Prediction Edge
Democrat
Chris Pappas

Chris Pappas

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in New Hampshire

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Chris Pappas is trading at 87% to win the New Hampshire Senate winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age46 years old (Jun 4, 1980)

GenderMale

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LocationNew Hampshire

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationHarvard University (A.B.)

Notable personal detailsChristopher Charles Pappas is a Democratic U.S. Representative from New Hampshire’s 1st congressional district, serving since 2019. He previously served on the New Hampshire Executive Council (2013–2019), was Hillsborough County treasurer (2007–2011), and served in the New Hampshire House of Representatives. He graduated from Harvard University with an A.B. and has worked as a restaurant manager and small business owner.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax policies that provide relief to working and middle-class families (expanded Child Tax Credit, protections for small businesses) while backing stronger enforcement against tax evasion by the ultra‑rich and corporations. Advocates targeted tax fairness measures and opposes broad Republican proposals that would cut social programs while providing tax breaks for the wealthy.

Healthcare

Supports protecting and building on the Affordable Care Act, opposes cuts to Medicaid and efforts that would roll back protections for people with pre-existing conditions, and advocates expanding access while lowering prescription drug costs and improving mental and rural health care access.

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Immigration & Border

Supports bipartisan border security measures and improved coordination for law enforcement while also backing reforms that create legal pathways and asylum protections, including co-sponsorship of legislation that would establish pathways to citizenship. Advocates additional resources for Border Patrol and fentanyl interdiction but frames solutions as comprehensive, bipartisan reform rather than enforcement-only approaches.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports broad access to abortion and reproductive health care, advocates protections for contraception and Planned Parenthood funding, and has sponsored and cosponsored federal legislation to protect and codify reproductive health access for veterans and the general public.

Climate & Energy

Supports clean energy incentives and programs to lower energy costs, while also backing measures to ensure regional energy reliability and affordability. Advocates for weatherization, Low Income Home Energy Assistance, and federal clean energy tax credits; has supported creating a House committee to explore Green New Deal solutions.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports universal background checks, closing the Charleston (three-day) loophole, red flag-type measures and other “commonsense” gun safety reforms; has voted for major gun safety bills including the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act and backed funding for gun violence research. Also supports measures to keep firearms from domestic abusers and has endorsed limits on assault-style weapons in past campaign materials.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 19, 2026

Chris Pappas has launched his 2026 New Hampshire Senate bid and is now a leading Democratic contender in the race. He is pitching the campaign around blocking President Donald Trump’s agenda and says voters are feeling pressure from tariffs, energy prices, and healthcare costs. He is also trying to reach younger voters as Democrats prepare for a competitive Senate fight in New Hampshire.

history.house.gov+38

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Chris Pappas currently averages 46.0%, ranking first in this race, 3.9 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 46.0%Position: firstMargin: +3.9 ptsLatest poll: 47.4% (Sep 26 - 27)Polls included: 24

Average recalculated from polls through Sep 26 - 27.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
46.0%
42.2%
Chris Pappas
C. Pappas
John E. Sununu
J. Sununu
Date (Start - End)SpreadPappasSununu
Polling Average
Pappas+3.9
46.0%42.2%
Trafalgar GroupSep 26 - 27
Pappas+6.9
47.4%40.5%
Trafalgar GroupSep 23 - 25
Pappas+4.0
46.0%42.0%
The New York Times/Siena UniversitySep 15 - 22
Pappas+5.0
50.0%45.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterSep 17 - 21
Pappas+8.0
50.0%42.0%
InsiderAdvantageSep 16 - 17
Pappas+8.0
48.0%40.0%
co/efficientSep 9 - 11
Sununu+0.0
46.0%46.0%
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesAug 27 - 30
Sununu+1.0
36.0%37.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterAug 20 - 24
Sununu+2.0
43.0%45.0%
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterAug 17 - 18
Pappas+7.0
48.0%41.0%
Peak InsightsJun 24 - 27
Pappas+1.0
43.0%42.0%
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterJun 24 - 25
Pappas+6.0
47.0%41.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJun 18 - 23
Pappas+3.0
47.0%44.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterApr 17 - 21
Pappas+7.0
49.0%42.0%
Emerson CollegeMar 21 - 23
Pappas+1.7
45.4%43.7%
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterMar 16 - 18
Pappas+3.0
46.0%43.0%
yes. every kid.Jan 28 - 29
Pappas+4.0
45.0%41.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJan 15 - 19
Pappas+5.0
50.0%45.0%
Praecones AnalyticaDec 26 - 28
Pappas+6.7
42.3%35.6%
Guidant Polling and StrategyDec 9 - 11
Pappas+3.0
47.0%44.0%
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterNov 18 - 19
Pappas+3.0
44.0%41.0%
co/efficientOct 9 - 13
Pappas+3.0
45.0%42.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterSep 17 - 23
Pappas+6.0
49.0%43.0%
co/efficientSep 10 - 12
Pappas+3.0
46.0%43.0%
1892 PollingSep 2 - 4
Pappas+2.0
45.0%43.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2024

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$5.2M
$3.9M
$2.6M
$1.3M
$0

2022

2024

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$5.2M
$113.2K
$5.3M
$219.3K

Cycle 2024

$4.1M
$407.6K
$3.8M
$157.3K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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