Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
41.4%
43%
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
OH-15 House winner?
The selected contract has a verified final result.
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 4:26 AM UTC
Democrat
Don Leonard
Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Ohio
$157.3K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Saved odds — OH-15 House winner?
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
41%chance to win
$157.3KNOV 7, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleProfessor (city and regional planning)
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyProgressive Democrat
LocationOhio
BackgroundProfessor (city and regional planning)
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EducationCornell University — PhD, Government (2014)
Notable personal detailsDon Ralph Leonard is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He has worked as a Professional Practice Assistant Professor in City and Regional Planning at The Ohio State University. Leonard previously held postdoctoral fellowships at Tulane University and Princeton University and earned graduate degrees in government from Cornell University. He also served in the U.S. Peace Corps in South America.
SourcesShowHide
docquery.fec.govdonforohio.compeople.engineering.osu.eduplannedparenthoodaction.orgkalshi.comthehousemajoritypac.comthecandidate.comhistory.house.govohiohouse.govbnd.comnorwoodohdems.orgm.thegreenpapers.comballotready.orgthehousemedia.coen.wikipedia.orgallencounty.in.govreddit.comfranklincoks.orgarxiv.orgohiocpa.comfec.govmusic.amazon.inbluevoterguide.orglinktr.eepolitics1.comsecure.actblue.comlpo.orgpolicymattersohio.orgin.govlsc.ohio.govgomotionapp.comboe.ohio.govendcitizensunited.orginstagram.comballotpedia.orgoft-aft.orgthelantern.comdecisiondeskhq.substack.comthe-downballot.comnbc4i.comdispatch.comfreebeacon.comc-span.orgrooster.infoespn.comnytimes.comhoopsrumors.comsports.yahoo.comsportsnet.catribune.net.phfadeawayworld.netfacebook.comvotesmart.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orggovinfo.govstatic.votesmart.orgfr.wikipedia.orgnews.ballotpedia.orgwikidata.orgwhitehouse.senate.govcongress.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports restoring economic fairness by strengthening safety nets and opposing tax breaks and bailouts for corporations and billionaires while prioritizing policies that help working families. Emphasizes bold national action on healthcare, housing, childcare, and aging as central to fixing the economy.
Healthcare
The candidate supports that all Americans deserve quality, affordable insurance and emphasizes strengthening healthcare access. His campaign materials state a focus on affordable, usable insurance rather than proposing full privatization or single-payer replacement.
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Immigration & Border
Supports accountability for aggressive immigration enforcement and criticizes federal agents’ conduct; frames immigration as an issue tied to humane treatment and reform rather than enforcement-first approaches. Emphasizes protecting legal residents from abusive enforcement actions while discussing immigration and ICE accountability as part of his platform.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026
Don Leonard is in the news mainly because his race is part of the broader 2026 House battleground picture, where Democrats are expanding their target list and recent polling has shown some Republican-held seats becoming more competitive. The latest ratings and polling suggest the GOP still has an edge in many districts, but several races are tightening ahead of the midterms. There is not much direct reporting about Leonard himself in the provided summaries, so the coverage appears to be about the election environment around his candidacy.
docquery.fec.gov+60
Articles
NNewsweek9 months ago
Democrats Unveil New Midterm Map Target States: Full List
Neutral
NNewsweek3 months ago
Map Shows Shift in Midterm Districts From ‘Solid’ Republican to ‘Likely’
Neutral
TDThe Daily Beast4 months ago
New Polling Gives Trump Brutal Midterm Reality Check
Neutral
HCHartford Courant5 months ago
Analysis: 11 House races move toward Democrats
Neutral
Latest Polls
OH-15 House winner?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Don Leonard currently averages 41.4%, ranking second in this race, 1.6 points behind the next candidate.
Polling average: 41.4%Position: secondMargin: -1.6 ptsLatest poll: 48.0% (Oct 9 - 12)Polls included: 5
Average recalculated from polls through Oct 9 - 12.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$606.7K
$455.0K
$303.3K
$151.7K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$606.7K
$252.4K
$354.3K
$19.7K
Source: FEC
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- Endorsements