Prediction Edge
Republican
Don Tracy

Don Tracy

Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Illinois

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Don Tracy is trading at 3% to win the Illinois Senate winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleAttorney

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationIllinois

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BackgroundAttorney

EducationArizona State University (undergraduate degree)

Notable personal detailsDon Tracy is an Illinois attorney and Republican political figure who ran for the U.S. Senate in Illinois in the 2026 election cycle. He served as chairman of the Illinois Republican Party (2021–2024) and previously chaired the Illinois Gaming Board (2015–2019). He has worked as senior counsel at the Springfield-based law firm Brown, Hay & Stephens and has been active in Illinois civic and professional organizations.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lowering the cost of living by cutting taxes and reducing regulatory burdens; emphasizes tax relief for working families and policies to make Illinois more business-friendly to spur growth and manufacturing. Positions call for tax reductions and limiting tax-and-spend policies attributed to Democrats in Illinois.

Healthcare

Supports market-driven reforms to lower costs, emphasizing price transparency, increased competition, expansion of Health Savings Accounts, and small-business pooling; criticizes the Affordable Care Act as unaffordable and calls for tighter enforcement of subsidy eligibility. Opposes broad government expansion of coverage and favors policies that increase private-market choice and cost pressure.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border enforcement and secure borders while criticizing policies described as opposing enforcement; emphasizes stopping policies that block enforcement to protect communities. Advocates for stricter measures against illegal entry and ties border security to public safety.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports overturning Roe v. Wade and favors returning abortion regulation to the states. He endorses the Illinois Republican Party platform valuing life from conception to natural death and expressed support for the Supreme Court decision that returned abortion regulation to state authority.

Climate & Energy

Supports an "all-of-the-above" energy strategy that includes nuclear, natural gas, renewables, and emerging technologies while prioritizing grid reliability and energy independence. Rejects what he calls "radical, unrealistic mandates" that raise utility bills or force premature shutdowns of reliable power plants and favors policies that aim to keep energy costs low for working families. Describes himself as a "rational environmentalist" who supports transitioning to cleaner energy in a responsible, affordable way.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 8, 2026

Don Tracy is now the Republican nominee for Illinois’ open U.S. Senate seat and will face Democrat Juliana Stratton in the November election. Recent coverage says his campaign is trailing badly in fundraising, with Stratton holding a large financial edge and Tracy relying partly on a personal loan. He has also been appearing at conservative events, including an anti-abortion rally, where he said he does not support nationalizing abortion law.

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Latest Polls

Illinois Republican Senate nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Emerson College
8%6%4%2%0%
5.6%
Don Tracy
D. Tracy
Jimmy Lee Tillman
J. Tillman
Jeannie Evans
J. Evans
R.Cary Capparelli
R. Capparelli
Casey Chlebek
C. Chlebek
Date (Start - End)SpreadTracyTillmanEvansCapparelliChlebek
Emerson CollegeJan 3 - 5
Tracy+2.3
5.6%3.3%2.5%1.7%1.3%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.5M
$1.8M
$1.2M
$615.0K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$2.5M
$1.5M
$947.5K
$52.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements