$268.6K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 3:28 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93% | — | $3.36M | |
| 8% | 12.0% | $692.2K | |
| 1% | 14.8% | $14.6K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
David Roth has dropped out of Idaho's Senate race, leaving Jim Risch against independent Todd Achilles. Coverage says Roth's exit could help Achilles, and a recent poll showed Achilles closer to Risch than Roth was. Risch also won the GOP primary easily. Roth's exit may modestly improve Achilles' position, but the state still looks heavily Republican. The market likely still favors the Republican party, with some added uncertainty from the independent challenge.
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
Opinion: Though unlikely, if independents perform well in the midterms, neither party might control the U.S. Senate, writes Dave Anderson.
They have been backing independent Senate candidates in red states. But Montana is not working as planned.
David Roth's withdrawal may help Todd Achilles's campaign, which carries Democratic themes.
Here are some things to watch as voters in California, Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota cast ballots.
The president’s favored candidates scored decisive victories while his opponents were soundly rejected by Republican primary voters. But whether that amounts to wins in November remains to be seen.
Tuesday’s election results gave Trump revenge on Representative Thomas Massie — but the primary may haunt the GOP. As the president focused on taking down several Republican foes, Democrats got some good news for Democrats.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
New polls show Republican senators behind challengers in Arkansas and Idaho, two heavily Trump-supporting states in 2024.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 15, 2025 and Jul 30, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. RischJim RischT. AchillesTodd AchillesD. RothDavid RothSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
