Prediction Edge
Democrat
David Dawson

David Dawson

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Iowa

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

David Dawson is trading at 99% to win the IA-04 Democratic nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer State Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

Age52 years old (Oct 5, 1973)

GenderMale

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LocationIowa

BackgroundAttorney

EducationIowa State University — B.S. (sociology and psychology)

Notable personal detailsDavid “Dave” Alan Dawson is an American attorney and prosecutor from Iowa who served as a Democrat in the Iowa House of Representatives (2013–2017), representing District 14. He has worked as a prosecutor in the Woodbury County Attorney’s Office. In 2026, he won the Democratic primary for Iowa’s 4th Congressional District.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports policies to raise wages and support working families, invest in rural communities and infrastructure, protect Social Security and Medicare, and increase competition by cracking down on corporate monopolies. Emphasizes strengthening small businesses and family farms while expanding access to healthcare and rural broadband.

Healthcare

Supports lowering prescription drug costs, expanding rural healthcare access and services (including keeping rural hospitals and nursing homes open), investing in medical research, and protecting Social Security and Medicare benefits. Emphasizes making health care more affordable and accessible for Iowa families. Priorities include increased mental health services and veterans’ benefits close to home.

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Immigration & Border

Dave Dawson has expressed serious concerns about the actions and tactics used by ICE and criticized federal leadership on immigration; he ties national immigration issues to federal enforcement decisions and funding. He has framed immigration enforcement concerns alongside his law‑enforcement background and public‑safety priorities.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

David Dawson is running in the Democratic primary for Iowa’s 4th Congressional District, where the field has now taken shape ahead of the June 2 vote. Recent coverage has focused on the race’s fundraising, with Dawson reporting lower totals than Republican Chris McGowan and some other candidates. The district is being watched as an open-seat contest that Republicans are favored to hold, making Dawson part of a competitive but uphill campaign.

legis.iowa.gov+55

Endorsements

IA-04 Democratic nominee?

Endorsers of David Dawson for IA-04 Democratic nominee?

AFSCME Council 61

Public endorsement

AFSCME Council 61 endorsed Dave Dawson for Congress.

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DC 51 DC Statehood PAC

Political organization

DC 51 DC Statehood PAC endorsed Dave Dawson for U.S. House in IA-04.

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J.D. Scholten

Elected official

State Representative J.D. Scholten endorsed Dave Dawson.

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Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$135.7K
$101.8K
$67.9K
$33.9K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$135.7K
$49.8K
$86.0K
$4.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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