace Stefanik

Upstate New York sticker mogul has a bronze Trump statue, MAGA hip-hop album and a presidential endorsement. The local machine wants the Marine

A look at the top 3 candidates leading the California governor race

Nebraska Democrats in tight primary race for state’s ‘blue dot’ US House seat

N.Y. GOP Won't Back Trump Pick to Replace Stefanik

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

NY-21 House winner?

Latest Election News

Stelson unveils housing plan after Perry's no vote on bipartisan bill

Mamdani's insurgents oust two Democratic congressmen in a sweep that rattles the party

Mamdani slate sweeps Democratic primaries in New York, ousts 2 incumbents from Congress

Mamdani slate sweeps Democratic primaries in New York

Trump-backed Constantino wins Republican primary in NY21 race to replace Stefanik

Upstate New York sticker mogul has a bronze Trump statue, MAGA hip-hop album and a presidential endorsement. The local machine wants the Marine

A look at the top 3 candidates leading the California governor race

Nebraska Democrats in tight primary race for state’s ‘blue dot’ US House seat

N.Y. GOP Won't Back Trump Pick to Replace Stefanik

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

2026 New York House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

NY-21 House winner?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

NY-21 House winner?

Latest Election News

Stelson unveils housing plan after Perry's no vote on bipartisan bill

Mamdani's insurgents oust two Democratic congressmen in a sweep that rattles the party

Mamdani slate sweeps Democratic primaries in New York, ousts 2 incumbents from Congress

Mamdani slate sweeps Democratic primaries in New York

Trump-backed Constantino wins Republican primary in NY21 race to replace Stefanik

Upstate New York sticker mogul has a bronze Trump statue, MAGA hip-hop album and a presidential endorsement. The local machine wants the Marine

A look at the top 3 candidates leading the California governor race

Nebraska Democrats in tight primary race for state’s ‘blue dot’ US House seat

N.Y. GOP Won't Back Trump Pick to Replace Stefanik

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

New York Governor winner?

NY-17 House winner?

NY-01 House winner?

NY-11 House winner?

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

NY-21 House winner?

Latest Election News

Stelson unveils housing plan after Perry's no vote on bipartisan bill

Mamdani's insurgents oust two Democratic congressmen in a sweep that rattles the party

Mamdani slate sweeps Democratic primaries in New York, ousts 2 incumbents from Congress

Mamdani slate sweeps Democratic primaries in New York

Trump-backed Constantino wins Republican primary in NY21 race to replace Stefanik

Upstate New York sticker mogul has a bronze Trump statue, MAGA hip-hop album and a presidential endorsement. The local machine wants the Marine

A look at the top 3 candidates leading the California governor race

Nebraska Democrats in tight primary race for state’s ‘blue dot’ US House seat

N.Y. GOP Won't Back Trump Pick to Replace Stefanik

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

New York Governor winner?

NY-17 House winner?

NY-01 House winner?

NY-11 House winner?