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Which Party wins the 2026 Minnesota District 1 US House Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 6:59am GMT+2, in 151 daysLast updated: Jun 9, 2026, 5:53 PM UTC

MN-01 House winner?

$29.4K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

R. Party

66.0%

D. Party

32.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$29.4K

24h volume

R. Party66%

D. Party32%

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source: Kalshi

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TUE 11

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TUE 3

Minnesota 2026 general election

Latest Insights

MN-01 House winner?

19d

That’s below the previous low of 31% for the "MN-01 House winner?" race.

20%11%

News

AINews Summary

Tim Walz launched a PAC to recruit and support rural Democratic candidates, including in Minnesota. That could help Democrats improve their long-term position in the district. Recent GOP fraud messaging is national in scope and does not clearly move this race. The PAC launch could modestly help Democrats build a stronger bench in the district. The fraud messaging is too broad to clearly shift this race on its own.

Articles

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press22 days ago

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press22 days ago

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no.

NNewsweek1 month ago

Democrats' Chances of ‘Mamdani Moment’ After Liberal Upset

The unexpected result has shined a national light on a rare Democratic pickup opportunity and energized the party’s left flank.

NNPR1 day ago

In the past, political scandals could end careers. Not anymore

There was a time when scandals were a death knell for political careers. But today, they're far from being career enders.

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press18 days ago

Thomas Friedman's column

Trump’s midcycle “redistricting” is not politics as usual, but cheating. And the $1.776 billion slush fund Trump established to pay “victims” of the Biden administration’s supposed lawfare ... is not business as usual. It is stealing our tax dollars.

ATAmes Tribune26 days ago

Democrats test long odds in Iowa’s 4th Congressional District race

An open seat in Iowa’s 4th District has sparked a contested Democratic primary while Republicans rally behind a Trump-endorsed candidate.

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press2 months ago

Walz launches ‘Small Town PAC’ to boost Dems in rural areas

“We need a new generation of elected leaders in this country — and lord knows the Democrats need some new faces,” Walz said.

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press4 days ago

Nevada Republicans to decide on replacement for Rep. Mark Amodei

A Northern Nevada congressional seat is testing Republican voters’ appetite for an experienced candidate or a newcomer with Trump's backing.

NNewsweek2 months ago

Republicans Risk Losing 34 Seats Where Gas Prices Are Rising

Democrats consider dozens of seats "in play" this November, and aim to leverage the domestic fallout from Trump's war in Iran.

FNFox News4 days ago

House Republicans pivot to government fraud as midterm campaign issue

House Republicans are pivoting to government fraud as their key midterm campaign message, pushing bills to root out waste in child care, welfare and student aid programs.

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls
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Fundraising

Which Party wins the 2026 Minnesota District 1 US House Election?

MN-01 House winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

MN-01 House winner?

News

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Democrats' Chances of ‘Mamdani Moment’ After Liberal Upset

In the past, political scandals could end careers. Not anymore

Thomas Friedman's column

Democrats test long odds in Iowa’s 4th Congressional District race

Walz launches ‘Small Town PAC’ to boost Dems in rural areas

Nevada Republicans to decide on replacement for Rep. Mark Amodei

Republicans Risk Losing 34 Seats Where Gas Prices Are Rising

House Republicans pivot to government fraud as midterm campaign issue

Related races

Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee?

Minnesota Governor winner?

Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

MN-01 House winner?

News

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Democrats' Chances of ‘Mamdani Moment’ After Liberal Upset

In the past, political scandals could end careers. Not anymore

Thomas Friedman's column

Democrats test long odds in Iowa’s 4th Congressional District race

Walz launches ‘Small Town PAC’ to boost Dems in rural areas

Nevada Republicans to decide on replacement for Rep. Mark Amodei

Republicans Risk Losing 34 Seats Where Gas Prices Are Rising

House Republicans pivot to government fraud as midterm campaign issue

Related races

Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee?

Minnesota Governor winner?

Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?