Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Greg Murphy

Greg Murphy

Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in North Carolina

Live Odds — NC-03 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

88%chance to win

$2.3KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age63 years old (Mar 5, 1963)

GenderMale

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LocationNorth Carolina

BackgroundUrologic surgeon

EducationDavidson College (B.A., 1985)

Notable personal detailsGregory Francis "Greg" Murphy is a Republican member of the U.S. House of Representatives for North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, first elected in a September 10, 2019 special election. He previously served in the North Carolina House of Representatives (2015–2019). Murphy is a physician (urologic surgeon) and earned his B.A. from Davidson College and his M.D. from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Greg Murphy supports lower taxes for working families, tax simplification, and reducing the amount the government spends annually. His stated position emphasizes continued tax cuts and fiscal restraint rather than tax increases.

Healthcare

Greg Murphy emphasizes physician-led, market-oriented healthcare reforms, including reducing fees, improving payment stability, and increasing hospital transparency. His public statements and legislative activity also show support for bipartisan healthcare changes rather than a single-payer or major government-expansion approach.

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Immigration & Border

Greg Murphy supports stronger border enforcement and stricter immigration controls. He has opposed a Senate border-security compromise as too weak, criticized open-border policies, and said the United States requires strong immigration laws to keep borders secure and communities safe.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Greg Murphy voted for the Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Protection Act. That vote aligns with support for abortion restrictions rather than broad abortion access.

Climate & Energy

Greg Murphy’s public messaging emphasizes affordable energy, opposition to burdensome regulation, and skepticism of expansive federal climate policy. He has also criticized EPA regulations as costly and has tied his broader economic agenda to reducing overregulation rather than pursuing aggressive climate mandates.

Public Safety & Guns

Greg Murphy aligns with gun-rights-oriented conservatives and is a member of the House Second Amendment Caucus. His public safety statements emphasize backing law enforcement, crime prevention, and constitutional rights rather than new gun restrictions.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 10, 2026

Greg Murphy is in the news because North Carolina Democrats and voting rights advocates are criticizing Republican-backed election changes tied to the state legislature. The main focus is a new congressional map that Democrats say weakens minority voting power and makes the state’s only toss-up district harder for Democrats to win. Lawmakers are also pushing a bill to shorten early voting in primaries, adding to the broader fight over election rules.

history.house.gov+51

Latest Polls

NC-03 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Tulchin Research
50%40%30%20%10%0%
44%
41%
Greg Murphy
G. Murphy
Raymond Smith Jr.
R. Smith
Date (Start - End)SpreadMurphySmith
Tulchin ResearchJul 27 - Aug 2
Murphy+3.0
44.0%41.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.7M
$2.0M
$1.3M
$674.5K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$2.0M
$809.5K
$1.4M
$60.3K

Cycle 2024

$1.9M
$1.6M
$1.2M
$48.6K

Cycle 2026

$2.4M
$2.7M
$1.2M
$69.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements