Prediction Edge
Republican
Dave Bronson

Dave Bronson

Republican candidate for Governor in Alaska

Live Odds — Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

3.6%chance to win

$659.0KNOV 3, 2027

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer Mayor

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age68 years old (Jun 26, 1958)

GenderMale

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LocationAlaska

BackgroundPolitician

EducationUniversity of Wisconsin–Madison — B.S., Agricultural Economics

Notable personal detailsDavid (Dave) Bronson is an American politician, pilot, and retired U.S. Air Force/Air National Guard officer. A Republican, he served as the 37th Mayor of Anchorage, Alaska from 2021 to 2024. He is a University of Wisconsin–Madison graduate and has worked as a commercial pilot, including for major airlines.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports developing Alaska’s natural resources to grow the economy while explicitly opposing tax increases; favors reducing government spending and streamlining services to control property-tax burdens and promoting tax incentives to attract businesses. Emphasizes infrastructure investment and protecting the Permanent Fund Dividend without raising taxes.

Healthcare

Opposes COVID-19 vaccine mandates for healthcare workers and favors policies to increase healthcare workforce supply such as allowing nursing license reciprocity across states. Emphasizes reducing regulatory barriers for providers rather than expanding government-run coverage programs; no clear support for Medicaid expansion or single-payer policies was found in campaign or public statements.

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Immigration & Border

Opposes local efforts to adopt a “Welcoming City” certification and calls for prioritizing legal immigration while criticizing programs he says encourage or support illegal immigration. Emphasizes enforcing immigration rules rather than expanding municipal programs that facilitate immigrant integration.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Opposes abortion and has long-standing ties to anti-abortion organizations. Has expressed opposition to abortion publicly and promoted traditional family positions in public statements and activism.

Climate & Energy

Prioritizes energy reliability and local fossil fuel resources while expressing skepticism about some renewable solutions for Alaska’s conditions and deprioritizing municipal climate-action initiatives. Emphasizes keeping lights and heat on, supporting actions to address natural gas and grid constraints, and has questioned the effectiveness of solar and wind in Alaska’s winters.

Public Safety & Guns

Dave Bronson has positioned himself as a defender of Second Amendment rights, declaring Anchorage a "Second Amendment sanctuary" and directing that city resources not be used to restrict or enforce federal gun regulations. He has voiced opposition to actions he characterized as federal efforts to register, tax, or confiscate firearms and has framed such measures as a threat to police safety. Bronson has also resisted local rules he viewed as inconsistent with state law on the possession and carrying of firearms in public meetings.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Dave Bronson is running in Alaska’s crowded 2026 governor race, where 17 candidates have filed and the top four from the open primary will move on to the general election. He is also linked to a ticket with Joshua Church for lieutenant governor. Recent coverage around the race has focused on campaign issues such as fisheries, trawling, and salmon bycatch, but there are no major new developments about Bronson himself beyond his candidacy.

en.wikipedia.org+34

Latest Polls

Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Dave Bronson currently averages 15.9%, ranking third in this race, 0.7 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 15.9%Position: thirdMargin: -0.7 ptsLatest poll: 17.0% (Sep 14 - 17)Polls included: 12

Average recalculated from polls through Sep 14 - 17.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
15.9%
39.5%
16.6%
8.2%
7.7%
7.2%
5.3%
5.3%
Dave Bronson
D. Bronson
Tom Begich
T. Begich
Bernadette Wilson
B. Wilson
Shelley Hughes
S. Hughes
Click Bishop
C. Bishop
Nancy Dahlstrom
N. Dahlstrom
Treg Taylor
T. Taylor
Adam Crum
A. Crum
Edna DeVries
E. DeVries
Date (Start - End)SpreadBronsonBegichWilsonHughesBishopDahlstromTaylorCrumDeVries
Polling Average
Begich+23.6
15.9%39.5%16.6%8.2%7.7%7.2%5.3%5.3%2.5%
co/efficientSep 14 - 17
Wilson+3.0
17.0%20.0%6.0%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact ResearchSep 8 - 11
Wilson+6.0
14.0%20.0%7.0%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact ResearchSep 8 - 11
Wilson+7.0
21.0%28.0%
Alaska Survey ResearchApr 16 - 19
Begich+22.4
18.6%41.0%21.8%18.7%
Lake Research PartnersFeb 5 - 11
Begich+25.0
13.0%38.0%16.0%8.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Wilson+1.0
9.0%10.0%5.0%3.0%6.0%3.0%5.0%2.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Bronson+1.0
13.0%12.0%6.0%4.0%7.0%5.0%3.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Wilson+0.0
13.0%13.0%8.0%5.0%7.0%5.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Bronson+1.0
14.0%13.0%9.0%8.0%6.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Bronson+3.0
16.0%13.0%10.0%8.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Bronson+5.0
19.0%14.0%11.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Bronson+5.0
23.0%18.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising