Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Brian Fitzpatrick

Brian Fitzpatrick

Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in Pennsylvania

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Brian Fitzpatrick is trading at 56% to win the PA-01 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyModerate Republican

Age52 years old (Dec 17, 1973)

GenderMale

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LocationPennsylvania

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationBishop Egan High School (1992)

Notable personal detailsBrian Kevin Fitzpatrick is a Republican member of the U.S. House representing Pennsylvania’s 1st Congressional District (first elected in 2016; in office since 2017). Before Congress, he worked as a federal law enforcement official and prosecutor, including service as a special agent with the FBI and as a special assistant U.S. attorney in the Eastern District of Pennsylvania. He has also worked as an attorney in private practice and as an accountant, and he holds degrees from La Salle University and Penn State (including a J.D. from Penn State Dickinson Law).

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports extending and preserving the 2017 tax cuts and favors tax policies intended to lower rates for businesses and provide tax relief for working families and small businesses, while backing targeted expansions such as a larger child tax credit. Positions emphasize pro-growth, pro‑business tax measures and shielding households from tax increases scheduled to occur if 2017 provisions expire.

Healthcare

Supports preserving and stabilizing the Affordable Care Act’s consumer protections and premium tax credits, while advancing bipartisan, targeted reforms to lower out-of-pocket costs and increase price transparency. Backs market-compatible tools (tax-advantaged savings accounts) alongside extensions of ACA subsidies and measures to reduce prescription middlemen pricing.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and enforcement while also calling for humane treatment of migrants and bipartisan legislative fixes to the asylum system. Seeks negotiated, results-oriented solutions that combine securing the border with reforms to asylum and immigration processing. Has criticized current administration enforcement decisions while urging Congress and the President to craft bipartisan policy changes.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate has a mixed record on abortion: he has supported bills that would restrict abortion later in pregnancy and voted against legislation to federally codify Roe v. Wade, but he also voted in favor of measures protecting interstate access to abortion services and access to contraception and issued statements calling for bipartisan, compromise-based approaches. His public statements emphasize seeking bipartisan consensus and leaving some matters to states.

Climate & Energy

Supports market-based climate policy and federal incentives to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, including a national carbon fee program paired with infrastructure investment and tax credits for low‑carbon fuels and renewable energy. Backs bipartisan, pro‑growth clean energy measures while also supporting domestic energy production and transitional approaches like renewable natural gas.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded background checks and other firearm regulations (including supporting bans on certain assault-style weapons and measures to prevent access by prohibited or dangerously mentally ill individuals) while affirming support for the Second Amendment and responsible gun ownership.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 31, 2026

Brian Fitzpatrick is in the news mainly because he is the Republican incumbent expected to face the winner of the Democratic primary in Pennsylvania’s 1st Congressional District. The Democratic field includes Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie and scientist Lucia Simonelli, with Harvie described as the establishment-backed and better-funded candidate. A recent poll in the district also found bipartisan support for lower drug prices and expanded health care access, highlighting the policy issues likely to matter in the race.

bioguideretro.congress.gov+48

Latest Polls

PA-01 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Brian Fitzpatrick currently averages 44.5%, ranking first in this race, 3.0 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 44.5%Position: firstMargin: +3.0 ptsLatest poll: 48.0% (Mar 19 - 22)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through Mar 19 - 22.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
44.5%
41.5%
Brian Fitzpatrick
B. Fitzpatrick
Bob Harvie
B. Harvie
Date (Start - End)SpreadFitzpatrickHarvie
Polling Average
Fitzpatrick+3.0
44.5%41.5%
Global Strategy GroupMar 19 - 22
Fitzpatrick+6.0
48.0%42.0%
Public Policy PollingOct 10 - 11
Fitzpatrick+0.0
41.0%41.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

PA-01 House winner?

Endorsers of Brian Fitzpatrick for PA-01 House winner?

AFL-CIO

Labor organization

AFL-CIO endorsed Brian Fitzpatrick for reelection.

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SEIU State Council

Labor organization

SEIU State Council endorsed Brian Fitzpatrick for reelection in PA-01.

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LCV Action Fund

Political organization

The League of Conservation Voters Action Fund endorsed Brian Fitzpatrick.

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Bucks and Montgomery County Central Labor Councils

Public endorsement

Bucks and Montgomery County Central Labor Councils backed Brian Fitzpatrick for reelection.

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Pennsylvania State Education Association

Advocacy group

The Pennsylvania State Education Association endorsed Brian Fitzpatrick in his reelection bid.

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NRDC Action Fund

Political organization

NRDC Action Fund endorsed Brian Fitzpatrick.

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American Federation of Government Employees

Public endorsement

American Federation of Government Employees endorsed Brian Fitzpatrick for reelection to Congress.

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Humane World Action Fund

Political organization

Humane World Action Fund endorsed Brian Fitzpatrick for reelection in PA-01.

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Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$6.7M
$5.1M
$3.4M
$1.7M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$4.6M
$1.5M
$3.1M
$131.2K

Cycle 2024

$6.4M
$4.4M
$3.5M
$144.9K

Cycle 2026

$6.7M
$6.4M
$4.8M
$266.8K

Source: FEC