Prediction Edge
Democrat
David Roth

David Roth

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Idaho

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

David Roth is trading at 2% to win the Idaho Senate winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleCandidate

PartyDemocratic

GenderMale

LocationIdaho

Notable personal detailsDavid Roth is a Democratic candidate from Idaho Falls, Idaho who has run for federal office, including U.S. Senate in 2022 and U.S. House in Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District in 2024. He has been described as an executive director of a nonprofit organization and has highlighted working-family economic issues in his campaigns. He has also stated he was the first openly gay candidate to receive a statewide nomination in Idaho.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports policies to help working families including a living wage, lower housing costs, and Medicare for All, and proposes tax incentives and improved access to small-business loans to support local small businesses. The campaign platform does not provide a detailed, comprehensive tax plan or explicit positions on tax rates for high earners or corporations.

Healthcare

The candidate supports Medicare for All and advocates expanding public healthcare so families can access doctors, prescriptions, and emergency care without financial hardship.

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Immigration & Border

Supports a pathway to citizenship for Dreamers and reforms to create efficient, safe legal immigration; favors increased security along the southern border while opposing blanket requirements that undocumented people return to their country of origin before eligibility for citizenship.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports restoring the protections of Roe v. Wade through federal legislation and believes abortion and related health decisions should be consistently protected nationwide rather than left to states. States that restrict abortion are described as denying bodily autonomy and unequal rights.

Climate & Energy

The candidate accepts that climate change is real and supports strengthening environmental protections, investing in research for greener technologies, and funding measures to help farmers adapt to drought and prevent wildfires. Positions emphasize clean-technology research and targeted support for climate impacts rather than calls to immediately phase out fossil fuels.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate has accepted or been listed with an endorsement from Every Town for Gun Safety, indicating support for expanded gun-safety measures while running as a Democrat. His campaign website emphasizes public-safety concerns but does not publish a detailed firearms policy on the issues pages available.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 4, 2026

David Roth has withdrawn from Idaho’s 2026 U.S. Senate race, narrowing the contest to Republican Sen. Jim Risch and independent Todd Achilles. His exit may help Achilles by consolidating the anti-Risch vote, but the race is still expected to favor Republicans in a heavily Republican state. Earlier, Roth had won the Democratic nomination before ending his campaign.

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Latest Polls

Idaho Senate winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

David Roth currently averages 15.3%, ranking first in this race, 5.3 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 15.3%Position: firstMargin: +5.3 ptsLatest poll: 15.0% (Jun 6 - 7)Polls included: 3

Average recalculated from polls through Jun 6 - 7.

Polling Average
20%15%10%5%0%
15.3%
10%
David Roth
D. Roth
Todd Achilles
T. Achilles
Date (Start - End)SpreadRothAchilles
Polling Average
Roth+5.3
15.3%10.0%
Peak InsightsJun 6 - 7
Roth+8.0
15.0%7.0%
The Bullfinch GroupMay 29 - Jun 1
Achilles+3.0
15.0%18.0%
Change ResearchJul 15 - 17
Roth+11.0
16.0%5.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Idaho Senate winner?

Endorsers of David Roth for Idaho Senate winner?

Idaho Statesman

Public figure

The Idaho Statesman editorial board endorsed David Roth in the Idaho U.S. Senate primary.

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Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$9.6K
$7.2K
$4.8K
$2.4K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$9.6K
$3.2K
$8.8K
$551.10

Source: FEC