State Lean
Strong Republican
Not a core swing state
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Compare the candidates' saved odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69% | 47.1% | $11.23M | |
| 31% | 46.1% | $5.75M | |
| 1% | 39.0% | $39.7K |
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Total volume
$7.1M
24h volume
$1.1M
source: Kalshi
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Nebraska · US Senate
State Lean
Strong Republican
Not a core swing state
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary May 12, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Early voting
Early voting generally runs from 30 days before Election Day through the day before Election Day.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · U.S. Senate, Class II senators · U.S. Senate, current senator list · 270toWin/Cook · NCSL
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
November
TUE 3
Nebraska 2026 general election
November
FRI 6
Prediction market closes
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Republicans are facing broader headwinds in 2026, including affordability concerns and internal messaging disputes. GOP leaders are also worried Trump could turn the election into a referendum on himself. A pending Supreme Court ruling on mail-voting rules adds some uncertainty. The news is mixed, but the broader Republican headwinds could slightly pressure GOP odds. The mail-voting fight adds some uncertainty around turnout and election administration.
The 2026 election is nearly here, and battles for control of the U.S. Senate and House are continuing to heat up
On the eve of the election, Democrats appear within striking distance of winning the Senate majority, but many seats in play are in toss-up territory in deep-red states that could still break in either party’s direction.
National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) Chairman Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC) forecast GOP victories in several U.S. Senate races ahead of the midterm elections.
The shifts come just five days before the midterms, with prediction markets favoring Democrats to take the Senate.
Millions of Americans have already cast their ballots in states hosting some of the country's most closely watched Senate battles.
Donald Trump has canceled a planned rally in Kansas as polls shows GOP Sen. Roger Marshall trailing his Democratic challenger.
While millions of Americans struggle to make ends meet, some U.S. Senate candidates like Mark Warner and Pete Ricketts are worth as much as $200 million.
In 11 rural Nebraska counties, voting by mail is the norm. Election officials say switching back to polling places could strain budgets and make voting harder.
US News is a recognized leader in college, grad school, hospital, mutual fund, and car rankings. Track elected officials, research health conditions, and find news you can use in politics, business, health, and education.
Senate race analysis breaks down key 2026 matchups including Susan Collins in Maine, Jon Husted in Ohio, Mike Rogers in Michigan, and Dan Sullivan in Alaska.



| Date (Start - End) | Spread | Ricketts | Osborn | Burbank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling Average | Ricketts+1.0 | 47.1% | 46.1% | 39.0% |
GrayhouseOct 29 - Nov 1 | Ricketts+4.0 | 50.0% | 46.0% | – |
National Public AffairsOct 25 - 29 | Ricketts+3.0 | 48.0% | 45.0% | – |
National Public AffairsOct 25 - 29 | Ricketts+1.0 | 49.0% | 48.0% | – |
The New York Times/Siena UniversityOct 23 - 29 | Ricketts+6.0 | 49.0% | 43.0% | – |
YouGovOct 26 - 29 | Osborn+0.0 | 49.0% | 49.0% | – |
Echelon InsightsOct 16 - 23 | Ricketts+1.0 | 47.0% | 46.0% | – |
GBAOOct 18 - 22 | Osborn+1.0 | 45.0% | 46.0% | – |
Impact ResearchOct 14 - 20 | Ricketts+2.0 | 50.0% | 48.0% | – |
Impact ResearchOct 14 - 20 | Ricketts+2.0 | 49.0% | 47.0% | – |
Concord Public Opinion PartnersOct 15 - 18 | Osborn+7.0 | 41.0% | 48.0% | – |
National Public AffairsOct 15 - 18 | Ricketts+3.0 | 50.0% | 47.0% | – |
National Public AffairsOct 15 - 18 | Ricketts+3.0 | 46.0% | 43.0% | – |
National Public AffairsOct 2 - 5 | Ricketts+3.0 | 46.0% | 43.0% | – |
National Public AffairsOct 2 - 5 | Ricketts+3.0 | 49.0% | 46.0% | – |
YouGovSep 24 - Oct 3 | Osborn+1.0 | 47.0% | 48.0% | – |
co/efficientSep 28 - 30 | Ricketts+5.0 | 48.0% | 43.0% | – |
co/efficientSep 28 - 30 | Ricketts+5.0 | 45.0% | 40.0% | – |
Wedgewood PollsSep 14 - 16 | Ricketts+4.0 | 52.0% | 48.0% | – |
SurveyUSASep 8 - 13 | Osborn+4.0 | 42.0% | 46.0% | – |
GBAOSep 3 - 8 | Osborn+1.0 | 46.0% | 47.0% | – |
Impact ResearchAug 9 - 13 | Osborn+0.0 | 47.0% | 47.0% | – |
GBAOJul 22 - 26 | Osborn+0.0 | 47.0% | 47.0% | – |
Tavern ResearchMay 8 - 11 | Ricketts+9.0 | 48.0% | – | 39.0% |
Tavern ResearchMay 8 - 11 | Osborn+5.0 | 42.0% | 47.0% | – |
GBAOApr 16 - 20 | Osborn+1.0 | 45.0% | 46.0% | – |
Impact ResearchFeb 2 - 5 | Ricketts+1.0 | 48.0% | 47.0% | – |
Lake Research PartnersDec 11 - 17 | Ricketts+1.0 | 48.0% | 47.0% | – |
Lake Research PartnersJul 23 - 29 | Osborn+1.0 | 46.0% | 47.0% | – |
Change ResearchMar 28 - Apr 1 | Ricketts+1.0 | 46.0% | 45.0% | – |
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
P. RickettsPete Ricketts
D. OsbornDan Osborn
C. BurbankCindy BurbankSource: FEC
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Nebraska?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC
Will Dan Osborn (as an independent)s win the Senate race in Nebraska?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Nebraska?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC