$9.6K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$9.6K
24h volume
$77
source: Kalshi
Trump backed Mike Lawler’s re-election bid in NY-17, giving the Republican incumbent a notable boost. On the Democratic side, the primary remains crowded and divided, while a court upheld Effie Phillips-Staley’s petition amid a fraud challenge. County endorsements are splitting, with Putnam backing Cait Conley and Westchester declining to endorse anyone. The race still looks competitive, but Lawler’s endorsement is a modest boost for the Republican incumbent. The Democratic side remains unsettled, with the primary field and petition fight adding uncertainty.
President Donald Trump gave Rep. Mike Lawler his "Complete and Total Endorsement" and branded Democratic candidate Effie Phillip-Staley a "FRAUDSTER"
A Democrat vying to take down Hudson Valley Rep. Mike Lawler once championed a policy that allowed children to coordinate with their school about what to tell their parents about their transgender status.
Republican Rep. Mike Lawler is accusing the campaign of one of his Democratic opponents Effie Phillips-Staley, of forging dozens of voter signatures on petitions to qualify for the primary ballot in a lawsuit.
Putnam County Democrats endorsed Army veteran Cait Conley as their preferred primary contender to take on Rep. Mike Lawler for his 17th District seat.
Westchester County Democrats voted on primary rivals Cait Conley and Beth Davidson but neither won a majority after abstentions in an endorsement vote.
MAHOPAC, N.Y. -- Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., faced another tough crowd at a town hall late Sunday night, as frustrated constituents in his suburban swing district demanded he answer for the war in Iran.
Rep. Mike Lawler held a 90-minute town hall in Mahopac that was as rowdy as his past gatherings with plenty of jeers and rancor over the Iran war
Democrats hoping for the chance to unseat Republican Rep.
Peter Chatzy, the wealthy Democratic congressional candidate who joked about child porn and having sex with a 17-year-old in resurfaced social media posts showed no remorse in a fundraising appeal Tuesday — even as one of his primary rivals called on him to withdraw from the race.
Voters in Trump’s home state are primed to crush the GOP in November.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
