Prediction Edge
Democrat
Carin Elam

Carin Elam

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Carin Elam is trading at 1% to win the CA-14 special election winner on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleNonprofit executive

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

GenderFemale

LocationCalifornia

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BackgroundNonprofit executive

EducationBarnard College (1990–1994)

Notable personal detailsCarin Elam is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in California’s 14th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. She has worked in nonprofit leadership, including as executive director of RP Hope, and has been affiliated with LightHouse for the Blind and Visually Impaired in the San Francisco Bay Area. She is based in Pleasanton, California and has run a campaign committee registered with the Federal Election Commission for CA-14.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports using tax incentives and restoring tax credits to advance public-policy goals such as affordable housing, clean energy, and other social/consumer protections. Emphasizes government tools (tax credits/incentives) to encourage redevelopment and renewable energy investment while addressing affordability and consumer costs.

Healthcare

Supports lowering the Medicare eligibility age and increasing affordability and oversight of health insurance to prioritize patients over insurer profits. Advocates federal action to make healthcare more affordable and to expand access through public programs.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate’s campaign materials oppose the normalization of local Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) deployments (including discussion of a potential ICE facility in Dublin) and emphasize protecting voting rights against ICE actions. There are no detailed policy proposals on asylum, border enforcement levels, or pathways to legalization on the campaign site.

Climate & Energy

Supports restoring and expanding clean-energy incentives including tax credits for clean energy and electric vehicles, agricultural conservation programs, and rebates for home energy efficiency. Advocates federal investment and incentives to accelerate clean technology deployment. No explicit call to phase out fossil fuels or endorse Green New Deal–level targets was found in the cited campaign material.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Carin Elam is in the news as a candidate in California’s 14th Congressional District special election to fill the remainder of Eric Swalwell’s term. The race is moving toward a runoff if no one wins outright, with the top two candidates advancing to an August 18 runoff. The district is also holding a separate contest for the full term, so voters may face more than one election this year.

fec.gov+40

Endorsements

1
CA-14 primary: first place

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$32.7K
$24.5K
$16.3K
$8.2K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$32.7K
$0.00
$32.7K
$1.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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