Prediction Edge
Democrat
Gina Hinojosa

Gina Hinojosa

Democratic candidate for Governor in Texas

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Gina Hinojosa is trading at 15% to win the Texas Governor winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleState Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age52 years old (Dec 8, 1973)

GenderFemale

Show more

LocationTexas

BackgroundAttorney

EducationUniversity of Texas at Austin — Plan II Honors/Government (BA)

Notable personal detailsRegina Inez "Gina" Hinojosa is an American attorney and politician who serves as a Democratic member of the Texas House of Representatives, representing House District 49 in central Austin. She is a University of Texas at Austin alumna and earned her law degree from the George Washington University Law School/National Law Center. She has worked as a civil rights and labor lawyer and has served on Texas House committees including Public Education and Business & Industry.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Positions emphasize reducing costs for families and curbing corporate influence while also proposing targeted tax relief for small businesses; there is not clear evidence of a consistent stance advocating major tax increases on the wealthy or broad tax-cutting ideology.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to comprehensive public healthcare for all Texas residents and has pledged to carry/enact legislation (the Healthy Texas Act) to provide every Texas resident with comprehensive healthcare services. Campaign materials list “Quality and Accessible Healthcare for All Texans” as a top priority and cite past legislative work to secure federal funds for indigent health care. She has introduced and supported bills and organizing efforts aimed at broad public-health coverage and exceptions to restrictive abortion laws tied to medical necessity.

Show more

Immigration & Border

The candidate opposes state facilitation of ICE raids and detention, calls for the release and humane treatment of detained children and refugees, and criticizes private prison involvement in immigration enforcement. The candidate frames immigration policy around protecting families and lawful, orderly systems rather than expanded enforcement or state-enabled detention operations.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports abortion access and opposes Texas’s strict abortion bans while advocating exceptions in law for cases such as lethal fetal anomalies; has campaigned on restoring and protecting reproductive health care.

Climate & Energy

Supports an active state-level climate agenda emphasizing large emissions reductions and a transition to clean energy, including a multi-bill Texas Climate Plan to reduce greenhouse gases and expand renewable energy. Focuses on policy packages and legislative action to make Texas a leader in lowering emissions while addressing impacts such as water management.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports implementing gun-safety reforms that include requiring licenses to carry long guns and other measures to reduce gun violence while affirming that she does not advocate eliminating lawful access to guns. Has proposed laws to prohibit carrying firearms while intoxicated and has called for comprehensive public-safety approaches (education, licensing, local options such as campus opt-outs).

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Gina Hinojosa is in the news as the Democratic candidate for Texas governor, where she will face Greg Abbott in the November 2026 election. Recent coverage says she is trailing Abbott in some polls, though earlier polling showed a tighter race. She has also rolled out a campaign proposal to send $1,500 to every Texas household, funded by the state’s Economic Stabilization Fund, as part of her contrast with Abbott on taxes and spending.

house.texas.gov+50

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
43.3%
Gina Hinojosa
G. Hinojosa
Date (Start - End)SpreadHinojosa
Polling Average
43.3%
Emerson CollegeAug 9 - 10
45.0%
GBAOAug 4 - 9
48.0%
CygnalJul 29 - 31
46.0%
Wedgewood PollsJul 30 - 31
44.0%
ReconMR/Siena UniversityJul 27 - 30
45.0%
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterJul 27 - 30
43.0%
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchJul 23 - 27
49.0%
Slingshot StrategiesJul 15 - 17
42.0%
The New York Times/Siena UniversityJun 19 - 27
44.0%
SoCal StrategiesJun 21 - 21
42.2%
Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas/YouGovJun 5 - 12
40.0%
ReconMR/Siena UniversityJun 1 - 4
44.0%
Slingshot StrategiesMay 27 - 28
41.0%
Public Policy PollingMay 22 - 23
44.0%
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center/YouGovApr 22 - May 6
43.0%
Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas/YouGovApr 10 - 20
38.0%
Texas Public Opinion ResearchApr 17 - 20
43.0%
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion ResearchFeb 13 - 22
41.0%
GBAOJan 26 - Feb 3
43.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/YouGovJan 20 - 31
42.0%
Emerson CollegeJan 10 - 12
42.3%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

19
Texas Democratic Governor nominee?

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising