Prediction Edge
Democrat
Chaz Molder

Chaz Molder

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Tennessee

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Chaz Molder is trading at 100% to win the TN-05 Democratic nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleMayor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

GenderMale

LocationTennessee

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BackgroundMayor of Columbia, Tennessee

EducationUniversity of Tennessee

Notable personal detailsChaz Molder is the mayor of Columbia, Tennessee (elected 2018) and a Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District. He is a University of Tennessee graduate and earned his J.D. from the University of Memphis Cecil C. Humphreys School of Law. He is married to Elizabeth Molder and they have three children.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Chaz Molder emphasizes fiscal restraint at the local level, noting he has passed seven balanced budgets as mayor without raising property taxes and says he saved taxpayers through fiscal management. His campaign emphasizes lowering everyday costs for families while supporting worker protections and expanded access to healthcare. On taxes specifically he highlights avoiding property tax increases and prioritizing balanced budgets and savings for taxpayers.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to affordable health care, lowering healthcare costs, expanding health insurance coverage, investing in preventive services, and supporting rural hospitals to keep them open.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate has publicly pledged to secure the country’s Southern border and described illegal immigration as a failure of both parties, signaling support for stronger border enforcement while not advocating extreme restrictionist measures in available statements.

Climate & Energy

Supports investment in clean energy and is endorsed by environmental advocates; campaign materials emphasize practical local solutions though they do not list a detailed federal climate plan. The endorsement and campaign positioning indicate support for clean energy investments rather than opposition to climate action.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Chaz Molder is running as the Democratic candidate in Tennessee’s newly redrawn 5th Congressional District. The district has been reshaped by redistricting, and the Republican side is now set with Charlie Hatcher as the GOP nominee after defeating Andy Ogles. The race is drawing attention because the new map changed the district’s political makeup and created a very different general-election contest.

fec.gov+50

Latest Polls

TN-05 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Impact Research
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
40%
48%
Chaz Molder
C. Molder
Charlie Hatcher
C. Hatcher
Date (Start - End)SpreadMolderHatcher
Impact ResearchAug 19 - 24
Hatcher+8.0
40.0%48.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.6M
$1.9M
$1.3M
$649.9K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$2.6M
$1.5M
$1.1M
$58.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements