Victory Research
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
34%
54.3%
Republican
Darren Bailey
Republican candidate for Governor in Illinois
$100.7K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Darren Bailey is trading at 4% to win the Illinois Governor winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleFormer State Senator
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age60 years old (Mar 17, 1966)
GenderMale
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LocationIllinois
BackgroundFarmer
EducationNorth Clay High School (Louisville, Illinois)
Notable personal detailsDarren Bailey is an American politician and farmer from Louisville, Illinois. He served in the Illinois House of Representatives (109th District) beginning in 2019 and later served in the Illinois Senate (55th District) starting in 2021. He is a third-generation farmer and has served on the North Clay Board of Education. He has run statewide as the Republican nominee for Illinois governor in the past and is associated with Republican politics in downstate Illinois.
SourcesShowHide
ilga.govbaileyforillinois.commobile.twstalker.comen.wikipedia.orguillinois.eduelections.il.govballotready.orgwiki2.orgisrvf.comthecityceleb.comwikidata.orgcongress.govsuaa.memberclicks.nettmcf.orgnews.wttw.comdailyherald.comwglt.orgabc7chicago.comwifr.comwbez.orgillinoistimes.comillinoiseagle.comcbsnews.comyahoo.comipmnewsroom.orgcapitolnewsillinois.comaxios.comfoxnews.comindependent.co.uktspr.orgchicago.suntimes.comwandtv.comdemocraticgovernors.orgfacebook.comballotpedia.orgnbcchicago.comtheillinoize.comchicagotribune.comnprillinois.orgthecentersquare.comjustfacts.votesmart.orgnga.orgfec.govhistory.house.govdeveloper.ballotpedia.orggovinfo.govcha.house.govlegislation.ballotpedia.orgclerk.house.govnass.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports tax relief and limits on taxation, proposals to cap property tax rates, cut or temporarily reduce sales taxes (including on gas), freeze the gas tax, repeal the Climate and Equitable Jobs Act tied to higher utility costs, and conduct audits to cut state spending. Emphasizes reducing state spending and finding waste to lower tax burdens while increasing targeted state support for schools to offset property-tax caps.
Healthcare
Darren Bailey supports limiting taxpayer-funded health services and reducing state healthcare spending; he has proposed banning Medicaid funding for abortion and drafted legislation to block Medicaid coverage of gender-affirming surgery. He emphasizes smaller government roles in health policy and prioritizes budget cuts and spending freezes that would affect Medicaid and other state-funded programs.
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Immigration & Border
The candidate supports strict border enforcement including construction/completion of a southern border wall and closing the border, opposes sanctuary policies and argues immigrants who entered illegally should be deported. He has called for federal action to secure the border and criticized state spending and services for undocumented immigrants.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
The candidate is staunchly anti-abortion and describes himself as pro‑life. He has said he would allow abortion only to protect the life of the mother, opposes exceptions for rape or incest, and has pledged to end taxpayer‑funded abortions and restore parental notification requirements.
Climate & Energy
Opposes aggressive state climate policies such as the Climate and Equitable Jobs Act and California-style emissions regulations, arguing they harm Illinois consumers, agriculture, and trucking and risk higher energy costs and reliability problems. Emphasizes opposition to higher gas taxes and favors policies supportive of fossil-fuel industries and energy independence over mandated rapid decarbonization.
Public Safety & Guns
The candidate opposes Illinois’ assault‑weapons restrictions and the FOID/registration requirements, identifies as a lifelong NRA supporter, and has publicly urged noncompliance with the state’s assault‑weapon registration law. He has stated he will not turn in or register firearms and frames such laws as unconstitutional infringements on the Second Amendment.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 11, 2026
Darren Bailey is running again for Illinois governor and has secured the Republican nomination for a rematch with Democratic Gov. JB Pritzker in the November 2026 race. He has been trying to broaden his appeal by softening past criticism of Chicago, moving his campaign headquarters to a Chicago apartment, and presenting a more cooperative image with reporters. Bailey is also focusing on taxes, licensing, and state spending, while acknowledging that his fundraising trails Pritzker’s. Recent coverage says he still believes the race is winnable and is campaigning aggressively across the state.
ilga.gov+49
Articles
N5NBC 5 Chicago5 months ago
Darren Bailey tries to walk back calling Chicago a ‘hellhole’
Positive
SLShaw Local Enewspapers5 months ago
GOP governor candidate Darren Bailey moves into Chicago apartment
Neutral
N5NBC 5 Chicago6 months ago
When is the Illinois governor’s race? Here’s who will face off
Neutral
DQDavenport Quad-City Times6 months ago
Illinois governor’s race will be a rematch in 2026
Neutral
Latest Polls
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2024Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$640.2K
$480.1K
$320.1K
$160.0K
$0
2024
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2024
$640.2K
$1.18
$640.2K
$26.7K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Endorsements