$26.5K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$26.5K
24h volume
$1.0K
source: Kalshi
The biggest new development is Mike Lawler’s disclosure of a decade-old drunk driving arrest as he seeks reelection in NY-17. Recent polling cited in the article has Cait Conley ahead, and traders are now pricing her as the favorite. The district remains a highly competitive toss-up. The latest polling and market pricing appear to strengthen Democrats’ position in the race. Lawler’s disclosure could add some downside risk for Republicans, though the seat remains competitive.
President Donald Trump's approval ratings have been underwater for more than a year. Polls show more voters are eager and inclined to vote for Dems.
Black Democratic voters were reluctant adopters of Zohran Mamdani, the socialist mayor of New York City, in 2025.
Although the midterms are months away, potential 2028 presidential candidates are starting to float to the top. See who's leading, per this new poll.
Whitmer is the best known politician in Michigan and could be a decisive figure in determining the outcome of the primary.
Cait Conley and Rep. Mike Lawler will square off in New York's 17th Congressional District. Who will best define the Hudson Valley's political center?
Democrat Cait Conley cruised to victory in a New York primary that vaulted the combat veteran into a faceoff against Republican Rep. Mike Lawler.
Once allies, Colin Allred and Julie Johnson are working community events, gyms and taquerias in a battle for a safe Democratic seat in Congress.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.