$1.1M
JUN 16, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 19, 2026, 1:53 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 79% | 12.8% | |
| 24% | 27.9% | |
| 1% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest development is that the Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial nomination is headed to a runoff between Mike Mazzei and Gentner Drummond. That means the race is still open and not yet decided. Separate Oklahoma election results also showed strong Republican performance in the Senate primary, but they do not resolve this governor contest. The runoff keeps the gubernatorial market uncertain for now. Mazzei’s advance to a runoff means the nominee will be decided later, so odds may stay volatile until that result is known.
Oklahoma voters have rejected raising the state's nation-lowest minimum wage as several states held primaries on Tuesday.
June 16 (UPI) -- The District of Columbia is having its first ranked-choice election, and Oklahoma is voting on whether to raise the state's minimum wage
SAN FELIPE PUEBLO, N.M. (AP) — As the sun peeked over the Sandia Mountains, Deb Haaland was at a familiar spot, the tribal community where she used to work, waving at motorists and encouraging them to stop and vote in New Mexico’s primary.
Crypto PAC poured $12 million into Barry Moore’s Alabama Senate bid, and it worked: the Trump loyalist crushed former Navy SEAL Jared Hudson in the GOP primary runoff, setting him up as the likely nominee in November.
Contests in those states have pitted allies against each other in a fierce competition for the president's endorsement.
Jobs and Democracy PAC, funded by artificial intelligence industry figures, is backing Brook Park Democrat Brian Poindexter in Tuesday's 7th District congressional primary.
We’re following the latest updates and analysis on the Donald Trump administration. Follow along live.
An endorsement from President Donald Trump is worth a lot in Republican primaries.
Voter registration data reveals where Republicans have lost, and gained, ground over the past year with Trump back in office.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Sep 23, 2025 and Jun 3, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
