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2026 Nebraska Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Nebraska Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)Last updated: Aug 7, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC

Nebraska Senate winner?

$576.8K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated Aug 7, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average	Funds raised
Pete RickettsRepublican	72%	46.3%	$11.23M
Dan OsbornIndependent	28%	46.6%	$5.75M
Cindy Burbank	1%	39.0%	$39.7K

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 7, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$576.8K

24h volume

$1.5K

P. Ricketts72%

D. Osborn28%

C. Burbank1%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Nebraska 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

The biggest update is that Democrat Cindy Burbank has dropped out of Nebraska’s 2026 Senate race. She had previously won the Democratic primary. Earlier reporting had already flagged the possibility that she might withdraw and back independent Dan Osborn. Burbank’s exit weakens the Democratic side and adds uncertainty about who will carry that lane. It could make the Republican or independent outcome look relatively stronger, but the effect is unclear from the available reports.

Articles

TAThe Atlantic2 days ago

The Democrats’ Riskiest Midterm Play

They have been backing independent Senate candidates in red states. But Montana is not working as planned.

PPOLITICO6 days ago

It might take ‘a lightning bolt from God’ to get these Senate Democratic hopefuls to bow for independents

Democrats in Montana and South Dakota told POLITICO they have no plans to step aside for independents mounting serious Senate campaigns.

SIStaten Island Advance3 months ago

Trump tightens grip on GOP with ‘disloyal’ Republican senator’s stunning defeat

“His disloyalty to the man who got him elected is now a part of legend, and it’s nice to see that his political career is OVER!”

PNPBS News3 months ago

Nebraska Democrats face off in House primary for the state's 'blue dot' district

The fate of Nebraska’s “blue dot” will play prominently as Democratic voters select a congressional nominee in the state’s 2nd District.

WEWashington Examiner3 months ago

Nebraska Democrats to pick nominee in fight for 'Blue Dot'

Voters will decide Tuesday between state Sen. John Cavanaugh and marketing consultant Denise Powell in the Democratic primary.

OWOmaha World-Herald10 days ago

Is Dan Osborn a 'true' independent?

In today's Public Pulse, readers weigh in on Dan Osborn's Senate campaign, candidates' behavior on the campaign trail, and whether the U.S. should switch to year-round standard time.

TBThe Boston Globe2 months ago

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Democrats try to defend California and make inroads in Iowa

Here are some things to watch as voters in California, Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota cast ballots.

TNThe New Yorker3 months ago

Can the Democrats Take Back the Senate?

Amy Davidson Sorkin on Josh Turek, Zach Wahls, Sherrod Brown, and James Talarico—and how something has changed lately in the dynamics of the Democrats’ fight to reclaim the Senate, or, at least, in the Party’s mood.

NNNBC News3 months ago

Live updates: Trump to arrive in China for Xi summit; Nebraska congressional primary too close to call

Get live updates and the latest news as Trump arrives in China for his summit with Xi Jinping and the Nebraska 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary remains too close to call.

TNThe New York Times3 months ago

Nebraska Gov. Jim Pillen to Face Democrat Lynne Walz

Democrats face an uphill fight as they seek to unseat Gov. Jim Pillen, who is running for another term in the solidly Republican state.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Mar 28, 2025 and May 11, 2026.

Polling Average

60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

46.6%

46.3%

39%

D. Osborn

P. Ricketts

C. Burbank

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Osborn	Ricketts	Burbank
Polling Average	Osborn+0.3	46.6%	46.3%	39.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 8 - 11	Ricketts+9.0	–	48.0%	39.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 8 - 11	Osborn+5.0	47.0%	42.0%	–
Impact ResearchFeb 2 - 5	Ricketts+1.0	47.0%	48.0%	–
Lake Research PartnersDec 11 - 17	Ricketts+1.0	47.0%	48.0%	–
Lake Research PartnersJul 23 - 29	Osborn+1.0	47.0%	46.0%	–
Change ResearchMar 28 - Apr 1	Ricketts+1.0	45.0%	46.0%	–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Candidate Endorsements

Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.

Pete Ricketts

President Donald Trump

President Donald Trump endorsed Pete Ricketts.

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Club for Growth PAC

Club for Growth PAC endorsed Pete Ricketts in Nebraska's Senate race.

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Nebraska Fraternal Order of Police

Nebraska Fraternal Order of Police endorsed Pete Ricketts in his reelection campaign.

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Nebraska Farm Bureau Political Action Committee

Nebraska Farm Bureau Political Action Committee endorsed Pete Ricketts for U.S. Senate.

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Dan Osborn

NEBFARMPAC

NEBFARMPAC endorsed Dan Osborn for U.S. Senate.

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Common Defense

Common Defense endorsed Dan Osborn for U.S. Senate in Nebraska.

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Stop Big Money

Stop Big Money endorsed Dan Osborn for U.S. Senate in Nebraska.

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United Automobile, Aerospace and Agricultural Implement Workers of America

UAW endorsed Dan Osborn in the Nebraska U.S. Senate race.

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American Federation of Government Employees

American Federation of Government Employees endorsed Dan Osborn for U.S. Senate in Nebraska.

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Nebraska State Education Association

Nebraska State Education Association endorsed Dan Osborn for U.S. Senate in Nebraska.

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Nebraska’s largest teachers union

Nebraska’s largest teachers union endorsed Dan Osborn.

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Nebraska Democratic Party

Nebraska Democratic Party endorsed Dan Osborn for the 2026 Senate race.

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Cindy Burbank

Nebraska Democratic Party

The Nebraska Democratic Party endorsed Cindy Burbank in the U.S. Senate primary.

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New York Young Democrats

The New York Young Democrats endorsed Cindy Burbank for U.S. Senate.

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Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jun 30, 2026

$20M

$15M

$10M

$5M

P. Ricketts

D. Osborn

C. Burbank

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

P. RickettsPete Ricketts

$11.23MContrib: $9.22M

$6.91MSpent: $4.81M

$267.2KLast period: $6.04M

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

D. OsbornDan Osborn

$5.75MContrib: $5.68M

$2.42MSpent: $3.39M

$188.5KLast period: $1.89M

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

C. BurbankCindy Burbank

$39.7KContrib: $39.7K

$20.8KSpent: $18.9K

$1.1KLast period: $35.4K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

Source: FEC

2026 Nebraska Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Nebraska Senate winner?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines