Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Brian Fitzpatrick

Brian Fitzpatrick

Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in Pennsylvania

Live Odds — PA-01 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

62%chance to win

$84.2KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyModerate Republican

Age52 years old (Dec 17, 1973)

GenderMale

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LocationPennsylvania

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationBishop Egan High School (1992)

Notable personal detailsBrian Kevin Fitzpatrick is a Republican member of the U.S. House representing Pennsylvania’s 1st Congressional District (first elected in 2016; in office since 2017). Before Congress, he worked as a federal law enforcement official and prosecutor, including service as a special agent with the FBI and as a special assistant U.S. attorney in the Eastern District of Pennsylvania. He has also worked as an attorney in private practice and as an accountant, and he holds degrees from La Salle University and Penn State (including a J.D. from Penn State Dickinson Law).

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports extending and preserving the 2017 tax cuts and favors tax policies intended to lower rates for businesses and provide tax relief for working families and small businesses, while backing targeted expansions such as a larger child tax credit. Positions emphasize pro-growth, pro‑business tax measures and shielding households from tax increases scheduled to occur if 2017 provisions expire.

Healthcare

Supports preserving and stabilizing the Affordable Care Act’s consumer protections and premium tax credits, while advancing bipartisan, targeted reforms to lower out-of-pocket costs and increase price transparency. Backs market-compatible tools (tax-advantaged savings accounts) alongside extensions of ACA subsidies and measures to reduce prescription middlemen pricing.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and enforcement while also calling for humane treatment of migrants and bipartisan legislative fixes to the asylum system. Seeks negotiated, results-oriented solutions that combine securing the border with reforms to asylum and immigration processing. Has criticized current administration enforcement decisions while urging Congress and the President to craft bipartisan policy changes.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate has a mixed record on abortion: he has supported bills that would restrict abortion later in pregnancy and voted against legislation to federally codify Roe v. Wade, but he also voted in favor of measures protecting interstate access to abortion services and access to contraception and issued statements calling for bipartisan, compromise-based approaches. His public statements emphasize seeking bipartisan consensus and leaving some matters to states.

Climate & Energy

Supports market-based climate policy and federal incentives to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, including a national carbon fee program paired with infrastructure investment and tax credits for low‑carbon fuels and renewable energy. Backs bipartisan, pro‑growth clean energy measures while also supporting domestic energy production and transitional approaches like renewable natural gas.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded background checks and other firearm regulations (including supporting bans on certain assault-style weapons and measures to prevent access by prohibited or dangerously mentally ill individuals) while affirming support for the Second Amendment and responsible gun ownership.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 13, 2026

Brian Fitzpatrick is in the news because he is seeking reelection in Pennsylvania’s 1st Congressional District, a competitive House seat Democrats are targeting. The latest flashpoint is a defamation lawsuit tied to a super PAC supporting him, after campaign statements accused Democrat Bob Harvie of misconduct; the suit targets the PAC and a consultant, not Fitzpatrick’s campaign directly. Earlier coverage also showed the Democratic primary in the district narrowing to Bob Harvie and Lucia Simonelli, setting up the general election matchup against Fitzpatrick.

bioguideretro.congress.gov+51

Latest Polls

PA-01 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Brian Fitzpatrick currently averages 46.3%, ranking first in this race, 1.8 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 46.3%Position: firstMargin: +1.8 ptsLatest poll: 49.0% (Aug 19 - 23)Polls included: 4

Average recalculated from polls through Aug 19 - 23.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
46.3%
44.5%
Brian Fitzpatrick
B. Fitzpatrick
Bob Harvie
B. Harvie
Date (Start - End)SpreadFitzpatrickHarvie
Polling Average
Fitzpatrick+1.8
46.3%44.5%
GQRAug 19 - 23
Fitzpatrick+1.0
49.0%48.0%
Global Strategy GroupAug 5 - 9
Fitzpatrick+0.0
47.0%47.0%
Global Strategy GroupMar 19 - 22
Fitzpatrick+6.0
48.0%42.0%
Public Policy PollingOct 10 - 11
Fitzpatrick+0.0
41.0%41.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$6.7M
$5.1M
$3.4M
$1.7M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$4.6M
$1.5M
$3.1M
$131.2K

Cycle 2024

$6.4M
$4.4M
$3.5M
$144.9K

Cycle 2026

$6.7M
$6.4M
$4.8M
$266.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements