Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Darren Soto

Darren Soto

Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Florida

Live Odds — FL-09 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

28%chance to win

$31.7KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age48 years old (Feb 25, 1978)

GenderMale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundAttorney

EducationB.A., Rutgers College, 2000

Notable personal detailsDarren Michael Soto is an American attorney and Democratic politician who has served as the U.S. representative for Florida's 9th congressional district since 2017. He previously served in the Florida House of Representatives (2007–2012) and the Florida Senate (2012–2016). He has worked as a lawyer and financial analyst and has been involved in conservation and public policy issues.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports higher wages, stronger collective bargaining, and policies aimed at helping working families get ahead. Also backs protecting Medicare and Social Security and has supported tax-credit and cost-lowering measures rather than broad tax-cut messaging.

Healthcare

Darren Soto supports expanding access to healthcare through the Affordable Care Act and lowering healthcare costs. He has backed legislation to establish an ACA exchange in Puerto Rico and has highlighted votes for measures that made ACA coverage more affordable and reduced prescription drug costs.

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Immigration & Border

Darren Soto supports bipartisan comprehensive immigration reform that includes border security and a pathway to citizenship or residency for Dreamers, TPS recipients, and farm workers. He has also backed homeland security funding while opposing expanded ICE detention facilities and what he describes as excessive immigration enforcement that tears families apart.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Darren Soto supports protecting abortion access in federal law, including codifying Roe v. Wade and opposing restrictions on reproductive care. He describes abortion care as health care and reproductive rights as human rights, and he supports legislation protecting the right to travel for reproductive health care and access to medication abortion.

Climate & Energy

Darren Soto supports expanding renewable energy, including solar, wind, biofuels, and hydropower, while emphasizing the need to combat climate change and develop clean energy technology. He has also backed coral reef conservation and projects promoting solar energy and public transit investment.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports universal background checks for all gun purchases, bans on assault weapons, high-capacity magazines, and bump stocks, and creation of a red-flag system. Also says guns should be kept away from people who are a danger to themselves or others while respecting Second Amendment rights.

Endorsements

10
FL-09 House winner?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.2M
$1.6M
$1.1M
$539.8K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.3M
$64.3K
$1.4M
$60.2K

Cycle 2024

$2.2M
$14.1K
$2.2M
$92.1K

Cycle 2026

$2.2M
$1.2M
$984.6K
$51.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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