$83.8K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 19, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96% | — | $3.36M | |
| 4% | 12.0% | $692.2K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Jim Risch secured the Republican nomination for Idaho’s Senate race, strengthening the GOP’s hold on the seat. David Roth won the Democratic nomination, and Todd Achilles is also in the race. Idaho remains a strongly Republican state, so the market likely still leans Republican. Risch’s primary win likely keeps the Republican Party favored in Idaho. The Democratic and independent bids add some uncertainty, but the race still appears tilted GOP.
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
They have been backing independent Senate candidates in red states. But Montana is not working as planned.
David Roth's withdrawal may help Todd Achilles's campaign, which carries Democratic themes.
Here are some things to watch as voters in California, Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota cast ballots.
The president’s favored candidates scored decisive victories while his opponents were soundly rejected by Republican primary voters. But whether that amounts to wins in November remains to be seen.
Tuesday’s election results gave Trump revenge on Representative Thomas Massie — but the primary may haunt the GOP. As the president focused on taking down several Republican foes, Democrats got some good news for Democrats.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
Michigan’s primary races will test the Democratic Party’s deepest divisions.
Democrats in Montana and South Dakota told POLITICO they have no plans to step aside for independents mounting serious Senate campaigns.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 15, 2025 and Jul 30, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. RischJim RischT. AchillesTodd AchillesD. RothDavid RothSource: FEC
