Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
48%
$29.6K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Cait Conley is trading at 72% to win the NY-17 House winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Army officer
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyMainstream Democrat
GenderFemale
LocationNew York
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BackgroundU.S. Army officer
EducationUnited States Military Academy at West Point (B.S.)
Notable personal detailsCait Conley is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in New York’s 17th Congressional District. She is a U.S. Army combat veteran with six overseas deployments and has worked in national security roles including at the National Security Council and as a senior advisor at the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA). She is a graduate of the United States Military Academy at West Point and holds graduate degrees from Harvard Kennedy School and MIT.
SourcesShowHide
fec.govcaitconley.comctc.westpoint.eduelections.ny.govlegislature.rocklandcountyny.govdemocratsworkforamerica.orggiffords.orgtavernresearch.comriverjournalonline.comvictoryfund.orgconleyrecord.comdocquery.fec.govreddit.comelections.dutchessny.govnextgov.combuzzsprout.comthebench.orgnationalpress.orgjstreetpac.orgnycbar.orgcongress.govcis.orgcouncil.nyc.govcathstan.orgwsau.com19thnews.orgen.wikipedia.orgbaptistnews.comhrc.orgemilyslist.orgapnews.comnews.halstonmedia.comendcitizensunited.orgnotus.orgballotpedia.orgdavidmckaywilson.substack.comfoxnews.comnystateofpolitics.comthehudsonindependent.comnews.ballotpedia.orglohud.compolitico.commilitary.comnewjersey.news12.comyonkerstimes.commonseyscoop.cominsidernj.comballotready.orgdisclosures-clerk.house.govwebforms.fec.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports federal investments to lower costs for families (infrastructure, housing, education, healthcare) and defends Medicaid/Medicare funding while opposing policies she says would raise costs for families. Endorses targeted federal funding and tax credits to support affordable housing and infrastructure rather than cuts to social programs.
Healthcare
Supports protecting and expanding the Affordable Care Act and Medicaid, expanding Medicare benefits (vision, dental, hearing), lowering prescription costs (capping insulin, allowing Medicare negotiation), and protecting reproductive healthcare including codifying Roe v. Wade. Emphasizes defending funding for hospitals, investing in veterans’ care, and opposing cuts to Medicaid and Medicare.
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Immigration & Border
Cait Conley’s campaign materials state she will work to “fix our broken immigration system” and prioritize a “safe and secure America,” but provide no detailed policy prescriptions on asylum, enforcement, or pathways to legal status. Public-facing statements on her site are general and do not clearly place her in an enforcement-first or reform/regularization policy camp.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Supports protecting reproductive freedom by codifying Roe v. Wade into federal law and ensuring access to abortion, contraception, and IVF; supports federal funding for Planned Parenthood and repeal of federal restrictions that cut Medicaid reimbursements to Planned Parenthood.
Climate & Energy
Supports treating climate change as a national security crisis and prioritizes clean energy investments (solar, wind, hydro, geothermal), grid modernization, flood mitigation, and federal funding for resilience and infrastructure updates to lower utility bills and create jobs. Advocates holding utilities accountable and removing regulatory barriers to move alternative energy projects forward. Does not explicitly endorse Green New Deal–style phasing out of fossil fuels in the cited materials.
Public Safety & Guns
Supports universal background checks and red flag laws, a ban on assault weapons, crackdowns on ghost guns, and funding for law enforcement as well as suicide prevention and community violence intervention programs.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 17, 2026
Cait Conley won the Democratic primary in New York’s 17th Congressional District and will face Republican Rep. Mike Lawler in a closely watched House race. The contest is being seen as one of the most competitive in the country, with recent polling showing Conley ahead and prediction markets favoring her. The race has drawn extra attention because it could help decide control of the House.
fec.gov+49
Articles
NNewsweek23 days ago
Mike Lawler Reveals DWAI Arrest As He Faces Swing Seat Test
Positive
NNewsBreak1 month ago
Mamdani won big, but it's a mistake to think all Democrats swung left: ANALYSIS
Positive
NNewsweek1 month ago
Cait Conley’s Chances of Beating Mike Lawler to Flip GOP-Held Seat in NY
Positive
UTUSA TODAY2 months ago
Cait Conley wins Democratic primary to face Rep. Mike Lawler in NY
Positive
Latest Polls
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Endorsements
NY-17 Democratic nominee?
Endorsers of Cait Conley for NY-17 Democratic nominee?
EMILYs List
Public endorsement
EMILYs List endorsed Cait Conley for election in New York's 17th Congressional District.
Human Rights Campaign PAC
Political organization
Human Rights Campaign PAC endorsed Cait Conley for U.S. House in NY-17.
American Federation of Teachers
Labor organization
American Federation of Teachers endorsed Cait Conley in the NY-17 Democratic primary.
Sean Patrick Maloney
Public figure
Sean Patrick Maloney endorsed Cait Conley in the NY-17 race.
End Citizens United
Public figure
End Citizens United endorsed Cait Conley for New York's 17th Congressional District.
LGBTQ+ Victory Fund
Public endorsement
LGBTQ+ Victory Fund endorsed Cait Conley in the NY-17 Democratic primary.
Peekskill Democratic City Committee
Political organization
Peekskill Democratic City Committee endorsed Cait Conley in the NY-17 race.
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$4.3M
$3.2M
$2.2M
$1.1M
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$4.3M
$1.3M
$3.0M
$166.6K
Source: FEC