$95.6K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 25, 2026, 12:58 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 42.5% | $1.30M | |
| 30% | 42.5% | $2.16M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Dan Green has won the Republican primary in Florida’s 9th Congressional District and will face Rep. Darren Soto in the general election. The district’s GOP field was crowded, with seven candidates competing for the nomination. The new matchup is now set, but the news does not indicate a clear change in the race’s balance. Green’s primary win clarifies the matchup, but the provided news does not show a clear shift in the general-election odds. The race remains centered on the party contest between a Republican nominee and an incumbent Democrat.
Green will face Democratic Rep. Darren Soto after gerrymandering reshaped the district to heavily favor Republicans.
Voters across the country will decide which party controls the House as a handful of closely watched races shape the 2026 midterm elections.
With less than five weeks to go until the midterm elections, Republicans face historical headwinds as the party in power and must also contend with high gas prices amid the ongoing Iran war.
Republican hopes for Florida were much higher at the start of a tit-for-tat cycle that saw Republican- and Democratic-led states across the country engage in mid-decade redistricting.
COLUMBUS JUNCTION, Iowa (AP) — It may have seemed out of place for a university professor from the liberal enclave of Iowa City to be holding court at a…
I know y’all would probably rather not talk about the Republican candidates for governor of Florida.However, distasteful as it is, we must: The primary is Aug. 18.Now, this family-friendly publication frowns on scatological language, so let’s just call the campaign unseemly.Undignified. Unedifying. ...
Tuesday’s primary runoffs in Texas will put President Donald Trump’s endorsement to the test again — the latest step in a mission to punish some incumbent Republicans Trump has deemed insufficiently loyal
Florida GOP congressional candidate Dan Green argues his brand of conservatism will propel him to victory over incumbent Rep. Darren Soto in Florida's newly drawn ninth district.
Many Republicans who supported President Donald Trump's effort to overturn his 2020 loss are now running for governor of their state.
Excerpts from recent editorials in the United States and abroad: ___ May 8 The Washington Post on Trump's second tariff defeat The Trump administration is…
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Aug 24, 2026 and Oct 15, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
D. SotoDarren SotoD. GreenDan GreenSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
