Prediction Edge
Republican
Bruce Blakeman

Bruce Blakeman

Republican candidate for Governor in New York

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Bruce Blakeman is trading at 99% to win the New York Republican Governor nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleOther

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age70 years old (Oct 2, 1955)

GenderMale

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LocationNew York

BackgroundAttorney

EducationArizona State University (B.A., political science and government)

Notable personal detailsBruce Arthur Blakeman is an American attorney and Republican politician who has served as Nassau County Executive, first elected in 2021. He previously served in local government in Nassau County, including as a Hempstead Town Councilman and a Nassau County legislator. He earned a B.A. in political science and government from Arizona State University and a J.D. from California Western School of Law, and also holds a certificate in homeland security management from Long Island University.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Bruce Blakeman emphasizes protecting taxpayers, opposing tax increases, and holding budgets without raising property taxes while seeking to limit corporate tax increases that he says would drive businesses and jobs out of New York. His campaign and county-executive actions highlight no-tax-increase budgets, credit-rating improvements tied to fiscal restraint, and public opposition to proposed corporate tax hikes.

Healthcare

Supports limiting government public-health mandates (opposed county enforcement of state mask/vaccine mandates) and emphasizes county control over public-health measures; advocates protecting and funding the local safety-net hospital and pursuing partnerships to expand local hospital capacity. Positions focus on reducing government-imposed public-health rules while maintaining support for local healthcare institutions.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports strong local cooperation with federal immigration authorities, opposes Nassau County being a sanctuary jurisdiction, and has directed local law enforcement to assist ICE and other federal agencies in detaining and removing noncitizens who have committed crimes. He has criticized state policies that expand services or licensing for undocumented immigrants and has used county messaging affirming refusal to spend county resources on services for noncitizens.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate describes himself as a pro‑choice Republican and says abortion decisions should be made by a woman and her physician, particularly in early pregnancy. He has framed his position as limiting how opponents can use abortion as a campaign issue and has not advocated for near‑total bans.

Climate & Energy

Opposes large offshore wind projects and local lithium-ion battery storage facilities and calls for local control or pauses on such green-energy deployments; supports using reliable energy sources such as natural gas and rolling back or pausing parts of New York’s electrification mandates. Positions emphasize public-safety and economic concerns about renewables and storage rather than support for aggressive emissions mandates.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong law-enforcement measures and programs that expand armed citizen participation in emergencies, has promoted increased police funding and training, and has organized a public rifle donation drive. Emphasizes public safety through bolstering law enforcement resources rather than new gun restrictions.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 13, 2026

Bruce Blakeman is in the news as he seeks the New York Republican gubernatorial nomination, with Donald Trump’s support emerging as a major factor in his campaign. He has been leaning heavily into Trump-style themes on immigration, crime, energy, and taxes, including proposals to use state reserves for tax cuts and to withdraw New York from RGGI. His campaign has also drawn backlash, especially after remarks about Brad Lander that were widely condemned as antisemitic. Polling has shown him trailing Gov. Kathy Hochul, making his path to the nomination and general election uncertain.

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Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Bruce Blakeman currently averages 11.1%, ranking third in this race, 4.7 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 11.1%Position: thirdMargin: -4.7 ptsLatest poll: 17.0% (Dec 8 - 12)Polls included: 9

Average recalculated from polls through Dec 8 - 12.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
11.1%
50.9%
15.9%
Bruce Blakeman
B. Blakeman
Elise Stefanik
E. Stefanik
Mike Lawler
M. Lawler
Date (Start - End)SpreadBlakemanStefanikLawler
Polling Average
Stefanik+39.7
11.1%50.9%15.9%
Siena UniversityDec 8 - 12
Stefanik+31.0
17.0%48.0%
J.L. PartnersNov 9 - 10
Stefanik+69.0
5.0%74.0%
Siena CollegeJun 23 - 26
Stefanik+28.0
7.0%35.0%18.0%
co/efficientJun 18 - 20
Stefanik+58.0
6.0%64.0%8.0%
Siena CollegeMay 12 - 15
Stefanik+24.0
11.0%35.0%22.0%
co/efficientMay 1 - 2
Stefanik+48.0
8.0%56.0%9.0%
GrayhouseApr 22 - 24
Stefanik+39.0
5.0%44.0%7.0%
Siena CollegeApr 14 - 16
Blakeman+6.0
28.0%22.0%
Siena CollegeMar 2 - 6
Lawler+12.0
13.0%25.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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