Prediction Edge
Democrat
Chris Jones

Chris Jones

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Arkansas

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Chris Jones is trading at 16% to win the AR-02 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports government investment in jobs, education, broadband, and infrastructure while opposing elimination of the state income tax; backs limited, targeted tax relief such as a temporary suspension of the gas tax but says broad income-tax cuts must "add up."

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to affordable, high-quality healthcare for Arkansans and emphasizes maternal health, addiction treatment and keeping rural hospitals open, but does not specify support for Medicare for All, a public option, or specific federal reforms on his campaign materials. Positions emphasize strengthening community health services and accessibility rather than detailed federal policy prescriptions.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Chris Jones says abortion decisions should be between a woman, her physician, and her faith and frames the state’s role as ensuring people have freedoms and access to rights. His campaign emphasizes comprehensive maternal health support but does not appear to call for strict bans or for codifying federal abortion prohibitions in the cited materials.

Climate & Energy

Supports addressing environmental and water-quality problems and favors innovation in clean energy technologies (including nuclear energy); emphasizes conserving and expanding public lands and improving environmental quality as part of broader community and quality-of-life goals.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports common-sense gun safety measures while protecting constitutional gun rights; identifies as a gun owner and favors addressing untraceable "ghost guns."

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 5, 2026

Chris Jones is now the Democratic nominee in Arkansas’s 2nd Congressional District and is challenging Republican Rep. French Hill. Recent polling shows Jones narrowly ahead, suggesting the race could be competitive. He has also been attacking Hill over a House vote that would cut WIC funding, and Pete Buttigieg is set to campaign for him in Little Rock. House Democrats have also added the district to their expanded 2026 target map.

fec.gov+51

Latest Polls

AR-02 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Chris Jones currently averages 47.0%, ranking first in this race, 4.3 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 47.0%Position: firstMargin: +4.3 ptsLatest poll: 48.0% (Aug 12 - 13)Polls included: 3

Average recalculated from polls through Aug 12 - 13.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
47%
42.7%
Chris Jones
C. Jones
French Hill
F. Hill
Date (Start - End)SpreadJonesHill
Polling Average
Jones+4.3
47.0%42.7%
Hendrix CollegeAug 12 - 13
Jones+4.0
48.0%44.0%
2040 Strategy GroupApr 28 - May 8
Jones+3.0
46.0%43.0%
2040 Strategy GroupApr 28 - May 8
Jones+6.0
47.0%41.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$798.2K
$598.7K
$399.1K
$199.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$798.2K
$114.4K
$683.8K
$45.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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