$14.6K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 10, 2026, 2:53 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 41.7% | $3.30M | |
| 19% | 37.7% | $606.7K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Ohio's 15th District is still rated Republican-leaning, but recent forecast updates say it has become more competitive. A Democratic-aligned PAC is also targeting a GOP House seat in Ohio, adding pressure on Republicans. The GOP primary field remains unchanged after Samuel Ronan stayed off the ballot. The district still appears Republican-leaning, but recent ratings suggest a somewhat tighter race than before. The PAC attack effort adds some downside risk for Republicans, though the overall edge still looks GOP-favored.
The Fox News forecast shows Democrats gaining momentum in the House race, while 17 toss-up districts could decide control.
A PAC-funded robocall campaign is bringing allegations from two women back into the spotlight, and Miller's own legal maneuvering has kept the story alive far longer than it needed to be.
WASHINGTON — Another month, and another batch of rating changes that benefit Democrats. But the House Republican majority is not lost yet, according to a district-by-district analysis of the House battleground. With less than five months to go, the fundamentals of midterm elections continue to favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s job rating is underwater at 39% approve and 58% disapprove, ...
A retired Pennsylvania steelworker who vote for Hillary Clinton in 2016 cast ballots for Donald Trump in 2020 and 2024. HereÆs where he stands now. Eyal Press reports.
Excerpts from recent editorials in the United States and abroad: ___ May 8 The Washington Post on Trump's second tariff defeat The Trump administration is…
Samuel Ronan, a former Democratic state and national candidate, attempted to run as a Republican in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District against GOP incumbent Rep. Mike Carey.
Republicans maintain a narrow House majority, controlling 218 seats, while Democrats hold 212.
Midterm elections are eight weeks away, and polls show the economy is voters' top issue. Trump's approval on inflation, cost of living and gas prices sits in the mid 20s.
Democrats consider dozens of seats "in play" this November, and aim to leverage the domestic fallout from Trump's war in Iran.
Progressives widen 2026 House battlefield, adding GOP‑held districts as they chase a broader path to reclaiming the majority.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between May 16, 2026 and Aug 9, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. CareyMike CareyD. LeonardDon LeonardSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
