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Which Party wins the 2026 New Mexico District 2 US House Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 6:59am GMT+2, in 172 daysLast updated: May 19, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC

NM-02 House winner?

$10.7K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

75.0%

R. Party

41.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$10.7K

24h volume

D. Party75%

R. Party41%

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source: Kalshi

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June

TUE 2

New Mexico 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

New Mexico 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Republican Party

18%24H41%

Republican Party's odds are now 41%, past the previous high of 23%.

Vasquez draws new local coverage as NM-2 Democratic odds dip to 76%

24H

Fresh coverage on Gabe Vasquez’s involvement in the Hidalgo Medical Services controversy adds a new district-specific storyline, while the Democratic win market has slipped from 81% to 76% in the last hour. That makes the race slightly more tradable even though the seat still favors Democrats.

11d

News

AINews Summary

The provided news does not include any direct updates on New Mexico's 2nd congressional district House race. The New Mexico item is about Deb Haaland's governor primary, while the rest concern other states and races. No clear impact on this market from the provided news. The latest items do not appear to change the outlook for New Mexico's 2nd district House race.

Articles

AJAlbuquerque Journal3 days ago

Haaland's record outshines the rhetoric in New Mexico governor's race

Former Albuquerque Mayor Martin Chavez makes the case for Deb Haaland in the New Mexico gubernatorial primary, defending her record as Interior secretary, congresswoman, and state Democratic Party chair against attacks from rival Sam Bregman's campaign.

UNU.S. News & World Report5 days ago

Xavier Becerra's Decades in Public Office Are a Blessing and a Curse in His California Governor Bid

SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) — Democrat Xavier Becerra is counting on his decades-long public career to catapult him into the California governor's office, but that lengthy political resume has also given his critics fodder to question his competence in the race's closing weeks.

WEWashington Examiner11 days ago

held seats that voted for Trump: Poll

The NRCC’s polling of the battleground districts shows Republicans are competitive in five Democrat-held districts that Trump won in 2024.

PPOLITICO11 days ago

GOP polls show they have a shot at flipping House Dem districts Trump won

The GOP’s House campaign arm shared five new battleground polls with POLITICO, its first publicly released surveys this cycle.

TAThe Associated Press5 days ago

Xavier Becerra bets on decades of experience in California governor race

Xavier Becerra, a Democrat running for California governor, is propping up his decades-long career in public office as proof he can succeed in the state's highest office.

SDSan Diego Union-Tribune11 days ago

Q&A: Meet Star Parker, candidate for California’s 49th Congressional District

Star Parker, 69, is a Republican, policy consultant and columnist.

NNewsweek13 days ago

Map Shows Where Republicans Lost Registered Voters 6 Months From Midterms

Voter registration data reveals where Republicans have lost, and gained, ground over the past year with Trump back in office.

NBNBC10 Boston19 days ago

Janet Mills drops out of Maine Senate race

Maine Gov. Janet Mills announced Thursday morning that she is suspending her candidacy for U.S. Senate.

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat5 days ago

Xavier Becerra’s decades in public office are a blessing and a curse in his California governor bid

Democrat Xavier Becerra is counting on his decades-long public career to catapult him into the California governor’s office, but that lengthy political resume has also given his critics fodder to question his competence in the race’s closing weeks.

AJAlbuquerque Journal28 days ago

State Supreme Court overturns lower court, orders Rep. Rebecca Dow be put back on ballot

Veteran GOP lawmaker previously knocked off ballot amid dispute over nominating petitions

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Which Party wins the 2026 New Mexico District 2 US House Election?

NM-02 House winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Republican Party

Vasquez draws new local coverage as NM-2 Democratic odds dip to 76%

News

Haaland's record outshines the rhetoric in New Mexico governor's race

Xavier Becerra's Decades in Public Office Are a Blessing and a Curse in His California Governor Bid

held seats that voted for Trump: Poll

GOP polls show they have a shot at flipping House Dem districts Trump won

Xavier Becerra bets on decades of experience in California governor race

Q&A: Meet Star Parker, candidate for California’s 49th Congressional District

Map Shows Where Republicans Lost Registered Voters 6 Months From Midterms

Janet Mills drops out of Maine Senate race

Xavier Becerra’s decades in public office are a blessing and a curse in his California governor bid

State Supreme Court overturns lower court, orders Rep. Rebecca Dow be put back on ballot

Related races

New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?

New Mexico Republican Governor nominee?

New Mexico Senate winner?

New Mexico Governor winner?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Republican Party

Vasquez draws new local coverage as NM-2 Democratic odds dip to 76%

News

Haaland's record outshines the rhetoric in New Mexico governor's race

Xavier Becerra's Decades in Public Office Are a Blessing and a Curse in His California Governor Bid

held seats that voted for Trump: Poll

GOP polls show they have a shot at flipping House Dem districts Trump won

Xavier Becerra bets on decades of experience in California governor race

Q&A: Meet Star Parker, candidate for California’s 49th Congressional District

Map Shows Where Republicans Lost Registered Voters 6 Months From Midterms

Janet Mills drops out of Maine Senate race

Xavier Becerra’s decades in public office are a blessing and a curse in his California governor bid

State Supreme Court overturns lower court, orders Rep. Rebecca Dow be put back on ballot

Related races

New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?

New Mexico Republican Governor nominee?

New Mexico Senate winner?

New Mexico Governor winner?