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Who will win the 2026 Florida District 22 US House Republican Primary?

Aug 19, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 24 daysLast updated: Jul 26, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC

FL-22 Republican nominee?

$86.7K

AUG 19, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$86.7K

24h volume

$16.3K

M. Carbonara82%

B. Kaiser15%

C. Askar6%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

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August

TUE 18

Florida 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Florida 2026 general election

Latest Insights

FL-22 Republican nominee?

Carbonara’s contract snapped back from 73% to 81% intraday, putting him back near the top of the field as the crowded Republican primary remains volatile.

81%8%

News

AINews Summary

Michael Carbonara has boosted his Florida 22nd District campaign by selling 10 Bitcoin to self-fund his bid. The race is unfolding after Florida redistricting reshaped South Florida House contests, while broader 2026 fundraising reports show Democrats outraising Republicans in many battleground seats. Carbonara’s self-funding could strengthen his nomination bid, but the overall effect on the market is still unclear. Broader fundraising trends and redistricting add some uncertainty rather than pointing to a clear favorite.

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WEWashington Examiner6 days ago

House GOP campaign arm expands 2026 target list

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NNewsweek9 days ago

Map Shows Where Democrats Massively Outraising Republican Incumbents

More than a dozen House Republicans are being outraised by their opponents ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.

NNNBC News1 month ago

House Republicans prepare ad blitz to lock in Florida and Virginia redistricting wins

House Republicans are looking to capitalize on recent redistricting developments in Florida and Virginia, with a GOP super PAC announcing it plans to spend millions more in those states this fall.

NNewsmax1 month ago

Wasserman Schultz Campaign Drawing Fire in Redrawn Fla. District

Igniting fierce primary battles and deep divisions within the Democratic Party over Black political representation is the decision of longtime Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz, D-Fla., to seek reelection in Florida's newly redrawn, majority-minority 20th Congressional District.

DDecrypt2 months ago

Florida Candidate Liquidates $800K in Bitcoin to Bankroll Congressional Bid

A Republican candidate jockeying to represent Florida’s 22nd Congressional District liquidated Bitcoin to help fuel his political bid.

TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer1 month ago

How redistricting pitted Wasserman Schultz against Black Democrats in Florida

When new maps eliminated the district of a longtime Democratic congresswoman, who is white, she decided to run in one that is historically Black.

CTChicago Tribune1 month ago

How redistricting pit Wasserman Schultz against FL Democrats

Four Black Democrats running for Congress in the same South Florida district met last week for a highly unusual discussion. Should three of them drop out and rally around a consensus Black candidate in the Democratic primary against Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz?

DDecrypt2 months ago

Morning Minute: HYPE Soars as CFTC Gives Perps Green Light

Kalshi got the formal approval, but it's Hyperliquid that caught the most buzz with a massive move over the weekend.

Endorsements

Michael Carbonara

Fabio A. Andrade

Weston City Commissioner Fabio A. Andrade endorsed Michael Carbonara for Congress.

Who will win the 2026 Florida District 22 US House Republican Primary?

FL-22 Republican nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

FL-22 Republican nominee?

News

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

GOP redistricting has divided Black areas in these 6 states : NPR

House GOP campaign arm expands 2026 target list

Map Shows Where Democrats Massively Outraising Republican Incumbents

House Republicans prepare ad blitz to lock in Florida and Virginia redistricting wins

Wasserman Schultz Campaign Drawing Fire in Redrawn Fla. District

Florida Candidate Liquidates $800K in Bitcoin to Bankroll Congressional Bid

How redistricting pitted Wasserman Schultz against Black Democrats in Florida

How redistricting pit Wasserman Schultz against FL Democrats

Morning Minute: HYPE Soars as CFTC Gives Perps Green Light

Endorsements

Fundraising

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Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

FL-22 Republican nominee?

News

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

GOP redistricting has divided Black areas in these 6 states : NPR

House GOP campaign arm expands 2026 target list

Map Shows Where Democrats Massively Outraising Republican Incumbents

House Republicans prepare ad blitz to lock in Florida and Virginia redistricting wins

Wasserman Schultz Campaign Drawing Fire in Redrawn Fla. District

Florida Candidate Liquidates $800K in Bitcoin to Bankroll Congressional Bid

How redistricting pitted Wasserman Schultz against Black Democrats in Florida

How redistricting pit Wasserman Schultz against FL Democrats

Morning Minute: HYPE Soars as CFTC Gives Perps Green Light

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

FL-06 Republican nominee?

FL-16 Republican nominee?

FL-25 Democratic nominee?