$7.6K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$7.6K
24h volume
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source: Kalshi
The biggest update is that Chris McGowan is now the only Republican candidate in the district’s primary. Democrats remain active and have shown stronger fundraising in Iowa House races. Overall, the race still appears to lean Republican, but Democrats are trying to close the gap. McGowan’s cleared primary may help Republicans avoid a divisive nomination fight. Stronger Democratic fundraising could narrow the race somewhat, but the overall picture still looks Republican-leaning.
By THOMAS BEAUMONT and JACK BROOK NEW ORLEANS (AP) — U.S. Sen. Bill Cassidy is fighting for his political life in Louisiana’s Republican primary on Saturday as he faces a challenge backed by President Donald Trump, the latest attempt by the president to purge the party of politicians he views as disloyal. Trump endorsed U.S. […]
Amy Davidson Sorkin on Josh Turek, Zach Wahls, Sherrod Brown, and James Talarico—and how something has changed lately in the dynamics of the Democrats’ fight to reclaim the Senate, or, at least, in the Party’s mood.
Iowa's Democratic U.S. Senate candidates, Josh Turek and Zach Wahls, clashed over immigration policy and campaign finance during a debate Tuesday.
With Gov. Kim Reynolds and Sen. Joni Ernst not running, competitive House races and hot primaries, Iowa's in the spotlight this year.
Even Vance’s roadies are charmed by the “Secretary of Everything.”
Voter registration data reveals where Republicans have lost, and gained, ground over the past year with Trump back in office.
Democrats believe they can make Iowa a political battleground again. Despite Republican Donald Trump winning the state by double digits in the last presidential election, dissatisfaction with his leadership and rising costs from the Iran war could help Democrats gain ground.
A more limited landscape for Democratic gains and an unshakable MAGA base both put limits on Republican midterm losses despite all the problems facing that party and an unpopular president.
Democrats Christina Bohannan and Sarah Trone Garriott outraised Republican incumbent US Reps. Zach Nunn and Mariannette Miller-Meeks, new filings show
It was the perfect split-screen for the race to succeed Donald Trump -- so long as your name is Marco Rubio and not JD Vance. In a packed White House
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
