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$87.4K
NOV 8, 2026
General Election
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Total volume
$87.4K
24h volume
$575
source: Kalshi
The U.S. Supreme Court has allowed Texas to use its mid-decade congressional map in 2026, and it’s expected to create more Republican-leaning U.S. House seats. Separately, new Texas Senate polling shows Democrat James Talarico narrowly leading both John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, who are headed to a GOP runoff. These cross-currents may shape perceptions of party strength going into 2026. The Texas redistricting ruling may modestly support expectations of continued Republican strength in statewide politics. But the Senate polling showing a Democrat leading GOP contenders could add some uncertainty about broader GOP performance in 2026.
The Republicans who control Florida’s legislature on Tuesday will take up a new map proposed by Gov. Ron DeSantis to give GOP an edge in four seats now held by Democrats – in what is likely the final maneuver in the coast-to-coast redistricting battle that has raged for months between the political parties.
Democratic state Rep. James Talarico is leading both of his potential opponents in the U.S. Senate race, according to a new poll.
U.S. Supreme Court on Monday cleared Texas to use its rare mid-decade congressional map, hading a victory to the Trump administration ahead of midterms.
Texas Republicans face their biggest challenge in 30 years as Democrats gain ground in both Senate and House races.
President Donald Trump’s yearlong effort to redraw congressional districts ahead of the 2026 midterms has not gone as planned.
Florida Democrat Sheila Cherfilus‑McCormick resigned from Congress but is still running for reelection as she faces pending criminal charges.
The new map follows the demands of President Trump who wanted GOP-led states to help make sure Republicans retain a majority in the U.S. House.
Swalwell resigned his seat on Tuesday morning amid sexual assault allegations.
The congressman remained defiant in a post on the social platform X, saying, “I will fight the serious, false allegations that have been made — but that’s my fight, not a campaign’s.”
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