$24.1K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 24, 2026, 11:58 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99% | 53.8% | $5.91M | |
| 1% | 38.8% | $2.46M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Juliana Stratton has secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 2026 U.S. Senate race. Final primary results showed her leading the field, and the contest now moves to the general election. Broader Midwest coverage suggests Democrats are gaining some ground regionally, but Republicans still have structural advantages. Stratton’s nomination removes primary uncertainty and clarifies the Democratic side of the race. The broader Midwest trend may modestly support Democratic sentiment, but the effect on Illinois is still unclear.
President Donald Trump said that Vivek Ramaswamy, the Republican nominee for Ohio governor, should keep running a controversial ad featuring the estranged mother of Democratic opponent Amy Acton.
President Donald Trump has urged Vivek Ramaswamy, the Republican nominee for Ohio governor, to keep running a controversial ad. The ad features the estranged mother of Democratic opponent Amy Acton.
Republican Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine denounces a controversial Vivek Ramaswamy ad featuring the estranged mother of Dr. Amy Acton.
Republican Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine has denounced a controversial ad featuring the estranged mother of Dr. Amy Acton, taking sides with the Democratic candidate for governor and former member of his Cabinet over her Republican rival, Vivek Ramaswamy.
Stratton has been linking Tracy to President Donald Trump's policies, as Tracy labels Stratton a "socialist" on Chicago billboards. Watch the debate on WTTW's YouTube channel, streaming at 8 p.m. CST.
In an Illinois get-out-the-vote post, the president backed Darren Bailey for governor and three downstate House members and urged mail voting — a method he’s falsely called rife with fraud — but didn’t mention Senate GOP nominee Don Tracy.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Sep 26, 2026 and Oct 20, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. StrattonJuliana StrattonD. TracyDon TracySource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
