$1.4M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 21, 2026, 3:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69% | 46.6% | $11.23M | |
| 31% | 46.8% | $5.75M | |
| 1% | 39.0% | $39.7K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Republicans are facing broader headwinds in 2026, including affordability concerns and internal messaging disputes. GOP leaders are also worried Trump could turn the election into a referendum on himself. A pending Supreme Court ruling on mail-voting rules adds some uncertainty. The news is mixed, but the broader Republican headwinds could slightly pressure GOP odds. The mail-voting fight adds some uncertainty around turnout and election administration.
Opinion: Though unlikely, if independents perform well in the midterms, neither party might control the U.S. Senate, writes Dave Anderson.
A Republican governor candidate doesn’t want anyone renting near his mansion, our must-read newsletter The Swamp reveals.
Nebraska independent Senate candidate Dan Osborn on Wednesday appeared to confirm the authenticity of a leaked recording in which he is purported to criticize voters who support President Donald Trump.
Democrats are turning influencers into an essential part of their midterm strategy. But the party hasn't figured out the rules of engagement.
“His disloyalty to the man who got him elected is now a part of legend, and it’s nice to see that his political career is OVER!”
The fate of Nebraska’s “blue dot” will play prominently as Democratic voters select a congressional nominee in the state’s 2nd District.
Voters will decide Tuesday between state Sen. John Cavanaugh and marketing consultant Denise Powell in the Democratic primary.
Where the 2026 midterms stand right now, according to POLITICO’s reporters.
Protesters gather outside the Kennedy Center and CNN’s Sunlen Serfaty is there, with what they have to say about President Trump’s threat to tear it down i
The heartland Democrat is making a comeback.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Mar 28, 2025 and Sep 16, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
P. RickettsPete RickettsD. OsbornDan OsbornC. BurbankCindy BurbankSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
