Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Christian Menefee

Christian Menefee

Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Christian Menefee is trading at 99% to win the TX-18 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age38 years old (Apr 18, 1988)

LocationTexas

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BackgroundAttorney

EducationB.B.A., University of Texas at San Antonio (2010)

Notable personal detailsChristian Dashaun Menefee is an American attorney and politician serving as the U.S. representative for Texas’s 18th congressional district, first elected in a January 31, 2026 special election. He previously served as Harris County Attorney (2021–2026), including a period as acting county attorney. Menefee earned a B.B.A. from the University of Texas at San Antonio and a J.D. from Washington University School of Law, and worked as a lawyer in private practice before holding elected office.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports changing the tax code so billionaires and large corporations pay more and expanding tax credits and other supports for working families; advocates major social spending priorities such as Medicare for All, student debt cancellation, and expanded family tax credits. These positions emphasize higher taxes on the wealthy/corporations to fund expanded government programs.

Healthcare

Supports Medicare for All and expanded government-run coverage; advocates expanding Medicare, strengthening Medicaid, and ensuring coverage includes dental, vision, and hearing. Prioritizes expanding access to care, addressing maternal mortality for Black women, and protecting federal health funding and ACA subsidies.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports protections for immigrants and refugees, defends county-funded legal services for immigrants, and opposes harsh state-level enforcement measures that expand arrests or limit asylum access. He has taken legal and public actions to preserve refugee health funding and immigrant legal aid and has supported expanded identification and services for undocumented residents. His campaign lists immigration reform and fixing the immigration system among his priorities.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports restoring and codifying abortion rights at the federal level, defending access to contraception and IVF, opposing national abortion bans, and has taken legal actions to protect access to abortion medications and reproductive healthcare for Medicaid patients. Has filed or joined legal briefs defending FDA-authorized mifepristone and urging protections for reproductive care.

Climate & Energy

Supports stronger environmental protections and enforcement, prioritizes environmental justice for overburdened communities, and defends federal climate and clean‑energy measures such as the Inflation Reduction Act while opposing rollbacks of EPA authority. Plans to pursue federal funding to clean up contaminated sites and to hold polluters and enabling agencies accountable. Has joined legal and advisory actions to back EPA rules and tighter air‑quality standards for Texas communities.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports banning assault weapons, closing background-check loopholes, limiting high-capacity magazines, restarting a federal Office of Gun Violence Prevention, and banning bump stocks. He has called for meaningful nationwide gun reform to reduce access to firearms and decrease gun violence.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Christian Menefee has won the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 18th Congressional District after defeating longtime Rep. Al Green in a runoff. The race came after redistricting forced the two Houston-area Democrats into the same contest, and Menefee advanced as the party’s nominee for the November general election. Reports say he had strong outside spending support and had led Green in the first round of voting.

history.house.gov+53

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Christian Menefee currently averages 40.7%, ranking first in this race, 8.7 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 40.7%Position: firstMargin: +8.7 ptsLatest poll: 43.0% (Dec 8 - 14)Polls included: 3

Average recalculated from polls through Dec 8 - 14.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
40.7%
32%
26%
Christian Menefee
C. Menefee
Amanda Edwards
A. Edwards
Jolanda Jones
J. Jones
Date (Start - End)SpreadMenefeeEdwardsJones
Polling Average
Menefee+8.7
40.7%32.0%26.0%
Lake Research PartnersDec 8 - 14
Menefee+13.0
43.0%30.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/YouGovOct 7 - 11
Menefee+2.0
36.0%34.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/YouGovOct 7 - 11
Menefee+17.0
43.0%26.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$3.6M
$2.7M
$1.8M
$909.4K
$0

2026

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$3.6M
$156.0K
$3.5M
$193.4K

Cycle 2026

$3.6M
$156.0K
$3.5M
$193.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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