FL-09 Republican nominee?
7hHigh ImpactDan Green is now leading with 54% odds, up 21.0 points from the prior leader.
54%
High Impact7h
Dan Green
54%
Dan Green is now leading with 54% odds, up 21.0 points from the prior leader.
Republican
Dan Green
Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida
Republican
$163.3K
AUG 25, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Live Odds — FL-09 Republican nominee?
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
99%chance to win
$163.3KAUG 25, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Navy Reserve officer
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican
GenderMale
LocationFlorida
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BackgroundU.S. Navy Reserve officer
EducationAmerican University (Political Science/International Relations)
Notable personal detailsDan Green is a Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida’s 9th Congressional District in 2026. He is a U.S. Navy Reserve officer who has served in the Middle East and Central Asia and has worked in national security roles, including a civilian tour with the U.S. Department of State. He was appointed Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy & Force Development in 2019. Green lists education at American University, Florida State University, and George Washington University.
SourcesShowHide
dos.elections.myflorida.comdangreenfl.comdocquery.fec.govfec.govleonvotes.govhendryelections.govescambiavotes.govbluevoterguide.orgoppintell.comtexastribune.orgballotpedia.s3.amazonaws.comthegreenpapers.comamericanelectionhq.comnews.ballotpedia.orgfec.state.fl.usorangecountygov.comreddit.comid.uscourts.govarxiv.orgen.wikipedia.orgflvoicenews.comdos.fl.govfine.house.govflorida.gopircgop.comelections.maryland.govelections.alaska.govnj.govcongress.govvotegadsdenfl.govbipac-momentum-media.s3.amazonaws.comelections.cdn.sos.ca.govfloridapolitics.comveronews.comrollcall.comorlandosentinel.comcbsnews.comtheledger.comfloridianpress.comfloridaphoenix.comsebastiandaily.comyoutube.comfacebook.comtiktok.comthirteen.orginstagram.comballotready.orgdeveloper.ballotpedia.orgdata.ballotpedia.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Dan Green’s public campaign messaging emphasizes making America more affordable, lowering the cost of living, and controlling federal spending and debt. He also frames his approach around conservative values, support for President Trump, and policies aimed at reducing costs for families, farmers, homeowners, and small businesses.
Immigration & Border
Dan Green presents himself as a law-and-order candidate and has aligned his campaign with securing the border and supporting law enforcement. His publicly described priorities emphasize an America First approach and border security rather than expanded immigration pathways or asylum protections.
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Climate & Energy
Dan Green’s public campaign messaging emphasizes lowering gas prices and energy costs, and he frames current affordability problems as a result of Biden administration policies. His site does not lay out a detailed climate agenda, but the available positions point toward a market- and affordability-focused energy approach rather than aggressive climate regulation.
Latest Candidate Updates
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
FL-09 Republican nominee?
7hDan Green's odds reached 54%, topping the prior high of 27% in the FL-09 Republican nominee race.
54%27%
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 30, 2026
Dan Green is running in the Republican primary for Florida’s 9th Congressional District. The race is drawing attention as candidates compete for the chance to challenge incumbent Democrat Darren Soto in the general election. Coverage says the campaign is focused on issues like affordability, housing, taxes, utilities, education, immigration, and environmental policy.
dos.elections.myflorida.com+48
Latest Polls
FL-09 Republican nominee?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Victory Insights
20%15%10%5%0%
11.6%
14.2%
13.8%
13.8%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.3M
$973.9K
$649.3K
$324.6K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$1.3M
$363.2K
$935.3K
$49.2K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Endorsements