Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
42.7%
47%
Republican
Incumbent
IncumbentFrench Hill
Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in Arkansas
AR-02 Republican nominee?
$956.00
MAR 10, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
French Hill is trading at 98% to win the AR-02 Republican nominee? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age69 years old (Dec 5, 1956)
GenderMale
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LocationArkansas
BackgroundU.S. Representative
EducationVanderbilt University — B.S. (Economics), magna cum laude (1979)
Notable personal detailsJames French “French” Hill is a Republican U.S. Representative for Arkansas’s 2nd Congressional District, first elected in 2014 and serving since January 2015. He is Chair of the House Financial Services Committee (119th Congress). Before Congress, he worked in banking and investments and founded Delta Trust & Banking Corporation in Little Rock, serving as its CEO and chairman until 2014. He previously served in the George H. W. Bush administration at the U.S. Treasury and the White House Economic Policy Council.
SourcesShowHide
hill.house.govfec.goven.wikipedia.orgwikidata.orgfr.wikipedia.orges.wikipedia.orgpolitico.comaxios.comwsj.comapnews.comcookpolitical.comprojects.propublica.orgstage.arkelect.comelectfrench.comlegistorm.comsteube.house.govuschamber.comarktimes.comcongress.govkasu.orgcrawford.house.govsengov.comarkansasadvocate.comtalkbusiness.netfoxbusiness.comivoterguide.comheritageaction.com4029tv.comsubscriber.politicopro.comkatv.comriponsociety.orgnews.bgov.comkark.comconsumerfinancemonitor.comthehill.comnewrepublic.comthv11.com5newsonline.comabcnews.comblavity.comfacebook.comlocalcandidates.orginstagram.comballotpedia.orgfinancialservices.house.govchrisjonesforcongress.comhistory.house.govclerk.house.govziplook.house.govcha.house.govwatsoncoleman.house.govoce.house.govgovinfo.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports pro-growth tax cuts and making parts of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act permanent, favors reducing taxes for businesses and middle-class families, and has backed legislation to lower capital gains and restrain federal spending. Emphasizes fiscal responsibility and cutting or rescinding unobligated federal spending while advancing tax relief for small businesses and families.
Healthcare
The candidate has supported repealing and replacing the Affordable Care Act and has voted in favor of Republican repeal efforts. He favors market-oriented reforms (including criticism of ACA exchanges and support for policies to increase competition and reform drug-pricing mechanisms) and has backed measures to adjust Medicare/Medicaid reimbursement rules to aid rural providers.
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Immigration & Border
Supports stronger border security including more Customs and Border Protection personnel, physical barriers and technology, and stricter enforcement of immigration laws; favors a more merit-based legal immigration system and measures to end programs like the diversity visa while opposing broad pathways to citizenship for those who entered unlawfully. Has voted against Democratic legislation providing a pathway to citizenship for undocumented immigrants (e.g., Dreamers) and backed funding to expand border enforcement capacity.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
French Hill describes himself as pro-life, supports restrictions on abortion while endorsing exceptions for rape, incest, and the life of the mother, and has voted for federal limits such as the Pain-Capable Unborn Child Protection Act. He has said he would not support a nationwide abortion ban but opposes late-term abortion measures without limits.
Climate & Energy
Supports an "all-of-the-above" energy strategy that includes expanding domestic energy production (including fossil fuels) while opposing proposals like the Green New Deal and returning to the Paris Agreement as presented; favors market-driven clean energy innovation (battery, solar, nuclear) rather than aggressive regulatory approaches. Emphasizes economic impacts and energy affordability when evaluating climate policy.
Public Safety & Guns
Supports Second Amendment rights and has opposed proposed federal assault-weapons restrictions and executive actions that he says infringe on gun rights, while indicating past support for some "commonsense" measures to reduce gun violence. Has received endorsement from the NRA Political Victory Fund.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026
French Hill is in the news because he is facing a competitive 2026 reelection race in Arkansas’s 2nd Congressional District. Recent polling shows Democrat Chris Jones narrowly ahead, and Democrats have added the district to their expanded House target map. Hill is also drawing criticism over a House vote tied to cutting WIC funding, which his opponent is using as a campaign issue.
hill.house.gov+52
Articles
ATArkansas Times3 months ago
Chris Jones said he would not have cut funding for WIC program
Negative
ATArkansas Times4 months ago
Chris Jones noses ahead of French Hill
Negative
SSFGATE1 month ago
House Democrats add 12 solidly Trump districts to their midterm election target list
Neutral
AOArkansas Online3 months ago
Pete Buttigieg to appear with U.S. House candidate Chris Jones in Little Rock
Neutral
Latest Polls
AR-02 House winner?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
French Hill currently averages 42.7%, ranking second in this race, 4.3 points behind the next candidate.
Polling average: 42.7%Position: secondMargin: -4.3 ptsLatest poll: 44.0% (Aug 12 - 13)Polls included: 3
Average recalculated from polls through Aug 12 - 13.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$3.8M
$2.9M
$1.9M
$950.5K
$0
2022
2024
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2022
$3.4M
$880.7K
$2.9M
$121.9K
Cycle 2024
$3.8M
$1.4M
$3.3M
$137.8K
Cycle 2026
$3.8M
$2.7M
$2.5M
$167.0K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Endorsements