$576.6K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 11, 2026, 10:53 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 96% | 49.5% | |
| 6% | 36.8% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Gina Hinojosa rolled out a proposal to send $1,500 to every Texas household if elected governor. The plan highlights a sharp contrast with Greg Abbott on taxes and spending, but it would face major legislative hurdles. This is a policy contrast that may help Hinojosa define the race, but it does not by itself change the underlying odds much. The effect on the market is likely limited unless it shifts broader campaign momentum.
Iowa has become a more conservative state, but Democrats hope to flip it in 2026.
Justin Pearson, who gained national prominence after being expelled from the Tennessee House for supporting a gun safety protest, has won the Democratic no
The narrow victory of former health official Abdul El-Sayed over four-term Rep. Haley Stevens marked yet another stumble by the traditional power brokers.
U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham was far out front in a six-way Republican primary, likely to win enough votes to avoid a runoff, early and unofficial results showed as votes were
A quick guide to the candidates currently leading California’s governor race and how the final outcome could shift as counties continue to count votes.
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
Breaking down the rumors of Gov. Mikie Sherrill's potential roles on the national stage.
Progressive Democrat Analilia Mejia is headed to Washington.
Talarico described Texas' THC ban as a "gift to the cartels."
Gov. Gavin Newsom reiterated past remarks that Democrats nationwide need to be more pugnacious as the party casts about for a replacement to Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner, who dropped out Wednesday after an ex-girlfriend accused him of sexual assault.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Feb 2, 2026 and Jul 12, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
