Prediction Edge
Republican
Chip Keating

Chip Keating

Republican candidate for Governor in Oklahoma

Live Odds — Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$1.2MAUG 26, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleBusinessman

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

Age46 years old (Dec 2, 1979)

GenderMale

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LocationOklahoma

BackgroundBusinessman

EducationSouthern Methodist University (B.B.A.)

Notable personal detailsFrancis Anthony "Chip" Keating III is an American businessman and Republican candidate for governor of Oklahoma in 2026. He served as Oklahoma Secretary of Public Safety in Gov. Kevin Stitt’s administration from 2019 to 2020 and previously worked as an Oklahoma Highway Patrol trooper. He earned a B.B.A. from Southern Methodist University and has worked in the private sector, including oil and gas and real estate.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate advocates major state tax reductions including eliminating Oklahoma’s state income tax, modernizing the tax code to let Oklahomans keep more of their money, and creating a tax structure that incentivizes small businesses while reducing government waste and consolidation of boards/commissions.

Healthcare

Supports conservative, state-based approaches to health-related policy that emphasize law-and-order responses to drug problems, restrictions and penalties around gender-affirming care for minors, and pro-life policies while backing access to IVF and fertility treatments. The campaign platform does not endorse major federal expansions like Medicare for All or an explicit expansion of the ACA.

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Immigration & Border

Supports sealing the border and partnering with ICE and federal agencies to secure Oklahoma; opposes driver’s licenses, taxpayer benefits, and in-state tuition for undocumented immigrants; proposes local transparency measures to track enforcement cooperation.

Climate & Energy

Supports Oklahoma energy production from oil and natural gas, backs a federal 'American Energy Dominance' approach, and emphasizes energy security and local control while opposing job‑killing federal regulations. Advocates allowing communities to bid for energy projects with safety standards and economic incentives rather than imposing projects on them.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate emphasizes strong law enforcement and public safety, presenting himself as a conservative former state trooper and Secretary of Public Safety who will “crack down on crime” and protect families. Campaign materials and news coverage highlight his law-enforcement background and focus on public-safety responses rather than proposing new firearm restrictions.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 8, 2026

Chip Keating is being mentioned in Oklahoma’s 2026 Republican governor race, but the latest voter guide does not say who has won the nomination. The coverage mainly highlights GOP candidates debating income tax and property tax reform. Overall, the reporting suggests the race is still unsettled rather than resolved.

en.wikipedia.org+50

Latest Polls

Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Chip Keating currently averages 9.1%, ranking 5th in this race, 0.9 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 9.1%Position: 5thMargin: -0.9 ptsLatest poll: 12.0% (Jun 2 - 3)Polls included: 15

Average recalculated from polls through Jun 2 - 3.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
9.1%
33.4%
14.8%
11.3%
10%
9.0%
Chip Keating
C. Keating
Wil Genter Drummond
W. Drummond
Charles McCall
C. McCall
Ryan Walters
R. Walters
Matt Pinnell
M. Pinnell
Mike Mazzei
M. Mazzei
Jake Merrick
J. Merrick
Date (Start - End)SpreadKeatingDrummondMcCallWaltersPinnellMazzeiMerrick
Polling Average
Drummond+24.3
9.1%33.4%14.8%11.3%10.0%9.0%4.6%
JMC AnalyticsJun 2 - 3
Mazzei+14.0
12.0%21.0%8.0%26.0%12.0%
Pulse Decision SicenceMay 26 - 28
Drummond+7.0
17.0%24.0%12.0%22.0%
Allyson Shortle/NonDoc MediaMay 21 - 25
Mazzei+0.7
21.4%21.7%18.4%22.1%7.2%
Pulse Decision ScienceApr 7 - 9
Drummond+12.0
21.0%33.0%12.0%15.0%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & AssociatesJan 26 - 30
Drummond+23.0
13.0%36.0%14.0%13.0%5.0%
yes. every kid.Oct 29 - 31
Drummond+15.0
7.0%22.0%22.0%2.0%2.0%
co/efficientOct 25 - 27
McCall+26.0
5.0%20.0%31.0%1.0%3.0%
Stratus IntelligenceOct 15 - 17
McCall+25.0
7.0%30.0%32.0%1.0%4.0%
Stratus IntelligenceSep 23 - 25
Drummond+26.0
6.0%32.0%31.0%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & AssociatesAug 4 - 10
Drummond+39.0
4.0%43.0%8.0%8.0%2.0%3.0%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & AssociatesAug 4 - 10
Drummond+44.0
4.0%48.0%10.0%2.0%4.0%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & AssociatesMay 5 - 9
Drummond+36.0
3.0%39.0%5.0%12.0%10.0%1.0%1.0%
Victory InsightsFeb 23 - 25
Drummond+34.5
2.8%37.3%6.2%1.3%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & AssociatesFeb 10 - 15
Drummond+38.0
6.0%44.0%5.0%14.0%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & AssociatesFeb 10 - 15
Drummond+43.0
7.0%50.0%7.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

2
Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising