Prediction Edge
Republican
Ethan Baker

Ethan Baker

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Michigan

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Ethan Baker is trading at 4% to win the MI-11 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyMainstream Republican

GenderMale

LocationMichigan

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BackgroundMayor of Troy, Michigan

EducationUniversity of Michigan - Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy (2020–2021)

Notable personal detailsEthan D. Baker is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He has served as mayor of Troy, Michigan, after being elected to the Troy City Council in 2015 and elected mayor in 2019. He is married to Bethany Baker.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Ethan Baker’s public campaign messaging focuses on cost of living, economic uncertainty, local jobs, infrastructure, and support for small businesses. The available sources do not provide a clear, direct position on tax rates or a specific tax-cut or tax-increase agenda.

Healthcare

Ethan Baker says healthcare should be affordable and accessible, with a focus on patients rather than insurance company profits. He supports lowering prescription drug costs, expanding primary and mental health care, protecting coverage for preexisting conditions, strengthening community health centers, addressing workforce shortages, and increasing competition to reduce costs.

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Immigration & Border

Ethan Baker supports secure borders and fair enforcement of immigration laws, while also backing modernization of the legal immigration system. He says enforcement should be consistent with constitutional principles and the rule of law, and does not call for maximal deportation or border-militarization measures.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Ethan Baker says he will protect and expand access to reproductive healthcare. His public campaign materials do not provide a more specific abortion policy position or list gestational limits, exceptions, or bans.

Climate & Energy

Ethan Baker supports an all-of-the-above energy strategy that strengthens the electric grid, invests in next-generation energy technologies such as nuclear power, expands domestic energy production, and reduces pollution. He frames energy policy around reliability, affordability, and responsible environmental stewardship rather than aggressive climate regulation.

Public Safety & Guns

Ethan Baker has been rated highly by the NRA and NRA Political Victory Fund, which points to a pro-gun-rights posture. I did not find a detailed public policy platform on gun regulation, but the available evidence suggests opposition to major new gun restrictions rather than support for expanded gun control.

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$141.9K
$106.4K
$70.9K
$35.5K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$141.9K
$121.1K
$21.8K
$1.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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