Prediction Edge
Republican
Chris Collins

Chris Collins

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Chris Collins is trading at 0% to win the FL-22 Republican nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer U.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age76 years old (May 20, 1950)

GenderMale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundPolitician

Notable personal detailsChristopher Carl Collins is a Republican politician and businessman who represented New York's 27th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2013 to 2019. He resigned from Congress in 2019 after pleading guilty to federal insider trading charges and was pardoned by President Donald Trump in 2020. He is a declared candidate for the U.S. House from Florida's 19th congressional district for the 2026 election cycle.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate opposes tax increases and promotes pro-growth, pro-business tax policies, campaigning to 'oppose liberal tax hikes' and 'unleash America’s economic potential.' As a former U.S. representative he supported Republican tax overhaul measures that reduced corporate and individual tax rates and backed eliminating certain deductions such as the state-and-local tax deduction on federal returns.

Healthcare

Supports repealing or rolling back the Affordable Care Act and backed Republican legislation to replace it with market-oriented reforms. Has framed the ACA as a failed policy and supported GOP efforts to reduce federal involvement in health insurance. No public materials on the candidate’s campaign site provide an expansionary public-health or single-payer stance.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate emphasizes securing the border and supports strong enforcement measures while also having supported a conditional legal-status solution for DACA recipients. Public materials show backing for travel restrictions and promotion of border security alongside sponsorship of legislation offering multi-year conditional status and a potential path to permanent status for certain undocumented immigrants brought to the U.S. as children.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Opposes abortion and identifies as pro-life; has criticized pro‑abortion candidates and described laws expanding abortion access in New York as unacceptable.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports broad Second Amendment protections, federal preemption of state assault-weapon restrictions, concealed-carry reciprocity, and has received high ratings and endorsement from the NRA. Opposes major new federal gun restrictions such as expanded background-check mandates that would limit gun ownership rights.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 15, 2026

Chris Collins is in the news because he is running in the crowded Republican primary for Florida’s 19th Congressional District. The race has drawn several well-known or controversial candidates, and the Trump-endorsed Catalina Lauf is currently described as the leader. Because the district is strongly Republican, the primary winner is expected to be the favorite in the general election.

fec.gov+49

Latest Polls

FL-19 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Chris Collins currently averages 6.3%, ranking 4th in this race, 3.3 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 6.3%Position: 4thMargin: -3.3 ptsLatest poll: 8.0% (Aug 4 - 6)Polls included: 4

Average recalculated from polls through Aug 4 - 6.

Polling Average
15%10%5%0%
6.3%
11.9%
10.2%
9.7%
5.8%
Chris Collins
C. Collins
Catalina Lauf
C. Lauf
Jim Schwartzel
J. Schwartzel
Jim Oberweis
J. Oberweis
Madison Cawthorn
M. Cawthorn
Ola Hawatmeh
O. Hawatmeh
Date (Start - End)SpreadCollinsLaufSchwartzelOberweisCawthornHawatmeh
Polling Average
Lauf+5.5
6.3%11.9%10.2%9.7%5.8%2.0%
Victory InsightsAug 4 - 6
Schwartzel+11.1
8.0%18.9%19.1%11.7%6.0%4.0%
Victory InsightsJun 20 - 21
Schwartzel+9.4
3.4%4.9%12.8%11.9%5.2%0.0%
InquireOct 4 - 6
Collins+1.0
9.0%5.0%8.0%8.0%
InquireOct 4 - 6
Oberweis+2.0
5.0%4.0%7.0%4.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$3.4M
$2.6M
$1.7M
$852.5K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$3.4M
$947.6K
$2.5M
$129.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements