Prediction Edge
Republican
Brad Finstad

Brad Finstad

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Minnesota

Live Odds — MN-01 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

72%chance to win

$71.8KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age50 years old (May 30, 1976)

GenderMale

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LocationMinnesota

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationUniversity of Minnesota — B.S., Agricultural Education

Notable personal detailsBradley Howard Finstad is an American politician and farmer serving as the U.S. representative for Minnesota's 1st congressional district since 2022. He previously served in the Minnesota House of Representatives (2003–2009) and later worked in agriculture policy and rural development, including as Minnesota state director for USDA Rural Development (2017–2021). He earned a B.S. in agricultural education from the University of Minnesota. He is married and has seven children.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Brad Finstad’s public positions emphasize tax cuts, lower tax burdens, and keeping more money in paychecks. He has also backed permanent tax relief for families and small businesses, including making the 2017 Trump tax cuts permanent and expanding tax benefits for farmers and Main Street businesses.

Healthcare

Brad Finstad says Minnesota should maintain its healthcare quality while increasing access, especially in rural areas, by strengthening rural hospitals and clinics, supporting the healthcare workforce, and investing in telehealth. He also emphasizes safeguarding Medicare, Medicaid, and other federal health care programs from waste, fraud, and abuse through stronger oversight and enforcement.

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Immigration & Border

Brad Finstad has consistently emphasized securing the southern border, increasing border enforcement resources, and opposing sanctuary policies. He has supported legislation and funding measures to resume border wall construction, expand border security technology, and fully fund DHS, including immigration enforcement and Border Patrol.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Brad Finstad describes himself as pro-life and has said he supports efforts to protect unborn life and babies who survive an abortion attempt. He has also supported anti-abortion legislation, opposed taxpayer funding for abortion, and said the issue should be handled by states rather than through federal abortion access policy.

Climate & Energy

Brad Finstad emphasizes energy independence, reliable and affordable energy, and expanded domestic production of nuclear, oil, natural gas, renewables, and next-generation technologies. He also supports biofuels and year-round E15, framing them as ways to lower fuel costs, support rural economies, and strengthen the U.S. energy supply chain.

Public Safety & Guns

Brad Finstad is publicly aligned with the Second Amendment and has framed his public safety approach around backing police and opposing soft-on-crime policies. His available statements emphasize law-and-order policing rather than new gun restrictions.

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Ragnar Research Partners
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
52%
Brad Finstad
B. Finstad
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Ragnar Research PartnersMar 14, 2026
52.0%
Public Policy PollingFeb 3, 2026
44.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.0M
$1.5M
$1.0M
$507.6K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.5M
$264.53
$1.5M
$62.5K

Cycle 2024

$2.0M
$61.4K
$1.9M
$79.8K

Cycle 2026

$2.0M
$1.3M
$808.1K
$42.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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