Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Democratic or unrated
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Michigan House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
MI-11 House winner?
$3.7K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $1.49M | |
| 2% | $141.9K |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$3.7K
24h volume
$225
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Michigan 11th District · US House
Safe or unratedSafe Democratic or unratedOpen seatDistrict context
Seat Dynamics
Open seat
Incumbent: Haley M. Stevens (D)
Election Rules
Primary Aug 4, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Why it matters
The seat is open, so candidate quality and fundraising can matter more than incumbency.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
There are no recent updates tied directly to Michigan's 11th Congressional District. The latest Michigan coverage is about other races, especially the Senate contest and the 12th District primary. Broader House reporting says Republicans face some headwinds, but it does not address this seat. No direct district-specific signal here, so the market impact looks limited. Any effect is indirect and uncertain based on broader House-cycle coverage.
Articles
UTUSA TODAY1 day ago
What early voting data tell us about the 2026 midterm elections
Approximately 54 million Americans have offered a glimpse into the midterm election, which is seeing an uptick in younger and racially diverse voters.
SSFGATE1 day ago
The Latest: Democrats and Republicans make a final push one day before midterm elections
President Donald Trump closed out the final weekend of a turbulent midterm campaign with rallies in two states he had handily won in the past. At the same time, Democrats began to fracture in...
UTUSA TODAY2 days ago
Trump bet on riskier candidates. Will it cost Republicans seats?
The president often picked more loyal but polarizing contenders during the 2026 primary season, now some of them are behind in the polls.
CNCable News Network2 days ago
CNN’s 11 Senate seats most likely to flip, the day before the midterms
On the eve of the election, Democrats appear within striking distance of winning the Senate majority, but many seats in play are in toss-up territory in deep-red states that could still break in either party’s direction.
CTChicago Tribune2 days ago
Democrats rally as Republican ticket lies low
Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate Juliana Stratton calls a Michigan Democrat’s endorsement of Republican Mike Rogers a ‘betrayal,’ while candidates in Chicago-area congressional races make last-minute appeals to voters before Tuesday.
UTUSA TODAY2 days ago
Midterm upheaval: The campaign is reshaping politics for Trump, Dems
Dissatisfaction with those in charge has been the default of America's dyspeptic politics for a decade. That's still true this time around.
ESEUROPE SAYS3 days ago
Israel Democratic primary rival puts Michigan Jews on edge
ANN ARBOR, Michigan — An 11th-hour public feud between Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed and his pro-Israel former primary rival is
TMThe Mercury News4 days ago
For under-50 Senate hopefuls, age isn’t just a number
“Young” is a relative term in the Senate.
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jul 15, 2026$2M
$1.5M
$1M
$500K
$0
J. Moss
E. Baker
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
J. MossJeremy Moss$1.49MContrib: $1.43M
$352.5KSpent: $1.13M
$59.6KLast period: $246.0K
PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026
E. BakerEthan Baker$141.9KContrib: $141.9K
$121.1KSpent: $21.8K
$1.1KLast period: $27.3K
PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026
Source: FEC
Related Races
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
MI-11 House winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-11?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 3:26 AM UTC
Will Republican win the House race for MI-11?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 3:26 AM UTC