$44.3K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 12:53 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 92% | $283 | |
| 12% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Deb Haaland has won the Democratic nomination for New Mexico governor and will face Republican Gregg Hull in the general election. Her primary win was decisive, confirming the November matchup and giving Democrats a clear nominee. This likely supports Democrats by confirming a strong nominee and keeping the race framed around a Democratic hold. The immediate market effect is probably modest, since the matchup was already expected.
President Donald Trump says he slipped away from Air Force One after a trip last month in Turkey because the Secret Service and military wanted him on a “different plane” due to a threat he insisted didn’t scare him.
SAN FELIPE PUEBLO, N.M. (AP) — As the sun peeked over the Sandia Mountains, Deb Haaland was at a familiar spot, the tribal community where she used to work, waving at motorists and encouraging them to stop and vote in New Mexico’s primary.
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
Deb Haaland wins the Democratic nomination for New Mexico governor, positioning her to make history in the November general election. On the Republican side, Gregg Hull leads the primary race to challenge her.
Former U.S. interior secretary seeking to become first Native American woman elected governor
Former US Interior secretary rebuffs Sam Bregman in primary, seeking to become first Native American woman elected governor
Ms. Haaland, a former Interior secretary, took a big step toward making history as the first Native American woman to be a governor when she won the primary in her Democratic state.
Arizona’s 1st, 2nd, and 6th districts could all be valuable pickups for Democrats hoping to turn the House of Representatives blue.
Rep. Andy Biggs will win the Republican nomination for governor in Arizona, CNN’s Decision Desk projects, setting up a November clash with Democratic incumbent Gov. Katie Hobbs in the battleground state.
Several key primary races, including California’s governor, remain uncalled, CBS News veteran correspondent Scott Pelley is sacked and Republicans get a boost with Alabama’s congressional map.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 13, 2026 and Jul 15, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
D. HaalandDeb HaalandSource: FEC
