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2026 Minnesota House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Minnesota House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

MN-01 House winner?

$190.0K

NOV 3, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated Sep 10, 2026, 4:53 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Funds raised
Brad Finstad	84%	$2.03M
Jake Johnson	17%	$2.00M

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 10, 2026, 4:53 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$190.0K

24h volume

$86.6K

B. Finstad84%

J. Johnson17%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Minnesota 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

MN-01 House winner?

11h

Brad Finstad's odds are now 93%, above the previous high of 82%.

93%11%

MN-01 House winner?

12h

Johnson’s Democratic win price recovered from 15% to 15% in the last hour, keeping the race’s volatility elevated and signaling traders should watch whether the earlier repricing sticks.

15%0%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Minnesota’s major-party nominees are now set in the governor and Senate races. Republicans nominated Lisa Demuth for governor, while Democrats nominated Amy Klobuchar and Peggy Flanagan in the statewide contests. The updates are mostly about the broader Minnesota political landscape, not the 1st District House race. The field is becoming clearer after the Minnesota primaries, which may reduce uncertainty around the broader state political environment. The news does not directly change the House district race, so any market effect is likely limited.

Articles

PNPBS News2 days ago

Armed man charged toward Democratic candidate for Ohio governor at fair, law enforcement says

The Ohio State Highway Patrol says an armed assailant charged toward the Democratic candidate for Ohio governor, Amy Acton, during a campaign stop at the Canfield Fair, injuring several people before he was stopped by troopers.

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press26 days ago

4 women vie for top MN offices in what may be most competitive elections in years

Minnesota’s DFL Republican primaries for U.S. Senate and governor set the stage for what may be the most competitive statewide races for top offices in recent memory.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit29 days ago

The Latest: Trump says he was taken off Air Force One last month due to threat

President Donald Trump says he slipped away from Air Force One after a trip last month in Turkey because the Secret Service and military wanted him on a “different plane” due to a threat he insisted didn’t scare him.

WEWashington Examiner29 days ago

Klobuchar secures Democratic gubernatorial nomination in Minnesota

Sen. Amy Klobuchar announced her candidacy in January after Gov. Tim Walz said he would not run for a third term.

ESEUROPE SAYS7 days ago

Trump doubles down on Canada trade war as talks remain stalled – US politics live

The resumption of US-Canada trade talks does not seem to be on the horizon. During a press conference with US travel executives, Trump was asked if

WTWorcester Telegram & Gazette9 days ago

Massachusetts voters head to polls today. Follow live updates

Key races to watch include the face off between Sen. Ed Markey and Rep. Seth Moulton for the Democrate Senate nomination and what will happen with Moulton's empty seat.

CNCable News Network25 days ago

Midwest red states are back in play for Democrats

The heartland Democrat is making a comeback.

RReuters1 month ago

In rural Wisconsin, frustrations over Trump ag policies heat up House race

When she’s not trekking across Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District to meet voters, Democratic congressional challenger Rebecca Cooke is still on her feet, waiting tables at two restaurants around Eau Claire, a city of about 73,000 people surrounded by rolling farmland.

F9FOX 91 month ago

GOP-endorsed Adam Schwarze makes his pitch to voters in Minnesota Senate race: Full interview

FOX 9 has extended an invitation to all the candidates polling above 5% in both the Minnesota Governor and Senate primary races to appear on our All Day program for an interview. On Wednesday, GOP-endorsed Republican Adam Schwarze is running for one of Minnesota's seats in the U.S. Senate.

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press4 months ago

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jul 22, 2026

$2.5M

$1.9M

$1.3M

$625K

B. Finstad

J. Johnson

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

B. FinstadBrad Finstad

$2.03MContrib: $1.80M

$1.28MSpent: $808.1K

$42.5KLast period: $114.4K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 22, 2026

J. JohnsonJake Johnson

$2.00MContrib: $1.98M

$1.01MSpent: $989.0K

$52.1KLast period: $128.2K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 22, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls
Endorsements

2026 Minnesota House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

MN-01 House winner?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

MN-01 House winner?

MN-01 House winner?

Latest Election News

Armed man charged toward Democratic candidate for Ohio governor at fair, law enforcement says

4 women vie for top MN offices in what may be most competitive elections in years

The Latest: Trump says he was taken off Air Force One last month due to threat

Klobuchar secures Democratic gubernatorial nomination in Minnesota

Trump doubles down on Canada trade war as talks remain stalled – US politics live

Massachusetts voters head to polls today. Follow live updates

Midwest red states are back in play for Democrats

In rural Wisconsin, frustrations over Trump ag policies heat up House race

GOP-endorsed Adam Schwarze makes his pitch to voters in Minnesota Senate race: Full interview

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Minnesota Senate winner?

Minnesota Governor winner?

MN-04 House winner?

Minnesota State House winner?

Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

MN-01 House winner?

MN-01 House winner?

Latest Election News

Armed man charged toward Democratic candidate for Ohio governor at fair, law enforcement says

4 women vie for top MN offices in what may be most competitive elections in years

The Latest: Trump says he was taken off Air Force One last month due to threat

Klobuchar secures Democratic gubernatorial nomination in Minnesota

Trump doubles down on Canada trade war as talks remain stalled – US politics live

Massachusetts voters head to polls today. Follow live updates

Midwest red states are back in play for Democrats

In rural Wisconsin, frustrations over Trump ag policies heat up House race

GOP-endorsed Adam Schwarze makes his pitch to voters in Minnesota Senate race: Full interview

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Minnesota Senate winner?

Minnesota Governor winner?

MN-04 House winner?

Minnesota State House winner?