Prediction Edge
Democrat
Chris Backemeyer

Latest Insights

NE-01 Democratic nominee?

26d

Chris Backemeyer remains the clear favorite in Nebraska’s 1st District Democratic primary, and the latest public coverage still frames the race as a two-candidate contest heading into the May 12 vote. That keeps the market biased toward Backemeyer unless a new late-campaign catalyst emerges.

80%19%

NE-01 Democratic nominee?

27d

Chris Backemeyer remains the clear favorite for the May 12 Nebraska-1 Democratic nomination, and recent local coverage keeps the race in view as the primary approaches. The market’s firm 89% price reflects that he remains well ahead of Eric Moyer, so traders should expect the favorite to stay heavily backed unless there is a late surprise.

89%9%

Overview

Current roleU.S. Department of State diplomat/foreign service officer

PartyDemocratic

GenderMale

LocationNebraska

BackgroundU.S. Department of State diplomat/foreign service officer

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EducationUC San Diego School of Global Policy and Strategy (GPS)

Notable personal detailsChris Backemeyer is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Nebraska’s 1st Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. He is a career U.S. Department of State official who served in senior roles in the Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs, including as a Deputy Assistant Secretary, and has worked on sanctions, Iran policy, and Middle East regional affairs. He is based in Lincoln, Nebraska, and has run a campaign committee registered with the Federal Election Commission.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports policies that shift tax burdens toward wealthy individuals and corporations while expanding targeted tax benefits for families, and emphasizes reducing costs for middle-class families. Advocates expanding the Child Tax Credit, rebalancing the tax code so billionaires and corporations pay more, and rolling back tariffs that raise costs for producers and consumers. Also prioritizes reining in the national debt and opposes tax cuts for billionaires that worsen deficits.

Healthcare

The candidate emphasizes affordability and addressing rising health care prices and frames affordable health care as a personal priority based on his cancer experience. Public policy prescriptions (e.g., support for ACA expansion, a public option, or Medicare for All) are not clearly specified in available campaign reporting and social posts.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate critiques ICE operations and calls for congressional investigations and oversight of immigration enforcement while presenting a campaign platform focused on governance and public service rather than enforcement-first rhetoric. Public materials emphasize accountability for immigration enforcement actions but do not lay out advocacy for major restrictionist or large-scale deportation policies.

Polls

Tavern Research
40%30%20%10%0%
33%
Chris Backemeyer
C. Backemeyer
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Tavern ResearchMay 19, 2026
33.0%
Zenith ResearchMay 11, 2026
38.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$354.2K
$265.6K
$177.1K
$88.5K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$354.2K
$192.2K
$162.0K
$10.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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