$70.9K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 1:28 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 45.3% | $283 | |
| 6% | 37.3% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Deb Haaland has already secured the Democratic nomination for New Mexico governor and will face Gregg Hull in November. New reporting shows Democrats actively campaigning in New Mexico ahead of the midterms, with the governor’s race still drawing attention. The latest coverage mentions local polling but does not report a new race-changing result. Haaland’s nomination is already baked in, so this news mostly reinforces the Democratic side of the race. The newer campaign coverage may slightly support Democrats, but it does not clearly change the odds.
New Mexico Democrats launched an ad accusing Republican gubernatorial candidate Gregg Hull of following Donald Trump’s approach to Medicaid, food assistance and universal child care.
The candidates for California governor — Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton — will meet face to face in the only scheduled debate of the campaign.
President Donald Trump says he slipped away from Air Force One after a trip last month in Turkey because the Secret Service and military wanted him on a “different plane” due to a threat he insisted didn’t scare him.
SAN FELIPE PUEBLO, N.M. (AP) — As the sun peeked over the Sandia Mountains, Deb Haaland was at a familiar spot, the tribal community where she used to work, waving at motorists and encouraging them to stop and vote in New Mexico’s primary.
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
Deb Haaland wins the Democratic nomination for New Mexico governor, positioning her to make history in the November general election. On the Republican side, Gregg Hull leads the primary race to challenge her.
Former U.S. interior secretary seeking to become first Native American woman elected governor
Former US Interior secretary rebuffs Sam Bregman in primary, seeking to become first Native American woman elected governor
Ms. Haaland, a former Interior secretary, took a big step toward making history as the first Native American woman to be a governor when she won the primary in her Democratic state.
Iowa Democrat gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand defended the Green New Deal and opposed an Iowa bill defining sex as "either male or female as observed or clinically verified at birth.”
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 13, 2026 and Aug 28, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
D. HaalandDeb HaalandSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
