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NOV 8, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 7, 2026, 10:53 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| Greg AbbottRepublican | 87% |
| Gina HinojosaDemocratic | 15% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest recent development in the provided news is Sara Rodriguez’s exit from the Wisconsin governor’s race. Elsewhere, Deb Haaland secured the Democratic nomination in New Mexico, and Mike Lindell entered Minnesota’s Republican primary with Trump’s endorsement. None of the updates point to a clear change in the Texas governor race. The Wisconsin dropout is a notable change in a separate governor’s race, but it does not affect Texas directly. The Texas governor market appears unchanged based on these summaries.
Polling trends confirm Texas U.S. Senate candidate James Talarico has topped out Democrat support and still cannot reach a winning margin in the state’s 2026 election.
Talarico described Texas' THC ban as a "gift to the cartels."
Conservatives online are calling out Rep. Jasmine Crockett for referring to a House Smithsonian hearing as “the Republicans’ white pride rally.” The Texas
Virginia residents will vote in a statewide primary on Tuesday to choose nominees for U.S. Senate and U.S. House. WASHINGTON (AP) — For the third
SAN FELIPE PUEBLO, N.M. (AP) — As the sun peeked over the Sandia Mountains, Deb Haaland was at a familiar spot, the tribal community where she used to work, waving at motorists and encouraging them to stop and vote in New Mexico’s primary.
California’s congressional primaries on Tuesday are a preliminary test of Democrats’ best chance at countering Republican redistricting gains elsewhere this year.
California Democrats persuaded voters to let them redraw the state’s congressional map so the party could potentially gain five seats in the U.S. House to counter GOP redistricting in Texas. Tuesday’s primary will be the first indication of whether that will pay off.
He vowed to hold "some nice big, beautiful rallies" for GOP nominee Ken Paxton.
President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, dislodging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill.
Former President Barack Obama looks to boost Democrats James Talarico and Gina Hinojosa in their Texas races.
Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.
Business, financial, and economic groups
Business, financial, and economic groups endorsed Greg Abbott.
American Council of Engineering Companies (ACEC)
The American Council of Engineering Companies endorsed Greg Abbott.
Texas agricultural and industry leaders
Texas agricultural and industry leaders endorsed Greg Abbott.
National Cutting Horse Association
The National Cutting Horse Association endorsed Greg Abbott.
Texas Agricultural Aviation Association
The Texas Agricultural Aviation Association endorsed Greg Abbott.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
