$20.5K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 8:53 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 94% | $3.78M | |
| 11% | $1.51M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Republicans are actively targeting New Mexico’s 2nd District and trying to flip the seat in 2026. A local sheriff also endorsed Republican Greg Cunningham. The district is still described as closely contested, so the market remains competitive. The endorsement and GOP targeting may modestly help Republicans, but the race still looks competitive. The news adds some momentum for the GOP without changing the overall uncertainty much.
President Donald Trump says he slipped away from Air Force One after a trip last month in Turkey because the Secret Service and military wanted him on a “different plane” due to a threat he insisted didn’t scare him.
Arizona’s 1st, 2nd, and 6th districts could all be valuable pickups for Democrats hoping to turn the House of Representatives blue.
ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
New Mexico's primary election solidifies the candidates for the November federal contests, with a Trump-backed challenger seeing a shot at unseating Gabe Vasquez and taking back the CD2 House seat for Republicans
New Mexico congressional candidate Cunningham says his Hispanic ties and Marine combat veteran background can help flip a historically Democratic district for Republicans.
Ken Paxton routed John Cornyn in this week’s Texas GOP Senate primary runoff. The result is a stunning rejection of a political lifer—and the final blow to George W. Bush’s hold over his home state.
Former Albuquerque Mayor Martin Chavez makes the case for Deb Haaland in the New Mexico gubernatorial primary, defending her record as Interior secretary, congresswoman, and state Democratic Party chair against attacks from rival Sam Bregman's campaign.
The NRCC’s polling of the battleground districts shows Republicans are competitive in five Democrat-held districts that Trump won in 2024.
The GOP’s House campaign arm shared five new battleground polls with POLITICO, its first publicly released surveys this cycle.
Follow live coverage of the G7 summit, Trump on Ukraine war and the Iran deal, Israel striking Lebanon.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Apr 26, 2026 and Apr 28, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
G. VasquezGabriel VasquezG. CunninghamGreg CunninghamSource: FEC
