Prediction Edge
ClosedGeneral Election

2026 Nebraska Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Election Day: Recorded market close:

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' saved odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .

CandidateSaved oddsPoll averageFunds raised
69%47.1%$11.23M
31%46.1%$5.75M
1%39.0%$39.7K

Odds

Odds History

Total volume

$7.1M

24h volume

$1.1M

source: Kalshi

Politics IQ

Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data

Nebraska · US Senate

Strong RepublicanNot a core swing state

State Lean

Strong Republican

Not a core swing state

Primary System

Party primary or state-specific

No primary runoff

Election Rules

Primary May 12, 2026

Runoff: No

General: Nov 3, 2026

Early voting

Early voting generally runs from 30 days before Election Day through the day before Election Day.

Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · U.S. Senate, Class II senators · U.S. Senate, current senator list · 270toWin/Cook · NCSL

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Nebraska 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Republicans are facing broader headwinds in 2026, including affordability concerns and internal messaging disputes. GOP leaders are also worried Trump could turn the election into a referendum on himself. A pending Supreme Court ruling on mail-voting rules adds some uncertainty. The news is mixed, but the broader Republican headwinds could slightly pressure GOP odds. The mail-voting fight adds some uncertainty around turnout and election administration.

Articles
N5NBC 5 Chicago1 day ago

Election 2026: Races to watch in the House, Senate

The 2026 election is nearly here, and battles for control of the U.S. Senate and House are continuing to heat up

CNCable News Network2 days ago

CNN’s 11 Senate seats most likely to flip, the day before the midterms

On the eve of the election, Democrats appear within striking distance of winning the Senate majority, but many seats in play are in toss-up territory in deep-red states that could still break in either party’s direction.

BNBreitbart News Network3 days ago

Exclusive: Sen. Tim Scott Gives Race

National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) Chairman Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC) forecast GOP victories in several U.S. Senate races ahead of the midterm elections.

NNewsweek5 days ago

Forecaster Shifts 9 Senate Races as Nate Silver Touts Democratic Polling

The shifts come just five days before the midterms, with prediction markets favoring Democrats to take the Senate.

NNewsweek1 day ago

How Early Voting Surged in Senate Battlegrounds Compared to Prior Midterms

Millions of Americans have already cast their ballots in states hosting some of the country's most closely watched Senate battles.

NNewsweek5 days ago

Trump Cancels Kansas Rally as New Poll Shows Republican Trailing Democrat

Donald Trump has canceled a planned rally in Kansas as polls shows GOP Sen. Roger Marshall trailing his Democratic challenger.

FFortune1 day ago

At least half of major U.S. Senate candidates are millionaires-and some are worth $200 million

While millions of Americans struggle to make ends meet, some U.S. Senate candidates like Mark Warner and Pete Ricketts are worth as much as $200 million.

OWOmaha World-Herald8 days ago

Nebraska mail voting faces proposed changes

In 11 rural Nebraska counties, voting by mail is the norm. Election officials say switching back to polling places could strain budgets and make voting harder.

UNU.S. News & World Report15 days ago

Could Disillusioned Kansas Voters Send Their First Democrat to the US Senate in 94 Years?

US News is a recognized leader in college, grad school, hospital, mutual fund, and car rankings. Track elected officials, research health conditions, and find news you can use in politics, business, health, and education.

FNFox News6 days ago

HUGH HEWITT: The Senate secret weapon that could save Republicans next week

Senate race analysis breaks down key 2026 matchups including Susan Collins in Maine, Jon Husted in Ohio, Mike Rogers in Michigan, and Dan Sullivan in Alaska.

Latest Polls

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
47.1%
46.1%
39%
Pete Ricketts
P. Ricketts
Dan Osborn
D. Osborn
Cindy Burbank
C. Burbank
Date (Start - End)SpreadRickettsOsbornBurbank
Polling Average
Ricketts+1.0
47.1%46.1%39.0%
GrayhouseOct 29 - Nov 1
Ricketts+4.0
50.0%46.0%–
National Public AffairsOct 25 - 29
Ricketts+3.0
48.0%45.0%–
National Public AffairsOct 25 - 29
Ricketts+1.0
49.0%48.0%–
The New York Times/Siena UniversityOct 23 - 29
Ricketts+6.0
49.0%43.0%–
YouGovOct 26 - 29
Osborn+0.0
49.0%49.0%–
Echelon InsightsOct 16 - 23
Ricketts+1.0
47.0%46.0%–
GBAOOct 18 - 22
Osborn+1.0
45.0%46.0%–
Impact ResearchOct 14 - 20
Ricketts+2.0
50.0%48.0%–
Impact ResearchOct 14 - 20
Ricketts+2.0
49.0%47.0%–
Concord Public Opinion PartnersOct 15 - 18
Osborn+7.0
41.0%48.0%–
National Public AffairsOct 15 - 18
Ricketts+3.0
50.0%47.0%–
National Public AffairsOct 15 - 18
Ricketts+3.0
46.0%43.0%–
National Public AffairsOct 2 - 5
Ricketts+3.0
46.0%43.0%–
National Public AffairsOct 2 - 5
Ricketts+3.0
49.0%46.0%–
YouGovSep 24 - Oct 3
Osborn+1.0
47.0%48.0%–
co/efficientSep 28 - 30
Ricketts+5.0
48.0%43.0%–
co/efficientSep 28 - 30
Ricketts+5.0
45.0%40.0%–
Wedgewood PollsSep 14 - 16
Ricketts+4.0
52.0%48.0%–
SurveyUSASep 8 - 13
Osborn+4.0
42.0%46.0%–
GBAOSep 3 - 8
Osborn+1.0
46.0%47.0%–
Impact ResearchAug 9 - 13
Osborn+0.0
47.0%47.0%–
GBAOJul 22 - 26
Osborn+0.0
47.0%47.0%–
Tavern ResearchMay 8 - 11
Ricketts+9.0
48.0%–39.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 8 - 11
Osborn+5.0
42.0%47.0%–
GBAOApr 16 - 20
Osborn+1.0
45.0%46.0%–
Impact ResearchFeb 2 - 5
Ricketts+1.0
48.0%47.0%–
Lake Research PartnersDec 11 - 17
Ricketts+1.0
48.0%47.0%–
Lake Research PartnersJul 23 - 29
Osborn+1.0
46.0%47.0%–
Change ResearchMar 28 - Apr 1
Ricketts+1.0
46.0%45.0%–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026
$20M
$15M
$10M
$5M
$0
P. Ricketts
D. Osborn
C. Burbank
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
Pete RickettsP. Ricketts
$11.23MContrib: $9.22M
$6.91MSpent: $4.81M
$267.2KLast period: $6.04M
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Dan OsbornD. Osborn
$5.75MContrib: $5.68M
$2.42MSpent: $3.39M
$188.5KLast period: $1.89M
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Cindy BurbankC. Burbank
$39.7KContrib: $39.7K
$20.8KSpent: $18.9K
$1.1KLast period: $35.4K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

Source: FEC

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

Nebraska Senate winner?

All preserved contracts have verified final results.

  • Cindy Burbank

    Will Democratics win the Senate race in Nebraska?

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC

  • Dan Osborn

    Will Dan Osborn (as an independent)s win the Senate race in Nebraska?

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC

  • Pete Ricketts

    Will Republicans win the Senate race in Nebraska?

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC