$41.7K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 11:23 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 78% | $9.46M | |
| 27% | $5.46M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Anthony Constantino has won the Republican nomination in NY-21, ending the primary contest with Robert Smullen. He enters the general election as the Trump-endorsed GOP nominee in the seat expected to open when Elise Stefanik leaves. Constantino’s primary win removes nomination uncertainty and likely strengthens the Republican side. The general-election outlook still appears to favor Republicans, but the nominee change is now settled.
Anthony Constantino believes publicly backing Donald Trump cost his company, Sticker Mule, tens of millions of dollars. But rather than be cowed by the backlash, he's running for Rep. Elise Stefanik's 21st Congressional District seat.
Rep. Scott Perry said he voted against the "21st Century Road to Housing Act" because it contained language about creating a central bank digital currency.
The mayor's candidates ousted two sitting congressmen Tuesday, handing Hakeem Jeffries a stinging rebuke.
Top allies of New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani have defeated establishment-backed Democrats in New York's congressional primary elections.
New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s slate swept establishment-backed Democrats in the state's congressional primaries on Tuesday.
The race to replace Stefanik in Congress attracted national attention and an endorsement from Trump.
The fight for Elise Stefanik's old district is getting revealing in a very Trumpy corner of upstate New York.
A quick guide to the candidates currently leading California’s governor race and how the final outcome could shift as counties continue to count votes.
By MARGERY A. BECK and STEVE PEOPLES OMAHA, Neb. (AP) — The fate of Nebraska’s “blue dot” — a small, but significant factor in presidential politics — will take center stage Tuesday as Democratic voters select a congressional nominee in the state’s high-profile 2nd District. The Omaha-area district, where Republican U.S. Rep. Don Bacon is […]
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
A. ConstantinoAnthony Constantino
B. GendebienBlake GendebienSource: FEC
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
