$7.1K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 12:53 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 42.0% | $3.79M | |
| 14% | 46.5% | $798.2K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest new development is a poll showing Chris Jones narrowly ahead of French Hill in Arkansas’s 2nd District. Jones is also getting a campaign appearance from Pete Buttigieg and is using Hill’s WIC vote against him. Hill is still the incumbent and seeking another term. The poll suggests the race may be tighter than expected and slightly improves Democratic sentiment. But the margin is small, so the market likely remains uncertain.
A poll has put Chris Jones 3% points ahead of French Hill.
WASHINGTON -- Mental health advocate James Russell III won Arkansas' 4th Congressional District Democratic primary on Tuesday, putting him in a matchup this fall against Republican incumbent Bruce Westerman.
These women struggled to get divorced and now are pushing their states to let people leave unhappy and unsafe marriages.
Chris Jones says vote to cut WIC program shows French Hill's priorities are wrong.
Pete Buttigieg, former U.S. secretary of transportation and 2020 Democratic presidential candidate, will appear in Little Rock next week to campaign for Chris Jones, who is running for Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District.
Democrat Shawn Harris and Republican Clay Fuller advanced to an April 7 runoff for Marjorie Taylor Greene's former U.S. House seat in Georgia after no candidate won a majority in Tuesday's special election.
Mississippi voters will choose nominees for Congress in a state primary Tuesday.
The Arkansas Democrats’ flip of a Republican-held state House race in a special election last week gave Democrats something to crow about in Trump territory.
One self-described MAGA group wants voters to believe that a Republican candidate running for secretary of state isn't sufficiently pro-Trump.
House Democrats are adding a dozen Republican-held seats to their list of targets for the November midterms.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Apr 28, 2026 and May 8, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
F. HillFrench HillC. JonesChris JonesSource: FEC
