

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 47.2% | $6.73M | |
| 37% | 44.0% | $2.01M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Bob Harvie has sued a pro-Fitzpatrick super PAC over campaign claims about an FBI investigation and an alleged affair. The district remains a competitive Democratic target, and Harvie was the establishment-backed, fundraising leader in the primary. Overall, the race still looks closely watched. The lawsuit may add noise around Fitzpatrick’s reelection race, but the overall effect is unclear. The district still looks competitive, so market uncertainty remains elevated.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Oct 10, 2025 and Sep 14, 2026.


Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
B. FitzpatrickBrian Fitzpatrick
B. HarvieBob HarvieSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.