State Lean
Strong Democratic
Not a core swing state
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Compare the candidates' saved odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 96% | 50.7% | |
| 4% | 37.4% |
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Total volume
$8.7M
24h volume
$1.3M
source: Kalshi
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
New York · Governor
State Lean
Strong Democratic
Not a core swing state
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary Jun 23, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Early voting
Early voting generally runs from 10 days before Election Day through two days before Election Day.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · National Governors Association, Gubernatorial Elections · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
November
TUE 3
New York 2026 general election
November
FRI 6
Prediction market closes
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Outside spending is ramping up in the New York governor race, with a new PAC pledging millions to support Bruce Blakeman and attack Kathy Hochul. A recent preview says Hochul is running for another term and still benefits from New York’s Democratic registration advantage. The outside spending could give Blakeman more support, but the Democratic registration edge still favors Hochul. Overall, the news looks mildly supportive of Democrats and keeps the race tilted toward them.
Polls will be open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. on Election Day. While early results will start rolling in Tuesday night, the final outcome for more competitive races might not be known until ranked choice tabulation takes place Nov. 18.
Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed’s former opponent in the U.S. Senate primary, Haley Stevens, stunned party officials on Sunday by endorsing Republican Mike Rogers in the general election contest after Democratic tensions boiled over. The move came after Stevens was uninvited to a joint event the same day with El-Sayed as he campaigned for the Michigan seat. The outcome could help determine the balance of power on Capitol Hill.
Jilted Democrat Haley Stevens shocked the political world by endorsing MAGA Republican Mike Rogers over Abdul El-Sayed for Senate in Michigan.
The president often picked more loyal but polarizing contenders during the 2026 primary season, now some of them are behind in the polls.
On the eve of the election, Democrats appear within striking distance of winning the Senate majority, but many seats in play are in toss-up territory in deep-red states that could still break in either party’s direction.
For the first time in eight years, Gov. Ron DeSantis is not on the ballot for governor. Now, the big question is who will replace him, with a tight race less than a week before election day. Here is where each candidate stands on the issues.
Alaska’s Republican-run state government on Saturday urged a federal judge to dismiss a lawsuit filed at President Donald Trump’s direction to stop the certification of a possible Democratic win in that state’s pivotal U.S. Senate race, writing that there is “no reason for this Court to entertain this meritless lawsuit any longer.”
By NICHOLAS RICCARDI and BECKY BOHRER ANCHORAGE, Alaska (AP) — Alaska’s Republican-run state government on Saturday urged a federal judge to dismiss a lawsuit filed at President Donald Trump’s direction to stop the certification of a possible Democratic win in that state’s pivotal U.S. Senate race, writing that there is “no reason for this Court […]
Iowa Democratic Senate candidate Josh Turek faces criticism after ad opposing "taxpayers paying for sex changes."
U.S. Senate candidates Darline Graham and her Democratic opponent, Annie Andrews, have been playing to substantially different audiences in the final days of their unexpectedly competitive race.


| Date (Start - End) | Spread | Hochul | Blakeman |
|---|---|---|---|
Polling Average | Hochul+13.3 | 50.7% | 37.4% |
Research Co.Oct 30 - Nov 1 | Hochul+9.0 | 52.0% | 43.0% |
Marist UniversityOct 22 - 25 | Hochul+11.0 | 53.0% | 42.0% |
Marist UniversityOct 22 - 25 | Hochul+14.0 | 55.0% | 41.0% |
ActiVoteOct 1 - 23 | Hochul+18.0 | 59.0% | 41.0% |
Siena UniversityOct 19 - 22 | Hochul+14.0 | 54.0% | 40.0% |
Quinnipiac UniversityOct 15 - 19 | Hochul+14.0 | 55.0% | 41.0% |
OnMessageOct 12 - 14 | Blakeman+0.0 | 50.3% | 50.3% |
Beacon ResearchOct 1 - 6 | Hochul+22.0 | 53.0% | 31.0% |
Emerson CollegeOct 3 - 5 | Hochul+12.7 | 52.4% | 39.7% |
Marist UniversityOct 1 - 4 | Hochul+11.0 | 53.0% | 42.0% |
co/efficientSep 23 - 25 | Hochul+7.0 | 48.0% | 41.0% |
Quinnipiac UniversitySep 17 - 20 | Hochul+19.0 | 58.0% | 39.0% |
Siena UniversitySep 11 - 17 | Hochul+9.0 | 50.0% | 41.0% |
McLaughlin & AssociatesAug 27 - 31 | Hochul+3.9 | 49.6% | 45.7% |
Concord Public Opinion PartnersAug 19 - 21 | Hochul+16.0 | 50.0% | 34.0% |
Siena UniversityAug 3 - 6 | Hochul+10.0 | 49.0% | 39.0% |
Moxie StrategiesJul 22 - 28 | Hochul+12.0 | 49.0% | 37.0% |
Red Oak StrategicJul 7 - 12 | Hochul+4.0 | 47.0% | 43.0% |
co/efficientJun 30 - Jul 2 | Hochul+6.0 | 47.0% | 41.0% |
Siena UniversityJun 17 - 23 | Hochul+20.0 | 52.0% | 32.0% |
PollfinityJun 11 - 14 | Hochul+10.0 | 47.0% | 37.0% |
PollfinityJun 11 - 14 | Hochul+10.0 | 50.0% | 40.0% |
Siena UniversityApr 27 - 30 | Hochul+16.0 | 49.0% | 33.0% |
Echelon InsightsMar 24 - 26 | Hochul+15.0 | 55.0% | 40.0% |
Siena CollegeMar 23 - 26 | Hochul+13.0 | 47.0% | 34.0% |
McLaughlin & AssociatesMar 4 - 8 | Hochul+9.0 | 52.0% | 43.0% |
Siena UniversityFeb 23 - 26 | Hochul+20.0 | 51.0% | 31.0% |
Marist UniversityFeb 16 - 19 | Hochul+17.0 | 50.0% | 33.0% |
MAD Global StrategyFeb 2 - 4 | Hochul+13.0 | 47.0% | 34.0% |
Siena UniversityJan 26 - 28 | Hochul+26.0 | 54.0% | 28.0% |
John Zogby StrategiesJan 6 - 8 | Hochul+14.0 | 53.0% | 39.0% |
John Zogby StrategiesJan 6 - 8 | Hochul+15.3 | 49.3% | 34.0% |
Siena CollegeDec 8 - 12 | Hochul+25.0 | 50.0% | 25.0% |
J.L. PartnersNov 9 - 10 | Hochul+11.0 | 47.0% | 36.0% |
Siena CollegeJun 23 - 26 | Hochul+25.0 | 44.0% | 19.0% |
GrayhouseApr 22 - 24 | Hochul+8.0 | 44.0% | 36.0% |
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in New York
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:13 AM UTC
Will the Republican party win the governorship in New York
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:13 AM UTC