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Party selects its nominee.
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Total volume
$860.0K
24h volume
$1.5K
source: Kalshi
August
TUE 25
Oklahoma 2026 primary runoff, if required
November
TUE 3
Oklahoma 2026 general election
The biggest development is that the Oklahoma Republican governor race is headed to a runoff between Mike Mazzei and Gentner Drummond. That means the GOP nomination is still not settled. Separate Oklahoma results also showed a strong Republican showing in the Senate primary. The runoff keeps the gubernatorial market unsettled for now. Mazzei’s advance adds uncertainty until the nominee is decided.
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| Date (Start - End) | Spread | Drummond | McCall | Mazzei | Keating | Merrick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling Average | Drummond+3.0 | 27.9% | 24.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 5.5% |
JMC AnalyticsJun 2 - 3 | Mazzei+5.0 | 21.0% | 8.0% | 26.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% |
Pulse Decision SicenceMay 26 - 28 | Drummond+2.0 | 24.0% | 12.0% | 22.0% | 17.0% | – |
Allyson Shortle/NonDoc MediaMay 21 - 25 | Mazzei+0.4 | 21.7% | 18.4% | 22.1% | 21.4% | 7.2% |
Pulse Decision SicenceApr 7 - 9 | Drummond+12.0 | 33.0% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 21.0% | – |
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & AssociatesJan 26 - 30 | Drummond+22.0 | 36.0% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 5.0% |
yes. every kid.Oct 29 - 31 | McCall+0.0 | 22.0% | 22.0% | 2.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
co/efficientOct 25 - 27 | McCall+11.0 | 20.0% | 31.0% | 1.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
co/efficientOct 25 - 27 | McCall+17.0 | 23.0% | 40.0% | – | – | – |
Stratus IntelligenceOct 15 - 17 | McCall+2.0 | 30.0% | 32.0% | 1.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
Stratus IntelligenceOct 15 - 17 | McCall+8.0 | 37.0% | 45.0% | – | – | – |
Stratus IntelligenceSep 23 - 25 | Drummond+1.0 | 32.0% | 31.0% | – | 6.0% | – |
Stratus IntelligenceSep 23 - 25 | Drummond+2.0 | 35.0% | 33.0% | – | – | – |
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Kevin Stitt
Governor Kevin Stitt endorsed Mike Mazzei ahead of the Oklahoma Republican runoff.
Texas County Sheriff Matt McKenzie
Texas County Sheriff Matt McKenzie endorsed Gentner Drummond for governor.
Professional Fire Fighters of Oklahoma
Professional Fire Fighters of Oklahoma endorsed Gentner Drummond for governor.
Oklahoma Fraternal Order of Police
Oklahoma Fraternal Order of Police endorsed Charles McCall for governor.
Oklahoma Retired Firefighters Association
Oklahoma Retired Firefighters Association endorsed Charles McCall.
National Women's Prayer and Voting Army
National Women's Prayer and Voting Army endorsed Charles McCall.
Twenty Oklahoma county sheriffs
Twenty Oklahoma county sheriffs endorsed Charles McCall for governor.
Oklahoma Conservative Coalition
Oklahoma Conservative Coalition endorsed Charles McCall and backed his Oklahoma governor bid with a $1.6 million ad buy.
Oil and Gas Workers Association (OGWA)
Oil and Gas Workers Association (OGWA) endorsed Chip Keating for governor of Oklahoma.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.