$1.1M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 21, 2026, 4:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 77% | |
| 24% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Texas Democrats have their nominee in James Talarico, and Republicans have now settled on Ken Paxton after a runoff. Earlier coverage pointed to a tight general election and weak ratings for both GOP contenders. A Dallas convention also showed Republicans leaning on Trump to energize the base. The Texas news keeps the Senate race competitive and may reinforce concerns about Republican weakness in the state. The Trump-heavy GOP events could help Paxton’s base, but the overall signal remains mixed.
By Edward-Isaac Dovere, CNN Harlingen, Texas (CNN) — “Now what?” Gina Hinojosa asked, looking at the half-done house across the lot where the crew hadn’t shown up that morning. Had the workers been pulled over? Would they come tomorrow? Were they just running late? “Your guess,” said Ronnie Cavazos, the chairman of the South Texas
Abbott was dealt his worst poll yet against Democrat Gina Hinojosa in the Texas governor's race.
Democratic incumbents were rocked by a wave of upsets from far-left challengers as their primary voters indicated that "socialism" isn't necessarily a dirty word for them.
From Texas to Georgia, GOP figures including Karl Rove and Jeff Flake are endorsing Democrats in some of 2026's biggest races.
Live updates and the latest news on the Trump administration as the Federal Reserve is expected to decide whether to raise interest rates.
Democrats are turning influencers into an essential part of their midterm strategy. But the party hasn't figured out the rules of engagement.
President Donald Trump says he slipped away from Air Force One after a trip last month in Turkey because the Secret Service and military wanted him on a “different plane” due to a threat he insisted didn’t scare him.
SAN FELIPE PUEBLO, N.M. (AP) — As the sun peeked over the Sandia Mountains, Deb Haaland was at a familiar spot, the tribal community where she used to work, waving at motorists and encouraging them to stop and vote in New Mexico’s primary.
California’s congressional primaries on Tuesday are a preliminary test of Democrats’ best chance at countering Republican redistricting gains elsewhere this year.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
