Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Dan Sullivan

Overview

Current roleU.S. Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age61 years old (Nov 13, 1964)

GenderMale

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LocationAlaska

BackgroundAttorney

EducationHarvard University (B.A., Economics, 1987)

Notable personal detailsDaniel Scott Sullivan is a Republican U.S. Senator from Alaska, first sworn in on January 6, 2015. He previously served as Alaska Attorney General and as Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Natural Resources, and held senior national-security and economic roles in the George W. Bush administration, including U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for Economic, Energy, and Business Affairs. He served for 30 years in the U.S. Marine Corps, retiring on February 1, 2024 as a Colonel in the Marine Corps Reserve. He earned a B.A. in Economics from Harvard University and a joint J.D./M.S. in Foreign Service from Georgetown University.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax cuts and lower tax rates for individuals and small businesses, opposes large tax increases, and has voted for major Republican tax legislation while advocating reduced federal spending and policies to spur private-sector growth. Emphasizes tax relief for working families and Alaska-specific tax protections and has opposed Democratic-led tax/spending bills that raise taxes or expand federal revenues.

Healthcare

Dan Sullivan opposes Medicare-for-All and has repeatedly voted to repeal or replace the Affordable Care Act while supporting targeted federal actions to help rural health care and protections for preexisting conditions. He emphasizes reducing federal mandates and taxes in the ACA, increasing state flexibility for Medicaid, and directing federal funds to local providers rather than one-size-fits-all federal programs.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and enforcement measures while acknowledging legal immigration and limited compassionate solutions for certain migrants (e.g., DACA recipients). Advocates increased detention/processing capacity, funding for border infrastructure and personnel, restrictions on asylum eligibility for economic migrants, and reforms to immigration enforcement operations.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Dan Sullivan identifies as pro-life, supported the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision returning abortion regulation to the states, and has sponsored and supported federal measures restricting abortion (including a 20-week/pain-capable restriction and other pro-life legislative proposals).

Climate & Energy

Supports expanded development of Alaska’s fossil fuel resources and opposes policies framed as job‑killing climate regulations (including the Green New Deal). Emphasizes energy development for jobs, prosperity, and security while critiquing federal restrictions on Alaska oil and mineral leasing.

Public Safety & Guns

Dan Sullivan consistently emphasizes protecting Second Amendment rights while supporting targeted measures addressing mental health and school safety. He opposed the 2022 Bipartisan Safer Communities Act citing concerns about vague provisions and potential infringement on gun rights, and has repeatedly spoken against executive or administrative actions he views as limiting lawful gun ownership. Sullivan has supported school-safety funding but opposes broad new federal gun restrictions that he says could affect Alaska hunting and subsistence practices.

Latest Insights

Alaska Senate primary: 1st place

2d

Dan Sullivan has raised $8,501,665 this cycle, but Mary Peltola is ahead in the latest odds for the Alaska Senate primary.

16%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Dan Sullivan is in the news because Alaska election officials tried to remove him from the U.S. Senate primary ballot over concerns that his filing was not made in good faith and could confuse voters because he shares a name with incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan. A state judge then ruled that he can stay on the Aug. 18 primary ballot for now, reversing the disqualification. The case is expected to move quickly to the Alaska Supreme Court before ballot printing deadlines.

sullivan.senate.gov+46

Polls

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
40.9%
46.4%
Dan Sullivan
D. Sullivan
Mary Peltola
M. Peltola
Date (Start - End)SpreadSullivanPeltola
Polling Average
Peltola+5.5
40.9%46.4%
Alaska Survey ResearchMar 19 - 22
Peltola+5.5
40.9%46.4%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Alaska Senate primary: 1st place

Endorsers of Dan Sullivan for Alaska Senate primary: 1st place

AFP Action

Public endorsement

AFP Action endorsed Dan Sullivan for U.S. Senate.

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National Rifle Association

Advocacy group

The National Rifle Association backed Dan Sullivan's reelection bid for U.S. Senate.

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Concerned Veterans of America Action

Public endorsement

Concerned Veterans of America Action endorsed Dan Sullivan for reelection to the U.S. Senate.

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ANCSA Regional Association

Advocacy group

The ANCSA Regional Association endorsed Dan Sullivan for reelection to the U.S. Senate.

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United Fishermen of Alaska

Public endorsement

United Fishermen of Alaska endorsed Dan Sullivan for the U.S. Senate.

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Log Cabin Republicans

Public figure

Log Cabin Republicans endorsed Dan Sullivan for U.S. Senate.

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Lisa Murkowski

Public figure

Lisa Murkowski endorsed Dan Sullivan for the U.S. Senate.

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Alaska Native leaders

Public endorsement

A group of Alaska Native leaders endorsed Dan Sullivan for reelection to the U.S. Senate.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$8.5M
$6.4M
$4.3M
$2.1M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$705.2K
$904.6K
$532.3K
$22.2K

Cycle 2024

$1.9M
$2.1M
$707.5K
$29.5K

Cycle 2026

$8.5M
$8.3M
$2.3M
$127.2K

Source: FEC