Prediction Edge
Independent
Dan Osborn

Dan Osborn

Independent candidate for U.S. Senate in Nebraska

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Dan Osborn is trading at 28% to win the Nebraska Senate winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleIndustrial mechanic

PartyIndependent

Political ideologyProgressive Independent

Age51 years old (Mar 29, 1975)

GenderMale

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LocationNebraska

BackgroundIndustrial mechanic

EducationRoncalli Catholic High School (1994)

Notable personal detailsDaniel L. Osborn is an independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in Nebraska and a former labor union leader and industrial mechanic from Omaha. He served in the U.S. Navy aboard the USS Constellation and later in the Nebraska Army National Guard. Osborn worked at the Kellogg’s plant in Omaha and became president of BCTGM Local 50G, leading the 2021 strike at the plant. He is married to Megan Osborn and has three children.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports reducing tax burdens on the middle class and small businesses while closing corporate loopholes and ending large government subsidies to profitable industries; opposes giveaways to billionaires and advocates protecting Social Security and middle-class wages. Policy emphasis prioritizes tax relief for workers and small businesses alongside measures to make wealthy corporations and the ultra-rich pay their fair share.

Healthcare

Supports stronger federal protections and funding to reduce profiteering in healthcare, protect seniors and veterans, expand targeted public health programs (for example, free annual cancer screenings for firefighters), and limit pharmaceutical subsidies. Advocates federal action to block harmful private equity takeovers in healthcare and increase enforcement of regulations to protect care quality.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and measures to prevent illegal immigration, framing illegal immigration as harmful to American workers while affirming that legal immigration is important to the economy.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports protecting abortion access at the federal level against extreme national bans and endorses a Roe-era standard while opposing late-term abortions. He says the decision should be between a woman and her doctor and rejects a complete nationwide ban.

Climate & Energy

Supports allowing private landowners to lease land for solar development and states goals to keep air, water, and land clean; does not present detailed national climate policy commitments or aggressive emissions targets in available campaign materials.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports the Second Amendment while endorsing reasonable gun-safety measures such as gun-safety education in schools and some targeted restrictions (defers to law enforcement on specific measures).

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Dan Osborn is drawing attention in Nebraska’s Senate race as Democrats try to clear the field for him, with Democratic primary winner Cindy Burbank considering dropping out and endorsing him as the main anti-Republican challenger. He is still working to qualify for the general election while positioning himself as an independent alternative to Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts. Osborn is also dealing with an FEC complaint over campaign payments to family members and has said he is restructuring his campaign in response.

osbornforsenate.com+54

Latest Polls

Nebraska Senate winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Dan Osborn currently averages 46.6%, ranking first in this race, 0.6 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 46.6%Position: firstMargin: +0.6 ptsLatest poll: 47.0% (May 8 - 11)Polls included: 5

Average recalculated from polls through May 8 - 11.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
46.6%
46%
Dan Osborn
D. Osborn
Pete Ricketts
P. Ricketts
Date (Start - End)SpreadOsbornRicketts
Polling Average
Osborn+0.6
46.6%46.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 8 - 11
Osborn+5.0
47.0%42.0%
Impact ResearchFeb 2 - 5
Ricketts+1.0
47.0%48.0%
Lake Research PartnersDec 11 - 17
Ricketts+1.0
47.0%48.0%
Lake Research PartnersJul 23 - 29
Osborn+1.0
47.0%46.0%
Change ResearchMar 28 - Apr 1
Ricketts+1.0
45.0%46.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Nebraska Senate winner?

Endorsers of Dan Osborn for Nebraska Senate winner?

NEBFARMPAC

Public endorsement

NEBFARMPAC endorsed Dan Osborn for U.S. Senate.

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Common Defense

Public figure

Common Defense endorsed Dan Osborn for U.S. Senate in Nebraska.

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Stop Big Money

Public figure

Stop Big Money endorsed Dan Osborn for U.S. Senate in Nebraska.

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United Automobile, Aerospace and Agricultural Implement Workers of America

Labor organization

UAW endorsed Dan Osborn in the Nebraska U.S. Senate race.

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American Federation of Government Employees

Public endorsement

American Federation of Government Employees endorsed Dan Osborn for U.S. Senate in Nebraska.

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Nebraska State Education Association

Advocacy group

Nebraska State Education Association endorsed Dan Osborn for U.S. Senate in Nebraska.

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Nebraska’s largest teachers union

Labor organization

Nebraska’s largest teachers union endorsed Dan Osborn.

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Nebraska Democratic Party

Public figure

Nebraska Democratic Party endorsed Dan Osborn for the 2026 Senate race.

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Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$15.1M
$11.3M
$7.6M
$3.8M
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$15.1M
$63.2K
$15.1M
$627.8K

Cycle 2026

$5.8M
$2.4M
$3.4M
$188.5K

Source: FEC