Prediction Edge
Democrat
Deb Haaland

Deb Haaland

Democratic candidate for Governor in New Mexico

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Deb Haaland is trading at 96% to win the New Mexico Governor winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer Secretary of State

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age65 years old (Dec 2, 1960)

GenderFemale

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LocationNew Mexico

BackgroundPolitician

EducationB.A., University of New Mexico (1994)

Notable personal detailsDebra Anne "Deb" Haaland is an American politician from New Mexico and an enrolled member of the Laguna Pueblo. She served as U.S. Representative for New Mexico’s 1st congressional district (2019–2021) before resigning to become the 54th U.S. Secretary of the Interior (2021–2025). She earned a B.A. from the University of New Mexico and a J.D. from the University of New Mexico School of Law, and has worked as a small-business owner and in tribal administration.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate emphasizes reducing regulatory barriers, supporting and attracting small businesses and new industries (clean energy, tech, film), and lowering costs of living for New Mexicans. Her campaign materials prioritize pro-growth measures to spur jobs and investment and pledge to cut red tape to attract businesses. She opposes federal proposals she says would harm the state economy and public-lands–dependent industries.

Healthcare

Supports protecting and expanding access to healthcare through defending Medicaid, using state resources to prevent coverage losses, lowering costs, and strengthening state healthcare affordability programs. Opposes federal proposals that would cut Medicaid funding and pledges to prioritize funding for rural hospitals and health centers.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports strengthening protections for immigrants and limiting federal immigration enforcement activity in New Mexico, including opposing ICE practices and backing legislation to increase oversight of detention and immigrant legal protections. She has pledged to hold ICE accountable, support bans on ICE detention centers in the state, and champion immigrant-safety legislation. These positions prioritize expanded asylum/immigrant safeguards and restrictions on enforcement actions at the state level.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports a woman's right to choose, favors expanding access to abortion care and contraception, and has co-sponsored federal legislation to protect abortion access. Pledges as a gubernatorial candidate to defend and fund reproductive health providers and to protect access to care in New Mexico.

Climate & Energy

Supports strong conservation and clean-energy investment, including directing federal funds to conservation and clean energy projects in New Mexico and backing regulatory steps to reduce methane emissions from oil and gas on public lands. Advocates policies to grow clean-energy jobs and infrastructure while protecting public lands and waters.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong gun-violence prevention measures including banning assault-style weapons, implementing universal/expanded background checks, closing gun-show loopholes, and other restrictions while also supporting resources for law enforcement and investments in behavioral health and prevention. Emphasizes keeping guns out of the hands of people who should not have them and has proposed buy-back-style approaches for restricted weapons.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Deb Haaland has won the Democratic nomination for New Mexico governor after defeating Sam Bregman in the primary, and she will face Republican Gregg Hull in the November general election. Her win was decisive, with reports putting her around 70% of the vote. The race has been a major focus in New Mexico, with heavy campaign spending and turnout, and Haaland has emphasized representation, Indigenous culture, and state economic and energy issues.

history.house.gov+43

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Deb Haaland currently averages 45.3%, ranking first in this race, 8.0 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 45.3%Position: firstMargin: +8.0 ptsLatest poll: 49.0% (Aug 21 - 28)Polls included: 3

Average recalculated from polls through Aug 21 - 28.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
45.3%
37.3%
Deb Haaland
D. Haaland
Gregg Hull
G. Hull
Date (Start - End)SpreadHaalandHull
Polling Average
Haaland+8.0
45.3%37.3%
Research & PollingAug 21 - 28
Haaland+6.0
49.0%43.0%
BSP ResearchJul 22 - Aug 7
Haaland+17.0
41.0%24.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesJul 13 - 15
Haaland+1.0
46.0%45.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

15
New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$241.0K
$180.7K
$120.5K
$60.2K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$2.0K
$241.0K
$151.8K
$6.3K

Cycle 2024

$1.6K
$233.3K
$9.3K
$385.85

Cycle 2026

$282.96
$10.00
$233.6K
$77.9K

Source: FEC