

Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| Kathy HochulDemocratic | 93% | 49.5% |
| Bruce BlakemanRepublican | 9% | 36.8% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Gina Hinojosa rolled out a proposal to send $1,500 to every Texas household if elected governor. The plan highlights a sharp contrast with Greg Abbott on taxes and spending, but it would face major legislative hurdles. This is a policy contrast that may help Hinojosa define the race, but it does not by itself change the underlying odds much. The effect on the market is likely limited unless it shifts broader campaign momentum.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Feb 2, 2026 and Jul 12, 2026.


Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.