Prediction Edge
ClosedGeneral Election

2026 New York Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Election Day: Recorded market close:

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' saved odds and polling averages. Updated .

CandidateSaved oddsPoll average
96%50.7%
4%37.4%

Odds

Odds History

Total volume

$8.7M

24h volume

$1.3M

source: Kalshi

Politics IQ

Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data

New York · Governor

Strong DemocraticNot a core swing state

State Lean

Strong Democratic

Not a core swing state

Primary System

Party primary or state-specific

No primary runoff

Election Rules

Primary Jun 23, 2026

Runoff: No

General: Nov 3, 2026

Early voting

Early voting generally runs from 10 days before Election Day through two days before Election Day.

Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · National Governors Association, Gubernatorial Elections · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

New York 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Outside spending is ramping up in the New York governor race, with a new PAC pledging millions to support Bruce Blakeman and attack Kathy Hochul. A recent preview says Hochul is running for another term and still benefits from New York’s Democratic registration advantage. The outside spending could give Blakeman more support, but the Democratic registration edge still favors Hochul. Overall, the news looks mildly supportive of Democrats and keeps the race tilted toward them.

Articles
ADAnchorage Daily News22 hours ago

Alaskans are preparing for a high-stakes Election Day on Tuesday. Here’s what to know.

Polls will be open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. on Election Day. While early results will start rolling in Tuesday night, the final outcome for more competitive races might not be known until ranked choice tabulation takes place Nov. 18.

UNU.S. News & World Report2 days ago

The Latest: Democrat Who Lost Michigan Senate Primary Backs Republican in General Election Contest

Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed’s former opponent in the U.S. Senate primary, Haley Stevens, stunned party officials on Sunday by endorsing Republican Mike Rogers in the general election contest after Democratic tensions boiled over. The move came after Stevens was uninvited to a joint event the same day with El-Sayed as he campaigned for the Michigan seat. The outcome could help determine the balance of power on Capitol Hill.

RSRolling Stone1 day ago

What the Hell Is Going on With the Michigan Senate Race?

Jilted Democrat Haley Stevens shocked the political world by endorsing MAGA Republican Mike Rogers over Abdul El-Sayed for Senate in Michigan.

UTUSA TODAY2 days ago

Trump bet on riskier candidates. Will it cost Republicans seats?

The president often picked more loyal but polarizing contenders during the 2026 primary season, now some of them are behind in the polls.

CNCable News Network2 days ago

CNN’s 11 Senate seats most likely to flip, the day before the midterms

On the eve of the election, Democrats appear within striking distance of winning the Senate majority, but many seats in play are in toss-up territory in deep-red states that could still break in either party’s direction.

TIThe Independent Florida Alligator4 days ago

The Alligator’s governor voter guide

For the first time in eight years, Gov. Ron DeSantis is not on the ballot for governor. Now, the big question is who will replace him, with a tight race less than a week before election day. Here is where each candidate stands on the issues.

CTChicago Tribune3 days ago

Attorneys for Alaska say Trump demand to set aside ballots not possible

Alaska’s Republican-run state government on Saturday urged a federal judge to dismiss a lawsuit filed at President Donald Trump’s direction to stop the certification of a possible Democratic win in that state’s pivotal U.S. Senate race, writing that there is “no reason for this Court to entertain this meritless lawsuit any longer.”

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat3 days ago

Attorneys for Alaska say ‘meritless’ Trump demand to set aside Senate ballots ‘not even possible’

By NICHOLAS RICCARDI and BECKY BOHRER ANCHORAGE, Alaska (AP) — Alaska’s Republican-run state government on Saturday urged a federal judge to dismiss a lawsuit filed at President Donald Trump’s direction to stop the certification of a possible Democratic win in that state’s pivotal U.S. Senate race, writing that there is “no reason for this Court […]

TWThe Washington Post3 days ago

Democratic official says she won’t vote for Iowa Senate candidate over trans ad

Iowa Democratic Senate candidate Josh Turek faces criticism after ad opposing "taxpayers paying for sex changes."

CPCharleston Post and Courier4 days ago

Inside the final days of the South Carolina Senate race

U.S. Senate candidates Darline Graham and her Democratic opponent, Annie Andrews, have been playing to substantially different audiences in the final days of their unexpectedly competitive race.

Latest Polls

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
50.7%
37.4%
Kathy Hochul
K. Hochul
Bruce Blakeman
B. Blakeman
Date (Start - End)SpreadHochulBlakeman
Polling Average
Hochul+13.3
50.7%37.4%
Research Co.Oct 30 - Nov 1
Hochul+9.0
52.0%43.0%
Marist UniversityOct 22 - 25
Hochul+11.0
53.0%42.0%
Marist UniversityOct 22 - 25
Hochul+14.0
55.0%41.0%
ActiVoteOct 1 - 23
Hochul+18.0
59.0%41.0%
Siena UniversityOct 19 - 22
Hochul+14.0
54.0%40.0%
Quinnipiac UniversityOct 15 - 19
Hochul+14.0
55.0%41.0%
OnMessageOct 12 - 14
Blakeman+0.0
50.3%50.3%
Beacon ResearchOct 1 - 6
Hochul+22.0
53.0%31.0%
Emerson CollegeOct 3 - 5
Hochul+12.7
52.4%39.7%
Marist UniversityOct 1 - 4
Hochul+11.0
53.0%42.0%
co/efficientSep 23 - 25
Hochul+7.0
48.0%41.0%
Quinnipiac UniversitySep 17 - 20
Hochul+19.0
58.0%39.0%
Siena UniversitySep 11 - 17
Hochul+9.0
50.0%41.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesAug 27 - 31
Hochul+3.9
49.6%45.7%
Concord Public Opinion PartnersAug 19 - 21
Hochul+16.0
50.0%34.0%
Siena UniversityAug 3 - 6
Hochul+10.0
49.0%39.0%
Moxie StrategiesJul 22 - 28
Hochul+12.0
49.0%37.0%
Red Oak StrategicJul 7 - 12
Hochul+4.0
47.0%43.0%
co/efficientJun 30 - Jul 2
Hochul+6.0
47.0%41.0%
Siena UniversityJun 17 - 23
Hochul+20.0
52.0%32.0%
PollfinityJun 11 - 14
Hochul+10.0
47.0%37.0%
PollfinityJun 11 - 14
Hochul+10.0
50.0%40.0%
Siena UniversityApr 27 - 30
Hochul+16.0
49.0%33.0%
Echelon InsightsMar 24 - 26
Hochul+15.0
55.0%40.0%
Siena CollegeMar 23 - 26
Hochul+13.0
47.0%34.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesMar 4 - 8
Hochul+9.0
52.0%43.0%
Siena UniversityFeb 23 - 26
Hochul+20.0
51.0%31.0%
Marist UniversityFeb 16 - 19
Hochul+17.0
50.0%33.0%
MAD Global StrategyFeb 2 - 4
Hochul+13.0
47.0%34.0%
Siena UniversityJan 26 - 28
Hochul+26.0
54.0%28.0%
John Zogby StrategiesJan 6 - 8
Hochul+14.0
53.0%39.0%
John Zogby StrategiesJan 6 - 8
Hochul+15.3
49.3%34.0%
Siena CollegeDec 8 - 12
Hochul+25.0
50.0%25.0%
J.L. PartnersNov 9 - 10
Hochul+11.0
47.0%36.0%
Siena CollegeJun 23 - 26
Hochul+25.0
44.0%19.0%
GrayhouseApr 22 - 24
Hochul+8.0
44.0%36.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

New York Governor winner?

All preserved contracts have verified final results.

  • Kathy Hochul

    Will the Democratic party win the governorship in New York

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:13 AM UTC

  • Bruce Blakeman

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in New York

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:13 AM UTC