Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Gabriel Vasquez

Gabriel Vasquez

Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New Mexico

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Gabriel Vasquez is trading at 88% to win the NM-02 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age42 years old (Aug 3, 1984)

GenderMale

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LocationNew Mexico

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationMontwood High School (El Paso, Texas) — graduate

Notable personal detailsGabriel “Gabe” Vasquez is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative for New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district (in office since January 3, 2023). Born in El Paso, Texas, he previously served on the Las Cruces City Council (2017–2021) and worked as a newspaper editor and nonprofit executive, including as executive director of the Hispanic Chamber of Commerce in Las Cruces. He earned a B.A. from New Mexico State University in 2008.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Gabriel Vasquez supports a tax code that benefits working families and says corporations should pay their fair share. He has backed eliminating federal income taxes on tips, expanding the Child Tax Credit, and opposing tax cuts for billionaires and corporations that he says come at the expense of working people.

Healthcare

Gabriel Vasquez supports making health care more affordable and accessible, including protecting access to care through ACA premium tax credits and opposing efforts that would reduce coverage. He has also backed lowering prescription drug costs and addressing medical debt tied to health care expenses.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security paired with expanded legal pathways, asylum access, and a humane, orderly immigration system. Opposes mass deportation proposals and says immigration reform should also address workforce needs and pathways to residency for Dreamers and others.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Gabriel Vasquez supports abortion access and reproductive rights. His public statements and official materials describe him as pro-choice, note support for emergency abortion care protections, and back continued access to mifepristone.

Climate & Energy

Gabriel Vasquez supports an all-of-the-above energy strategy that includes oil and gas as well as clean energy, along with permitting reform and lower energy costs. He also acknowledges climate change as a driver of drought, wildfire risk, and methane-emissions concerns, which suggests support for climate mitigation without a clear break from fossil fuel development.

Public Safety & Guns

Gabriel Vasquez supports common-sense gun safety laws while saying he also supports responsible gun ownership and the Second Amendment. He backs expanded background checks, an assault weapons ban, and safe-storage legislation such as Ethan’s Law.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 29, 2026

Gabriel Vasquez is in the news because Republicans are targeting his New Mexico 2nd Congressional District seat in the 2026 House race. The contest is being framed as competitive, with GOP candidates trying to win over Hispanic voters and flip the district. More recently, Eddy County Sheriff Matthew Hutchinson endorsed Republican Greg Cunningham and criticized Vasquez over law enforcement and border security issues.

history.house.gov+40

Latest Polls

NM-02 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

co/efficient
50%40%30%20%10%0%
43%
41%
Gabriel Vasquez
G. Vasquez
Greg Cunningham
G. Cunningham
Date (Start - End)SpreadVasquezCunningham
co/efficientApr 26 - 28
Vasquez+2.0
43.0%41.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

NM-02 House winner?

Endorsers of Gabriel Vasquez for NM-02 House winner?

Latinovictory.org

Public endorsement

Latinovictory.org endorsed Gabe Vasquez for U.S. House NM-02.

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Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$7.0M
$5.3M
$3.5M
$1.8M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$3.7M
$22.8K
$3.7M
$152.7K

Cycle 2024

$7.0M
$39.1K
$7.0M
$292.7K

Cycle 2026

$3.8M
$2.4M
$1.4M
$80.2K

Source: FEC